Boden vs Ornskoldsvik prediction
Chance to win · 68% and 16% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2LostBodenodds down 1.37Confidence 70%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds down 1.37Confidence 72%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonOrnskoldsvik +3.5odds up 1.28Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostBoden1.19Confidence 80%
- Double chanceLostBoden or drawodds down 1.13Confidence 84%
- Draw no betLostBodenodds down 1.16Confidence 81%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostBoden1.82Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.64Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min4–67%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–112%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Jan 3, 2026: Ornskoldsvik 4, Boden 3, after overtime.
- Nov 22, 2025: Boden 5, Ornskoldsvik 3.
- Nov 17, 2024: Ornskoldsvik 1, Boden 4.
- Oct 13, 2024: Boden 6, Ornskoldsvik 2.
- Oct 6, 2024: Ornskoldsvik 0, Boden 3.
Last five games
- Win, 4–1 against Kalix, Oct 23. Odds: Boden 1.45, Kalix 4.95.
- Win, 6–3 at Enkoping, Oct 18. Odds: Enkoping 10.00, Boden 1.20.
- Win, 5–2 at Jarfalla, Oct 17. Odds: Jarfalla 7.70, Boden 1.25.
- Win, 2–1 against Borlange, Oct 11.
- Win, 6–3 at Vallentuna, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–1 at Borlange, Oct 18. Odds: Borlange 1.95, Ornskoldsvik 2.81.
- Win, 4–1 against Stromsbro IF, Oct 11.
- Win, 4–1 against Norrtalje, Oct 10. Odds: Ornskoldsvik 1.52, Norrtalje 3.85.
- Win, 6–1 at Enkoping, Oct 4.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Jarfalla, after a shootout, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 04:35 Goal Ornskoldsvik: Nordlander E. assists: Ronnelow K., Hedberg C. 0-1
- 07:34 Goal PPG Boden: Hamalainen A. assists: Callgren E., Sundin J. 1-1
2nd period1-2
- 08:00 Goal Ornskoldsvik: Branthsson H. assists: Ronnelow K., Ingman J. 1-2
- 10:33 Goal Boden: Jonsson H. assists: Wallin A., Stevens J. 2-2
- 12:43 Goal Ornskoldsvik: Hedberg C. assists: Edlund E., Carlsson L. 2-3
3rd period2-3
- 00:51 Goal Ornskoldsvik: Edlund E. 2-4
- 05:55 Goal Ornskoldsvik: Normann L. 2-5
- 06:32 Goal Boden: Wallin A. assists: Dahlroth F., Arespang V. 3-5
- 09:18 Goal Boden: Astrom W. assists: Svensson O., Dahlroth F. 4-5
- 18:23 Goal SHG Ornskoldsvik: Halldahl F. 4-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Boden coming into this game.
- 4-game winning streak for Ornskoldsvik coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Ornskoldsvik, 1 for Boden.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Boden.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BOD) | 1.36 | 1.36 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.10 | 5.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ORN) | 5.90 | 5.90 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap BOD | −2.5 | −2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 | |
| 5 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 | |
| 10 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 | |
| 11 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 | |
| 12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 | |
| 13 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 | |
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 | |
| 15 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 | |
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 | |
| 19 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Boden host Ornskoldsvik in the HockeyEttan Norra on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.