Biel vs Ajoie prediction
Chance to win · 56% and 24% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostBiel1.66Confidence 57%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.35Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonAjoie +2.5odds up 1.33Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostBielodds up 1.41Confidence 68%
- Double chanceLostBiel or draw1.24Confidence 75%
- Draw no betLostBielodds up 1.35Confidence 71%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.11Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostBielodds up 2.17Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.78Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–39%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 27, 2026: Biel 6, Ajoie 3.
- Jan 9, 2026: Ajoie 1, Biel 2.
- Nov 19, 2025: Ajoie 3, Biel 4, after overtime.
- Sep 27, 2025: Biel 5, Ajoie 4, after a shootout.
- Jan 31, 2025: Biel 3, Ajoie 4, after overtime.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–4 against Lugano, Oct 10. Odds: Biel 2.27, Lugano 2.52.
- Loss, 2–4 at Bern, Oct 9. Odds: Bern 1.80, Biel 3.35.
- Win, 4–3 against Davos, Oct 3.
- Loss, 4–7 at Lausanne, Oct 2.
- Loss, 3–6 at Zurich, Sep 29.
- Loss, 3–6 at Lausanne, Oct 14. Odds: Lausanne 1.42, Ajoie 5.93.
- Win, 5–4 against Langnau Tigers, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Ajoie 3.05, Langnau 1.97.
- Loss, 2–7 at Fribourg, Oct 8.
- Win, 5–4 against Lugano, Oct 4.
- Loss, 1–3 at Davos, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-3
- 01:34 Goal Ajoie: Nattinen J. assists: Devos P., Turkulainen J. 0-1
- 08:53 2 min Ajoie: Wick J. Holding
- 11:48 2 min Biel: Zryd M. Holding
- 11:55 Goal PPG Ajoie: Honka J. assists: Turkulainen J., Wick J. 0-2
- 14:51 Goal Ajoie: Fey K. assists: Sopa K. 0-3
- 17:00 2 min Ajoie: Diem N. Interference
- 17:03 2 min Biel: Haas G. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 19:05 Goal Biel: Cajka P. assists: Bartschi J. 1-3
2nd period0-1
- 07:55 2 min Ajoie: Christe G. Hooking
- 10:58 Goal Ajoie: Turkulainen J. assists: Nattinen J. 1-4
- 12:28 Goalie change Biel: Ostlund V. replaces Sateri H.
- 13:54 2 min Biel: Villard J. Interference
- 13:54 2 min Ajoie: Honka J. High sticking
3rd period1-1
- 02:56 Goal Biel: Haas G. assists: Neuenschwander J., Sever M. 2-4
- 03:56 2 min Ajoie: Fey K. Holding
- 05:08 5 min Biel: Andersson L. Fighting
- 05:08 5 min Biel: Haas G. Fighting
- 05:08 5 min Ajoie: Pilet V. Fighting
- 05:08 5 min Ajoie: Carr D. Fighting
- 05:08 5 min Ajoie: Zgraggen J. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 05:08 Penalty Ajoie: Zgraggen J. Roughing
- 19:39 Goal ENG Ajoie: Devos P. assists: Tanus K. 2-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Biel, 1 for Ajoie.
- In goal: Sateri H. for Biel (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts), Keller A. for Ajoie (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Biel.
- −1.0 goals away — Ajoie averaged 3.6 at home and 2.6 away this season.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Biel.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BIE) | 1.69 | 1.69 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.54 | 4.54 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (AJO) | 4.04 | 4.04 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap BIE | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
National League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 1.306 | 75 | 38 | +37 | |
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 57 | 53 | +4 | |
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 32 | .842 | 49 | 55 | −6 | |
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 5 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 49 | 27 | +22 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | .824 | 46 | 47 | −1 | |
| 7 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | .750 | 57 | 44 | +13 | |
| 8 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 26 | .650 | 59 | 69 | −10 | |
| 9 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | .658 | 58 | 64 | −6 | |
| 10 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 45 | 55 | −10 | |
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | .639 | 57 | 60 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 22 | .611 | 56 | 62 | −6 | |
| 13 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 50 | 69 | −19 | |
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 18 | .474 | 44 | 69 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Biel host Ajoie in the National League on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.