Boden vs Kalix prediction
Chance to win · 67% and 17% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2WonBodenodds down 1.50Confidence 69%
- Over/UnderLostO5.5odds down 1.66Confidence 54%
- HandicapWonBoden -1.5odds down 1.79Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBoden1.25Confidence 79%
- Double chanceWonBoden or drawodds down 1.20Confidence 84%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betWonBodenodds down 1.25Confidence 80%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.09Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonBoden1.94Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.72Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Boden 5–2
Kalix Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min4–15%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–011%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%), 5-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonBoden
Kalix
Head-to-head
Boden 5–0
Kalix - Mar 17, 2026: Kalix 4, Boden 5, after overtime.
- Mar 14, 2026: Boden 4, Kalix 1.
- Mar 13, 2026: Boden 6, Kalix 1.
- Jan 28, 2026: Kalix 1, Boden 4.
- Oct 3, 2025: Boden 3, Kalix 2, after a shootout.
Last five games
Boden
5-0-0 - Win, 6–3 at Enkoping, Oct 18. Odds: Enkoping 10.00, Boden 1.20.
- Win, 5–2 at Jarfalla, Oct 17. Odds: Jarfalla 7.70, Boden 1.25.
- Win, 2–1 against Borlange, Oct 11.
- Win, 6–3 at Vallentuna, Oct 4.
- Win, 12–3 at Sollentuna, Oct 3.
Kalix
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 1–2 against Kiruna IF, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Kalix 1.51, Kiruna 4.64.
- Win, 2–1 at Kiruna IF, Oct 14. Odds: Kiruna 4.82, Kalix 1.42.
- Loss, 0–2 at Vasby, Oct 11.
- Win, 6–3 at Arlanda, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–2 against Borlange, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 04:03 Goal Boden: Stevens J. 1-0
- 12:12 Goal Boden: Selstrom O. assists: Selstrom E., Hamalainen A. 2-0
2nd period1-1
- 03:28 Goal Kalix: Bjorck W. assists: Persson A. 2-1
- 12:46 Goal PPG Boden: Stevens J. assists: Sundin J. 3-1
3rd period1-0
- 11:59 Goal Boden: Wallin A. assists: Sundin J., Selstrom O. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Boden coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Kalix, 4 for Boden.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Boden.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 3rd vs 6th in the HockeyEttan Norra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BOD) | 1.45 | 1.45 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KAL) | 4.95 | 4.95 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap BOD | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hudiksvall |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 |
| 2 |  Sundsvall |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 |
| 3 | Boden |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 |
| 4 |  Ornskoldsvik |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 |
| 5 |  Pitea |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 |
| 6 | Kalix |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 |
| 7 |  Surahammar |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 |
| 8 |  Lindloven |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 9 |  Vasby |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 |
| 10 |  Kiruna IF |
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 |
| 11 |  Jarfalla |
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 |
| 12 |  Stromsbro IF |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 |
| 13 |  Asploven |
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 14 |  Borlange |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 |
| 15 |  Vallentuna |
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 |
| 16 |  Sollentuna |
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 |
| 17 |  Norrtalje |
11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 |
| 18 |  Enkoping |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 19 |  Arlanda |
11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Boden host Kalix in the HockeyEttan Norra on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.