Black Dogs Budweis vs ZCU Academy Pilsen prediction
Chance to win · 43% and 37% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostBlack Dogsodds down 1.65Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.51.83Confidence 68%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonZCU Pilsen +1.51.72Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostBlack Dogsodds down 1.40Confidence 53%
- Double chanceLostBlack Dogs or drawConfidence 65%
- Draw no betLostBlack DogsConfidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostBlack DogsConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.59Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–74%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 6 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Feb 3, 2026: ZCU Academy Pilsen 2, Black Dogs Budweis 1.
- Sep 29, 2025: Black Dogs Budweis 6, ZCU Academy Pilsen 1.
- Feb 24, 2025: Black Dogs Budweis 4, ZCU Academy Pilsen 1.
- Oct 10, 2024: ZCU Academy Pilsen 4, Black Dogs Budweis 7.
Last five games
- Win, 5–3 at North Wings Usti nad Labem, Oct 7.
- Win, 3–1 against CZU Farmers Prague, Oct 5.
- Win, 3–2 against Masaryk University, Sep 28.
- Loss, 2–7 at Riders Pardubice, Sep 21.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Riders Pardubice, after overtime, Apr 12.
- Loss, 0–2 against UK Prague, Oct 7.
- Loss, 3–4 at VSE Falcons Prague, Oct 6.
- Win, 4–3 against Cavaliers Brno, Sep 29.
- Win, 4–2 at BO Ostrava, Sep 26.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against CZU Farmers Prague, after overtime, Apr 1.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 17:49 Goal ZCU Academy Pilsen: Benisek J. assists: Dolhy A., Blaha M. 0-1
2nd period1-1
- 03:45 Goal PPG ZCU Academy Pilsen: Sieger J. assists: Blaha M., Culek O. 0-2
- 15:07 Goal Black Dogs Budweis: Hrakholski Y. assists: Kaspar D., Vachun D. 1-2
3rd period1-5
- 03:16 Goal ZCU Academy Pilsen: Riha S. assists: Kaiser S., Folda L. 1-3
- 05:06 Goal ZCU Academy Pilsen: Holomoj V. assists: Smid V., Kremlacek V. 1-4
- 06:17 Goal ZCU Academy Pilsen: Kaiser S. assists: Sieger J., Dolhy A. 1-5
- 06:36 Goal ZCU Academy Pilsen: Folda L. assists: Riha S., Benisek J. 1-6
- 09:11 Goal ZCU Academy Pilsen: Kaiser S. assists: Sieger J., Blaha M. 1-7
- 17:49 Goal PPG Black Dogs Budweis: Chab F. assists: Masopust M. 2-7
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Black Dogs Budweis coming into this game.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Black Dogs Budweis.
- 6.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 7th vs 2nd in the ULLH standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BDB) | 1.55 | 1.70 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.99 | 5.00 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (ZAP) | 3.58 | 2.95 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap BDB | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
ULLH standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1.313 | 39 | 15 | +24 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 1.125 | 34 | 19 | +15 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 1.000 | 32 | 26 | +6 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 25 | 14 | +11 | |
| 5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | .938 | 30 | 29 | +1 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | .929 | 29 | 24 | +5 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 23 | 30 | −7 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | .667 | 23 | 35 | −12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .563 | 23 | 32 | −9 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 | .389 | 24 | 33 | −9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 24 | 36 | −12 | |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 21 | 34 | −13 |
- Play-in: Final
- Play-in: Semi-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Black Dogs Budweis host ZCU Academy Pilsen in the ULLH on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.