Biel vs Zug Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O4.5 1.40

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2LostZugodds down 2.36Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.40Confidence 70%
HandicapWonBiel +3.5Confidence 78%
Winner (incl. OT)LostZugodds down 1.87Confidence 59%
Double chanceLostZug or drawodds down 1.50Confidence 68%
Draw no betLostZugodds down 1.86Confidence 61%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.09Confidence 87%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostZugodds down 2.75Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.87Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Biel 14

Zug

Final 5–0

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

ZUG to winTo win 58% BIE won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min5–04%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–07%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-4
By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 2-5 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record5-8-16-2-1

Home / road split3-4-15-2-1

StreakL1W3

RestBack-to-backBack-to-back

Goals for3.13.4

Goals against3.71.9

In the standings11th5th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−1.5+1.1

Goals for2.73.2

Goals against4.22.1

Shots on goal29.428.2

Shots against29.424.9

Shooting %9.2%11.3%

Save %87.4%91.6%

Power-play %11.6%15.0%

Penalty kill %81.6%83.8%

Faceoff %49.0%51.8%

Penalty minutes16.46.8

Blocked shots16.015.3

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Biel 23

Zug

Zug won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.2 BIE 2.6 · ZUG 2.6

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Feb 27, 2026: Biel 2, Zug 3.
Dec 19, 2025: Zug 4, Biel 0.
Oct 19, 2025: Zug 4, Biel 3.
Sep 30, 2025: Biel 2, Zug 0.
Feb 21, 2025: Biel 6, Zug 2.

Last five games

Biel 2-3-0

Loss, 3–6 at Fribourg, Oct 23. Odds: Fribourg 1.48, Biel 5.00.
Win, 4–3 against Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 20. Odds: Biel 1.83, Rapperswil 2.85.
Win, 3–2 at Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 17. Odds: Rapperswil 2.12, Biel 2.42.
Loss, 2–5 against Ajoie, Oct 16. Odds: Biel 1.69, Ajoie 4.04.
Loss, 2–4 against Lugano, Oct 10. Odds: Biel 2.27, Lugano 2.52.

Zug 4-1-0

Win, 4–1 against Lausanne, Oct 23. Odds: Zug 1.91, Lausanne 3.10.
Win, 2–1 at Ajoie, Oct 17. Odds: Ajoie 3.25, Zug 1.65.
Win, 3–1 at EHC Kloten, Oct 11. Odds: Kloten 2.67, Zug 2.20.
Loss, 1–2 at Servette, Oct 4.
Win, 5–2 at Rapperswil-Jona, Sep 29.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-0

06:12 2 min Zug: Rohrer V. High sticking
10:18 2 min Biel: Burren Y. High sticking
16:27 Goal Biel: Zwerger D. assists: Rajala T., Andersson L. 1-0
19:09 Goal Biel: Andersson L. assists: Rajala T. 2-0
19:28 2 min Zug: Moverare J. Cross checking

2nd period2-0

02:45 2 min Zug: Petrovic N. Boarding
11:20 2 min Zug: Guerra S. Roughing
12:18 Goal PPG Biel: Andersson L. assists: Hofer F. 3-0
15:35 2 min Zug: Kovar J. Unsportsmanlike conduct
15:51 Goal PPG Biel: Hofer F. assists: Skinner J., Andersson L. 4-0
17:16 2 min Zug: Geisser T. Hooking
18:00 2 min Biel: Hofer F. Roughing
18:00 5 min Zug: Senteler S. Cross checking

3rd period1-0

02:25 Goal PPG Biel: Hofer F. 5-0
12:04 2 min Biel: Sever M. Interference
15:51 2 min Biel: Trutmann D. Tripping

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for both teams — Biel and Zug played yesterday.
3-game winning streak for Zug coming into this game.
In goal: Sateri H. for Biel (2-7-1 in the last 10 starts), Croce M. for Zug (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 2.6 per game — Biel −1.5, Zug +1.1 over their recent games.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Zug.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (BIE)	2.56	2.56	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.33	4.33	No change
1X2: 2 (ZUG)	2.23	2.23	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap BIE	+0.5	+0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
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Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Biel vs Zug prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details