Bowling Green Falcons vs Niagara Purple Eagles prediction
Chance to win · 63% and 19% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2LostBowling Green1.47Confidence 65%
- Over/UnderLostO4.51.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostBowling Green -1.51.87Confidence 53%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)LostBowling Green1.27Confidence 75%
- Double chanceLostBowling Green or draw1.15Confidence 82%
- Draw no betLostBowling Green1.21Confidence 78%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonBowling Green2.00Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Bowling Green 4–1
Niagara Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min1–27%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–020%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonBowling Green Falcons
Niagara Purple Eagles
Head-to-head
Bowling Green 0–3
Niagara - Oct 16, 2026: Bowling Green Falcons 2, Niagara Purple Eagles 3, after overtime.
- Oct 11, 2025: Niagara Purple Eagles 2, Bowling Green Falcons 0.
- Oct 10, 2025: Niagara Purple Eagles 2, Bowling Green Falcons 0.
Last five games
Bowling Green
2-2-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 against Niagara Purple Eagles, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Bowling Green 1.38, Niagara 5.25.
- Win, 5–2 at Connecticut Huskies, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 at Sacred Heart Pioneers, Oct 9. Odds: Sacred Heart 2.50, Bowling Green 2.32.
- Loss, 3–4 against Michigan Wolverines, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–7 at Michigan Wolverines, Oct 2.
Niagara
2-3-0 - Win, 3–2 at Bowling Green Falcons, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Bowling Green 1.38, Niagara 5.25.
- Loss, 0–4 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Oct 9.
- Loss, 1–3 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Oct 8.
- Loss, 2–4 at RIT Tigers, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–1 against RIT Tigers, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Bowling Green Falcons and Niagara Purple Eagles played yesterday.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Niagara Purple Eagles.
- 3.0 goals per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BGF) | 1.47 | 1.47 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NPE) | 4.15 | 4.15 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap BGF | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · CCHA
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota State Mavericks |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Tech Huskies |
32 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 1.406 | 0 |
| 3 | Bowling Green Falcons |
30 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 101 | 1.683 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ferris State Bulldogs |
29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 5 |  Bemidji State Beavers |
30 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 6 |  Northern Michigan Wildcats |
28 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 1.393 | 0 |
| 7 |  St. Thomas Tommies |
31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 75 | 1.210 | 0 |
| 8 |  Lake Superior State Lakers |
30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 1.017 | 0 |
NCAA · Atlantic Hockey
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RIT Tigers |
30 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96 | 1.600 | 0 |
| 2 | Niagara Purple Eagles |
30 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 94 | 1.567 | 0 |
| 3 | American International | 32 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 1.641 | 0 |
| 4 |  Sacred Heart Pioneers |
30 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 5 |  Canisius Golden Griffins |
29 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 6 |  Army Black Knights |
30 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 7 |  Holy Cross Crusaders |
30 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 71 | 1.183 | 0 |
| 8 |  Air Force Falcons |
32 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 1.375 | 0 |
| 9 |  Bentley Falcons |
29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 69 | 1.190 | 0 |
| 10 | Mercyhurst Lakers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 1.283 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Bowling Green Falcons host Niagara Purple Eagles in the NCAA on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.