Boston Bruins vs San Jose Sharks prediction
Boston Bruins 6–, San Jose Sharks 4
FT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 1.831X2 3.35
TD Garden (Boston, MA) · USATD Garden (Boston, MA)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
BOS
1
1
4
SJS
1
1
2
70%Boston win · 58% in regulationBOS
Overtime or shootout · 20%OT / SO 20%
30%San Jose win · 22% in regulationSJS
Chance to win · 58% and 22% in regulation
Swayman J.StartedSV 92.8% · GAA 2.00 · 7-1-2
Nedeljkovic A.StartedSV 92.3% · GAA 2.10 · 8-1-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Won
Bruins or draw
odds down 1.32
Confidence80%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonBruinsodds up 1.80Confidence 61%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds up 1.35Confidence 70%
- HandicapLostSharks +1.5odds down 1.62Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBruinsodds up 1.50Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonBruins or drawodds down 1.32Confidence 80%
- Draw no betWonBruinsodds up 1.46Confidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostBruinsodds down 2.40Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.70Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Bruins 3–2
Sharks
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 10
Draw after 60 minDraw
20%
Decided in regulation
Boston to winTo win
70%
BOS won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min6–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 6 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 2-1 (2%), 4-3 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Boston Bruins
San Jose Sharks
Boston Bruins
San Jose Sharks
Season recordBoston Bruins 8-2-1San Jose Sharks 6-4-1
Home / road splitBoston Bruins 4-1-0San Jose Sharks 4-2-1
StreakBoston Bruins W1San Jose Sharks W2
RestBoston Bruins 1 daySan Jose Sharks 1 day
Goals forBoston Bruins 3.8San Jose Sharks 3.0
Goals againstBoston Bruins 2.0San Jose Sharks 3.4
In the standingsBoston Bruins 1stSan Jose Sharks 6th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameBoston Bruins +1.7San Jose Sharks −0.5
Goals forBoston Bruins 3.9San Jose Sharks 2.8
Goals againstBoston Bruins 2.2San Jose Sharks 3.3
Shots on goalBoston Bruins 25.7San Jose Sharks 27.8
Shots againstBoston Bruins 28.2San Jose Sharks 29.9
Shooting %Boston Bruins 15.2%San Jose Sharks 10.1%
Save %Boston Bruins 92.6%San Jose Sharks 89.6%
Power-play %Boston Bruins 17.5%San Jose Sharks 20.5%
Penalty kill %Boston Bruins 84.8%San Jose Sharks 83.8%
Faceoff %Boston Bruins 53.8%San Jose Sharks 47.5%
Penalty minutesBoston Bruins 12.3San Jose Sharks 8.5
HitsBoston Bruins 21.7San Jose Sharks 25.0
Blocked shotsBoston Bruins 12.5San Jose Sharks 13.3
Per game · BOS at home, SJS away
Goal differential per gameBoston Bruins +0.8San Jose Sharks +0.2
Goals forBoston Bruins 2.9San Jose Sharks 3.0
Goals againstBoston Bruins 2.1San Jose Sharks 2.8
Shots on goalBoston Bruins 24.9San Jose Sharks 26.8
Shots againstBoston Bruins 26.2San Jose Sharks 29.8
Shooting %Boston Bruins 11.6%San Jose Sharks 11.2%
Save %Boston Bruins 92.7%San Jose Sharks 90.9%
Power-play %Boston Bruins 13.8%San Jose Sharks 21.1%
Penalty kill %Boston Bruins 97.6%San Jose Sharks 89.2%
Faceoff %Boston Bruins 55.2%San Jose Sharks 48.4%
Penalty minutesBoston Bruins 12.6San Jose Sharks 9.0
HitsBoston Bruins 28.2San Jose Sharks 23.4
Blocked shotsBoston Bruins 12.3San Jose Sharks 12.6
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Bruins 2–3
Sharks
Goals a gameGoals
6.4
BOS 3.2 · SJS 3.2
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
2 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
0 of 5
All decided in regulation
- Oct 13, 2026: San Jose Sharks 3, Boston Bruins 6.
- Mar 12, 2026: Boston Bruins 2, San Jose Sharks 4.
- Nov 23, 2025: San Jose Sharks 3, Boston Bruins 1.
- Mar 22, 2025: San Jose Sharks 3, Boston Bruins 1.
- Jan 20, 2025: Boston Bruins 6, San Jose Sharks 3.
Last five games
Bruins
4-0-1 - Win, 6–0 against Nashville Predators, Oct 22. Odds: Bruins 1.91, Predators 3.20.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Dallas Stars, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Stars 1.86, Bruins 3.40.
- Win, 4–1 at Los Angeles Kings, Oct 17. Odds: Kings 2.07, Bruins 2.92.
- Win, 4–2 at Anaheim Ducks, Oct 16. Odds: Ducks 2.45, Bruins 2.41.
- Win, 6–3 at San Jose Sharks, Oct 13. Odds: Sharks 2.74, Bruins 2.30.
Sharks
3-1-1 - Win, 6–2 at Ottawa Senators, Oct 22. Odds: Senators 2.05, Sharks 2.85.
- Win, 4–3 at Montreal Canadiens, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Canadiens 1.70, Sharks 3.70.
- Loss, 1–3 at Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 19. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.01, Sharks 3.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Detroit Red Wings, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Red Wings 2.10, Sharks 2.88.
- Win, 3–2 at Nashville Predators, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Predators 2.15, Sharks 2.75.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 03:08 Goal Boston Bruins: Mittelstadt C. assists: Lindholm E., Hagens J. 1-0
- 04:24 2 min Boston Bruins: Geekie M. Slashing
- 05:54 Goal PPG San Jose Sharks: Misa M. assists: Toffoli T., Trouba J. 1-1
- 12:16 2 min Boston Bruins: Minten F. Tripping
2nd period1-1
- 02:43 2 min San Jose Sharks: Dellandrea T. Tripping
- 08:20 Goal Boston Bruins: Khusnutdinov M. assists: Geekie M., Minten F. 2-1
- 09:29 2 min Boston Bruins: Zadorov N. Slashing
- 10:40 2 min San Jose Sharks: Marchment M. Interference
- 12:42 2 min San Jose Sharks: Orlov D. Tripping
- 13:34 Goal SHG San Jose Sharks: Sherwood K. 2-2
- 15:37 2 min San Jose Sharks: Kesselring M. Roughing
- 15:37 5 min San Jose Sharks: Kesselring M. Fighting
- 15:37 2 min Boston Bruins: Kastelic M. Boarding
- 15:37 5 min Boston Bruins: Kastelic M. Fighting
3rd period4-2
- 02:38 5 min San Jose Sharks: Ostapchuk Z. Fighting
- 02:38 2 min Boston Bruins: Jeannot T. Fighting
- 03:13 2 min Boston Bruins: Lindholm E. Slashing
- 04:03 Goal PPG San Jose Sharks: Orlov D. assists: Stenberg I., Marchment M. 2-3
- 06:19 2 min Boston Bruins: Pastrnak D. Tripping
- 08:27 Goal Boston Bruins: Pastrnak D. assists: Peterka J. 3-3
- 09:07 Goal Boston Bruins: Hagens J. assists: Lindholm E. 4-3
- 10:32 2 min San Jose Sharks: Allan N. High sticking
- 12:00 Goal PPG Boston Bruins: Minten F. assists: Peterka J., Mittelstadt C. 5-3
- 12:12 2 min Boston Bruins: Hagens J. Tripping
- 12:27 Goal San Jose Sharks: Smith W. assists: Trouba J., Celebrini M. 5-4
- 19:32 Goal ENG Boston Bruins: Borgen W. 6-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Boston Bruins dropped from 1.67 to 1.53 since they were first published.
- In goal: Swayman J. for Boston Bruins (7-1-2 in the last 10 starts), Nedeljkovic A. for San Jose Sharks (8-1-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1-0 at home for Boston Bruins this season.
- Goal differential gap of 2.2 per game — Boston Bruins +1.7, San Jose Sharks −0.5 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for San Jose Sharks.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BOS) | 1.83 | 1.83 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SJS) | 3.35 | 3.35 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap BOS | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Edmonton Oilers |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 |
| 2 |  Vegas Golden Knights |
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 3 |  Anaheim Ducks |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 |
| 4 |  Seattle Kraken |
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 |
| 5 |  Calgary Flames |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 |
| 6 | San Jose Sharks |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Kings |
16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 |
| 8 |  Vancouver Canucks |
20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Boston Bruins host San Jose Sharks in the NHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.