Buffalo Sabres vs Ottawa Senators prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 35% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostSabresodds up 2.17Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds up 1.37Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonSenators +1.5odds up 1.41Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSabresodds up 1.74Confidence 54%
- Double chanceLostSabres or draw1.41Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostSabresodds up 1.71Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSabres2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.67Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Sabres 3–2
Senators Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 2-1 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formBuffalo Sabres
Ottawa Senators
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Sabres 4–1
Senators - Apr 2, 2026: Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 1.
- Dec 23, 2025: Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 3, after overtime.
- Oct 15, 2025: Buffalo Sabres 8, Ottawa Senators 4.
- Apr 1, 2025: Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 5.
- Mar 25, 2025: Buffalo Sabres 3, Ottawa Senators 2.
Last five games
Sabres
3-1-1 - Win, 3–2 at Los Angeles Kings, Oct 31. Odds: Kings 2.80, Sabres 2.10.
- Win, 7–6 at Anaheim Ducks, Oct 29. Odds: Ducks 2.94, Sabres 2.05.
- Win, 2–0 at San Jose Sharks, Oct 27. Odds: Sharks 2.90, Sabres 1.96.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Washington Capitals, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Capitals 2.20, Sabres 2.60.
- Loss, 1–3 against Philadelphia Flyers, Oct 21. Odds: Sabres 1.75, Flyers 3.65.
Senators
2-2-1 - Loss, 3–6 at Anaheim Ducks, Nov 1. Odds: Ducks 2.60, Senators 2.20.
- Win, 5–1 at San Jose Sharks, Oct 31. Odds: Sharks 3.05, Senators 1.96.
- Overtime loss, 5–6 at Los Angeles Kings, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Kings 2.60, Senators 2.31.
- Loss, 1–4 at Vegas Golden Knights, Oct 27. Odds: Golden Knights 1.91, Senators 3.25.
- Win, 7–4 against New York Rangers, Oct 24. Odds: Senators 2.15, Rangers 2.75.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-0
- 06:04 2 min Buffalo Sabres: Dahlin R. Holding
- 14:00 Goal Buffalo Sabres: Krebs P. assists: Thompson T., Benson Z. 1-0
- 16:25 2 min Buffalo Sabres: Power O. Holding
3rd period0-2
- 01:47 2 min Ottawa Senators: Matinpalo N. Interference
- 08:39 2 min Ottawa Senators: Spence J. Boarding
- 11:33 Goal Ottawa Senators: Pinto S. assists: Tomasino P., Chabot T. 1-1
- 16:51 Goal Ottawa Senators: Amadio M. assists: Stutzle T., Zetterlund F. 1-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Buffalo Sabres coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Buffalo Sabres.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
- 6th vs 4th in the NHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BUF) | 2.15 | 2.10 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (OTT) | 2.65 | 2.75 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap BUF | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 | Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 | Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Buffalo Sabres host Ottawa Senators in the NHL on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.