Brest vs Novopolotsk prediction
Chance to win · 75% and 12% in regulation
Kozlovsky K.Started6-3-1
Vashkevich V.Started2-7-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Full game
- Best tip of the game: 1X2WonBrestodds down 1.27Confidence 74%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.57Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonBrest -1.5Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBrestodds down 1.13Confidence 82%
- Double chanceWonBrest or drawodds down 1.08Confidence 87%
- Draw no betWonBrestodds down 1.10Confidence 85%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.23Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonBrestodds down 1.80Confidence 54%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 2.01Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Brest 4–1
Novopolotsk Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–17%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–113%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-1 (5%), 5-2 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonBrest
Novopolotsk
Head-to-head
Brest 4–1
Novopolotsk - Oct 15, 2026: Brest 3, Novopolotsk 0.
- Jan 23, 2026: Novopolotsk 3, Brest 1.
- Jan 21, 2026: Novopolotsk 2, Brest 4.
- Oct 31, 2025: Brest 8, Novopolotsk 1.
- Oct 29, 2025: Brest 7, Novopolotsk 1.
Last five games
Brest
3-2-0 - Win, 3–0 against Novopolotsk, Oct 15. Odds: Brest 1.28, Novopolotsk 7.40.
- Loss, 2–3 against Zhlobin, Oct 12. Odds: Brest 2.30, Zhlobin 2.43.
- Loss, 1–4 against Zhlobin, Oct 10. Odds: Brest 2.35, Zhlobin 2.20.
- Win, 3–2 at Molodechno, Oct 6.
- Win, 2–1 at Molodechno, after overtime, Oct 4.
Novopolotsk
0-5-0 - Loss, 0–3 at Brest, Oct 15. Odds: Brest 1.28, Novopolotsk 7.40.
- Loss, 2–3 against Molodechno, Oct 11.
- Loss, 1–6 against Molodechno, Oct 9. Odds: Novopolotsk 4.00, Molodechno 1.64.
- Loss, 1–4 at Neman Grodno, Oct 6.
- Loss, 1–4 at Neman Grodno, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 09:11 Goal Novopolotsk: Kormilov D. assists: Davydov D. 0-1
- 13:06 Goal PPG Brest: Tsybin M. assists: Kuchkin S., Nikitich A. 1-1
- 17:45 Goal Brest: Melnikov M. assists: Nikitich A. 2-1
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-0
- 19:07 Goal Brest: Paramonov D. assists: Tyutchev D., Kuchkin S. 3-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Novopolotsk coming into this game.
- 0-8-1 away for Novopolotsk this season.
- In goal: Kozlovsky K. for Brest (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Vashkevich V. for Novopolotsk (2-7-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Brest.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BRE) | 1.26 | 1.22 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.60 | 5.90 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (NOV) | 9.40 | 11.00 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraleague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zhlobin |
22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 35 | .795 | 73 | 49 | +24 |
| 2 |  Soligorsk |
22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 34 | .773 | 91 | 49 | +42 |
| 3 |  Gomel |
22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 33 | .750 | 72 | 43 | +29 |
| 4 |  Molodechno |
22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 31 | .705 | 66 | 43 | +23 |
| 5 |  Slavutych |
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | .714 | 75 | 54 | +21 |
| 6 | Brest |
21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 27 | .643 | 62 | 48 | +14 |
| 7 |  Lida |
22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 26 | .591 | 60 | 45 | +15 |
| 8 |  Neman Grodno |
22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 25 | .568 | 58 | 50 | +8 |
| 9 |  Baranavichy |
21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 62 | 81 | −19 |
| 10 |  Vitebsk |
22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 20 | .455 | 56 | 60 | −4 |
| 11 |  Mogilev |
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 14 | .333 | 44 | 75 | −31 |
| 12 |  Lokomotiv Orsha |
21 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 13 | .310 | 46 | 79 | −33 |
| 13 |  Yunost Minsk |
22 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 11 | .250 | 39 | 85 | −46 |
| 14 | Novopolotsk |
21 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 9 | .214 | 33 | 76 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Brest host Novopolotsk in the Extraleague on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.