Boston Bruins vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction
Boston Bruins 3–, Vegas Golden Knights 2
AP
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 odds down 2.451X2 odds up 2.35
TD Garden (Boston, MA) · USATD Garden (Boston, MA)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OT
SO
BOS
1
1
0
0
1
VGK
0
1
1
0
0
57%Boston win · 45% in regulationBOS
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
43%Vegas win · 32% in regulationVGK
Chance to win · 45% and 32% in regulation
Swayman J.StartedSV 90.4% · GAA 2.60 · 6-3-1
Hart C.StartedSV 88.8% · GAA 2.70 · 5-4-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
Bruins +1.5
odds up 1.35
Confidence72%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostBruinsodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.34Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonBruins +1.5odds up 1.35Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBruinsodds up 1.93Confidence 58%
- Double chanceWonBruins or drawodds up 1.52Confidence 70%
- Draw no betPushBruins1.95Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonBruins2.80Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.72Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Bruins 4–1
Golden Knights
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 5
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Went to a shootout
Boston to winTo win
57%
BOS won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Boston Bruins
Vegas Golden Knights
Boston Bruins
Vegas Golden Knights
Season recordBoston Bruins 10-4-1Vegas Golden Knights 9-5-1
Home / road splitBoston Bruins 6-1-0Vegas Golden Knights 3-2-1
StreakBoston Bruins W1Vegas Golden Knights L1
RestBoston Bruins 1 dayVegas Golden Knights 2 days
Goals forBoston Bruins 3.7Vegas Golden Knights 3.5
Goals againstBoston Bruins 2.4Vegas Golden Knights 2.9
In the standingsBoston Bruins 1stVegas Golden Knights 2nd
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameBoston Bruins +1.6Vegas Golden Knights +0.1
Goals forBoston Bruins 4.0Vegas Golden Knights 3.2
Goals againstBoston Bruins 2.4Vegas Golden Knights 3.1
Shots on goalBoston Bruins 27.3Vegas Golden Knights 27.1
Shots againstBoston Bruins 27.3Vegas Golden Knights 26.3
Shooting %Boston Bruins 14.7%Vegas Golden Knights 11.8%
Save %Boston Bruins 91.2%Vegas Golden Knights 89.0%
Power-play %Boston Bruins 13.0%Vegas Golden Knights 21.2%
Penalty kill %Boston Bruins 82.0%Vegas Golden Knights 71.9%
Faceoff %Boston Bruins 57.5%Vegas Golden Knights 50.6%
Penalty minutesBoston Bruins 12.9Vegas Golden Knights 8.1
HitsBoston Bruins 19.4Vegas Golden Knights 22.5
Blocked shotsBoston Bruins 12.8Vegas Golden Knights 11.8
Per game · BOS at home, VGK away
Goal differential per gameBoston Bruins +0.8Vegas Golden Knights +0.1
Goals forBoston Bruins 3.5Vegas Golden Knights 3.2
Goals againstBoston Bruins 2.7Vegas Golden Knights 3.1
Shots on goalBoston Bruins 26.9Vegas Golden Knights 25.9
Shots againstBoston Bruins 28.3Vegas Golden Knights 26.2
Shooting %Boston Bruins 13.0%Vegas Golden Knights 12.4%
Save %Boston Bruins 91.2%Vegas Golden Knights 88.5%
Power-play %Boston Bruins 12.2%Vegas Golden Knights 10.8%
Penalty kill %Boston Bruins 92.7%Vegas Golden Knights 70.6%
Faceoff %Boston Bruins 55.6%Vegas Golden Knights 47.4%
Penalty minutesBoston Bruins 16.8Vegas Golden Knights 7.9
HitsBoston Bruins 28.2Vegas Golden Knights 24.7
Blocked shotsBoston Bruins 12.0Vegas Golden Knights 14.4
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Bruins 1–3
Golden Knights
Goals a gameGoals
7.8
BOS 3.3 · VGK 4.5
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
3 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
0 of 4
All decided in regulation
- Jan 22, 2026: Boston Bruins 4, Vegas Golden Knights 3.
- Oct 16, 2025: Vegas Golden Knights 6, Boston Bruins 5.
- Mar 20, 2025: Vegas Golden Knights 5, Boston Bruins 1.
- Feb 8, 2025: Boston Bruins 3, Vegas Golden Knights 4.
Last five games
Bruins
3-2-0 - Win, 5–4 against Chicago Blackhawks, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: Bruins 1.60, Blackhawks 4.10.
- Loss, 1–4 at St. Louis Blues, Oct 29. Odds: Blues 2.40, Bruins 2.49.
- Loss, 1–2 at Carolina Hurricanes, Oct 27. Odds: Hurricanes 1.72, Bruins 3.65.
- Win, 6–4 against San Jose Sharks, Oct 24. Odds: Bruins 1.83, Sharks 3.35.
- Win, 6–0 against Nashville Predators, Oct 22. Odds: Bruins 1.91, Predators 3.20.
Golden Knights
1-3-1 - Loss, 2–5 against New Jersey Devils, Oct 30. Odds: Golden Knights 2.40, Devils 2.40.
- Win, 4–1 against Ottawa Senators, Oct 27. Odds: Golden Knights 1.91, Senators 3.25.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Columbus Blue Jackets, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Blue Jackets 2.70, Golden Knights 2.15.
- Loss, 2–6 at St. Louis Blues, Oct 22. Odds: Blues 2.65, Golden Knights 2.20.
- Loss, 2–6 against Tampa Bay Lightning, Oct 20. Odds: Golden Knights 2.40, Lightning 2.40.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 07:23 Goal Boston Bruins: Hagens J. assists: Lindholm E., Zadorov N. 1-0
- 07:34 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Howden B. Tripping
- 15:40 2 min Boston Bruins: McAvoy C. Interference
2nd period1-1
- 02:49 5 min Vegas Golden Knights: Bowman B. Elbowing
- 03:23 Goal PPG Boston Bruins: Geekie M. assists: Zacha P., Pastrnak D. 2-0
- 14:50 2 min Boston Bruins: McAvoy C. Holding
- 14:58 Goal PPG Vegas Golden Knights: Stone M. assists: Hertl T., Marner M. 2-1
- 14:58 2 min Boston Bruins: McAvoy C. Unsportsmanlike conduct
3rd period0-1
- 07:23 Goal Vegas Golden Knights: Connelly T. assists: Hanifin N., Marner M. 2-2
- 13:48 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Hart C. Delay of game
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-0
-
Round 1
Mittelstadt C.
✗missed
Connelly T.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Minten F.
✗missed
Eichel J.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Pastrnak D.
✓scored
Marner M.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-1-0 at home for Boston Bruins this season.
- In goal: Swayman J. for Boston Bruins (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Hart C. for Vegas Golden Knights (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.5 per game — Boston Bruins +1.6, Vegas Golden Knights +0.1 over their recent games.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Vegas Golden Knights.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Vegas Golden Knights.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BOS) | 2.50 | 2.45 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VGK) | 2.30 | 2.35 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap BOS | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Edmonton Oilers |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights |
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 3 |  Anaheim Ducks |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 |
| 4 |  Seattle Kraken |
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 |
| 5 |  Calgary Flames |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 |
| 6 |  San Jose Sharks |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Kings |
16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 |
| 8 |  Vancouver Canucks |
20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Boston Bruins host Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL on Monday, November 2, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.