Borlange vs Jarfalla prediction
Chance to win · 53% and 28% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostBorlangeodds down 1.61Confidence 54%
- Over/UnderWonU8.5odds down 1.27Confidence 77%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonJarfalla +2.5odds up 1.45Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostBorlangeodds down 1.22Confidence 64%
- Double chanceLostBorlange or drawodds down 1.24Confidence 73%
- Draw no betLostBorlangeodds down 1.30Confidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.05Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostBorlangeodds down 1.84Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.53Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Borlange 4–2
Jarfalla Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min1–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 3-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonBorlange
Jarfalla
Last five games
Borlange
2-1-2 - Win, 5–1 against Kiruna IF, Nov 5. Odds: Borlange 1.62, Kiruna 3.90.
- Win, 5–2 at Sollentuna, Oct 25. Odds: Sollentuna 2.90, Borlange 1.90.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Surahammar, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Surahammar 2.70, Borlange 2.05.
- Loss, 1–4 against Ornskoldsvik, Oct 18. Odds: Borlange 1.95, Ornskoldsvik 2.81.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Pitea, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Borlange 2.23, Pitea 2.39.
Jarfalla
1-4-0 - Loss, 0–5 against Hudiksvall, Oct 24. Odds: Jarfalla 13.00, Hudiksvall 1.14.
- Win, 6–3 at Arlanda, Oct 21. Odds: Arlanda 2.65, Jarfalla 2.05.
- Loss, 1–5 against Asploven, Oct 18. Odds: Jarfalla 1.83, Asploven 2.95.
- Loss, 2–5 against Boden, Oct 17. Odds: Jarfalla 7.70, Boden 1.25.
- Loss, 3–5 against Lindloven, Oct 11.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-3
- 02:38 Goal PPG Jarfalla: Dahlin I. assists: Frylen H., Rodensjo J. 0-1
- 04:19 Goal Jarfalla: Thoren E. assists: Okonkwo Prada L., Sandberg E. 0-2
- 10:38 Goal Jarfalla: Diberius A. assists: Wahlbom N., Lundberg H. 0-3
- 12:41 Goal Borlange: Bjork M. assists: Myrberg Andersson J., Palmberg T. 1-3
3rd period0-1
- 10:38 Goal PPG Jarfalla: Thoren E. assists: Broed K., Soderlund O. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Borlange dropped from 1.32 to 1.22 since they were first published.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Jarfalla.
- 14th vs 11th in the HockeyEttan Norra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BOR) | 1.57 | 1.38 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.65 | 5.10 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (JAR) | 4.20 | 5.70 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap BOR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hudiksvall |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 |
| 2 |  Sundsvall |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 |
| 3 |  Boden |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 |
| 4 |  Ornskoldsvik |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 |
| 5 |  Pitea |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 |
| 6 |  Kalix |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 |
| 7 |  Surahammar |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 |
| 8 |  Lindloven |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 9 |  Vasby |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 |
| 10 |  Kiruna IF |
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 |
| 11 | Jarfalla |
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 |
| 12 |  Stromsbro IF |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 |
| 13 |  Asploven |
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 14 | Borlange |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 |
| 15 |  Vallentuna |
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 |
| 16 |  Sollentuna |
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 |
| 17 |  Norrtalje |
11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 |
| 18 |  Enkoping |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 19 |  Arlanda |
11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Borlange host Jarfalla in the HockeyEttan Norra on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.