Bowling Green Falcons vs Bemidji State Beavers prediction
Chance to win · 57% and 23% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Full game
- 1X2WonBowling Greenodds down 1.71Confidence 59%
- Over/UnderLostU6.51.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostBemidji State +1.51.66Confidence 62%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBowling Greenodds up 1.39Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonBowling Green or drawodds down 1.27Confidence 78%
- Draw no betWonBowling Greenodds down 1.36Confidence 73%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonBowling Green2.20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Bowling Green 3–2
Bemidji State Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–019%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonBowling Green Falcons
Bemidji State Beavers
Head-to-head
Bowling Green 3–2
Bemidji State - Nov 7, 2026: Bowling Green Falcons 5, Bemidji State Beavers 3.
- Jan 24, 2026: Bemidji State Beavers 1, Bowling Green Falcons 5.
- Jan 23, 2026: Bemidji State Beavers 1, Bowling Green Falcons 3.
- Nov 1, 2025: Bowling Green Falcons 2, Bemidji State Beavers 3, after overtime.
- Oct 31, 2025: Bowling Green Falcons 4, Bemidji State Beavers 5, after a shootout.
Last five games
Bowling Green
3-1-1 - Win, 4–2 at Lake Superior State Lakers, Oct 24. Odds: Lake Superior 4.00, Bowling Green 1.59.
- Win, 6–2 at Lake Superior State Lakers, Oct 23. Odds: Lake Superior 3.70, Bowling Green 1.70.
- Loss, 1–2 against Niagara Purple Eagles, Oct 17. Odds: Bowling Green 1.47, Niagara 4.15.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Niagara Purple Eagles, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Bowling Green 1.38, Niagara 5.25.
- Win, 5–2 at Connecticut Huskies, Oct 10.
Bemidji State
2-3-0 - Win, 5–4 against Ferris State Bulldogs, after a shootout, Oct 31. Odds: Bemidji State 1.75, Ferris State 3.40.
- Win, 6–1 against Ferris State Bulldogs, Oct 30. Odds: Bemidji State 1.95, Ferris State 2.95.
- Loss, 0–3 against Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs, Oct 24. Odds: Bemidji State 6.00, Minn. Duluth 1.36.
- Loss, 1–4 at Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs, Oct 23. Odds: Minn. Duluth 1.28, Bemidji State 7.50.
- Loss, 3–4 at North Dakota Fighting Hawks, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Bowling Green Falcons.
- 6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 3rd vs 5th in the NCAA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BGF) | 1.62 | 1.67 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.15 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (BSB) | 3.96 | 3.70 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap BGF | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · CCHA
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota State Mavericks |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Tech Huskies |
32 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 1.406 | 0 |
| 3 | Bowling Green Falcons |
30 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 101 | 1.683 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ferris State Bulldogs |
29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 5 | Bemidji State Beavers |
30 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 6 |  Northern Michigan Wildcats |
28 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 1.393 | 0 |
| 7 |  St. Thomas Tommies |
31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 75 | 1.210 | 0 |
| 8 |  Lake Superior State Lakers |
30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 1.017 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Bowling Green Falcons host Bemidji State Beavers in the NCAA on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.