Bowling Green Falcons vs Niagara Purple Eagles prediction
Chance to win · 67% and 16% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- Best tip of the game: 1X2LostBowling Green1.39Confidence 66%
- Over/UnderLostO4.51.40Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostBowling Green -1.5Confidence 61%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostBowling Greenodds down 1.23Confidence 73%
- Double chanceWonBowling Green or drawodds up 1.08Confidence 78%
- Draw no betPushBowling Green1.17Confidence 76%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.14Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostBowling Green1.93Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Bowling Green 4–1
Niagara Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–28%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period1–121%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (8%), 5-2 (6%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonBowling Green Falcons
Niagara Purple Eagles
Head-to-head
Bowling Green 0–3
Niagara - Oct 17, 2026: Bowling Green Falcons 1, Niagara Purple Eagles 2.
- Oct 11, 2025: Niagara Purple Eagles 2, Bowling Green Falcons 0.
- Oct 10, 2025: Niagara Purple Eagles 2, Bowling Green Falcons 0.
Last five games
Bowling Green
2-3-0 - Win, 5–2 at Connecticut Huskies, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 at Sacred Heart Pioneers, Oct 9. Odds: Sacred Heart 2.50, Bowling Green 2.32.
- Loss, 3–4 against Michigan Wolverines, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–7 at Michigan Wolverines, Oct 2.
- Loss, 2–3 at Michigan Tech Huskies, Mar 8.
Niagara
1-4-0 - Loss, 0–4 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Oct 9.
- Loss, 1–3 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Oct 8.
- Loss, 2–4 at RIT Tigers, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–1 against RIT Tigers, Oct 2.
- Loss, 1–2 at Sacred Heart Pioneers, Mar 8.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Niagara Purple Eagles coming into this game.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Niagara Purple Eagles.
- 2.3 goals per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BGF) | 1.38 | 1.38 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NPE) | 5.25 | 5.25 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · CCHA
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota State Mavericks |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Tech Huskies |
32 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 1.406 | 0 |
| 3 | Bowling Green Falcons |
30 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 101 | 1.683 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ferris State Bulldogs |
29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 5 |  Bemidji State Beavers |
30 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 6 |  Northern Michigan Wildcats |
28 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 1.393 | 0 |
| 7 |  St. Thomas Tommies |
31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 75 | 1.210 | 0 |
| 8 |  Lake Superior State Lakers |
30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 1.017 | 0 |
NCAA · Atlantic Hockey
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RIT Tigers |
30 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96 | 1.600 | 0 |
| 2 | Niagara Purple Eagles |
30 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 94 | 1.567 | 0 |
| 3 | American International | 32 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 1.641 | 0 |
| 4 |  Sacred Heart Pioneers |
30 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 5 |  Canisius Golden Griffins |
29 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 6 |  Army Black Knights |
30 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 7 |  Holy Cross Crusaders |
30 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 71 | 1.183 | 0 |
| 8 |  Air Force Falcons |
32 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 1.375 | 0 |
| 9 |  Bentley Falcons |
29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 69 | 1.190 | 0 |
| 10 | Mercyhurst Lakers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 1.283 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Bowling Green Falcons host Niagara Purple Eagles in the NCAA on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.