Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Golden Knights +1.5 1.35

Confidence67%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%

Full game

1X2LostSabresodds up 2.37Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU7.5odds up 1.33Confidence 70%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonGolden Knights +1.5odds down 1.35Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)LostSabresodds up 1.83Confidence 51%
Double chanceLostSabres or drawodds up 1.47Confidence 66%
Draw no betLostSabresodds up 1.85Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 89%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostSabres2.75Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.70Confidence 56%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Sabres 32

Golden Knights

Final 1–4

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

Buffalo to winTo win 51% VGK won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–43%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–07%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 2-1 (2%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-5-311-5-2

Home / road split4-4-05-2-2

StreakW1W2

Rest1 day2 days

Goals for3.13.3

Goals against3.32.8

In the standings6th2nd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.3+0.1

Goals for3.33.0

Goals against3.02.9

Shots on goal28.927.1

Shots against30.426.0

Shooting %11.4%11.1%

Save %90.1%89.2%

Power-play %13.5%26.7%

Penalty kill %77.3%76.5%

Faceoff %44.3%49.5%

Penalty minutes10.29.0

Blocked shots14.211.3

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Sabres 31

Golden Knights

Buffalo won three of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.5 BUF 2.5 · VGK 2.0

Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0 1 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 4 1 in a shootout

Mar 17, 2026: Vegas Golden Knights 0, Buffalo Sabres 2.
Mar 3, 2026: Buffalo Sabres 3, Vegas Golden Knights 2.
Mar 15, 2025: Buffalo Sabres 4, Vegas Golden Knights 3, after a shootout.
Jan 4, 2025: Vegas Golden Knights 3, Buffalo Sabres 1.

Last five games

Sabres 4-1-0

Win, 5–2 against Columbus Blue Jackets, Nov 6. Odds: Sabres 1.83, Blue Jackets 3.50.
Loss, 1–2 against Ottawa Senators, Nov 4. Odds: Sabres 2.10, Senators 2.75.
Win, 3–2 at Los Angeles Kings, Oct 31. Odds: Kings 2.80, Sabres 2.10.
Win, 7–6 at Anaheim Ducks, Oct 29. Odds: Ducks 2.94, Sabres 2.05.
Win, 2–0 at San Jose Sharks, Oct 27. Odds: Sharks 2.90, Sabres 1.96.

Golden Knights 3-1-1

Win, 2–1 at Detroit Red Wings, Nov 5. Odds: Red Wings 3.05, Golden Knights 2.01.
Win, 3–2 at Pittsburgh Penguins, Nov 3. Odds: Penguins 2.20, Golden Knights 2.55.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Boston Bruins, after a shootout, Nov 2. Odds: Bruins 2.45, Golden Knights 2.35.
Loss, 2–5 against New Jersey Devils, Oct 30. Odds: Golden Knights 2.40, Devils 2.40.
Win, 4–1 against Ottawa Senators, Oct 27. Odds: Golden Knights 1.91, Senators 3.25.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

08:41 2 min Buffalo Sabres: Zellweger O. High sticking
17:28 2 min Buffalo Sabres: Timmins C. High sticking

2nd period0-2

02:56 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Coghlan D. Tripping
05:30 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Howden B. Hooking
11:31 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Barbashev I. Hooking
12:17 Goal SHG Vegas Golden Knights: Marner M. 0-1
13:43 Goal Vegas Golden Knights: Eichel J. assists: Barbashev I. 0-2

3rd period1-2

04:26 Goal Buffalo Sabres: Malenstyn B. assists: Kozak T., Samuelsson M. 1-2
05:43 Goal Vegas Golden Knights: Hertl T. assists: Marner M. 1-3
10:00 Goal Vegas Golden Knights: Hertl T. assists: Barbashev I., Theodore S. 1-4
18:53 2 min Buffalo Sabres: Dahlin R. Slashing

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Buffalo Sabres.
−0.9 goals away — Vegas Golden Knights averaged 3.8 at home and 2.9 away this season.
4-1-0 in the last five for Buffalo Sabres.
4.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (BUF)	2.40	2.45	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	4.20	4.20	No change
1X2: 2 (VGK)	2.40	2.30	Shortened
Over/Under line	6	6	No change
Handicap BUF	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

NHL standings

Regular Season · Atlantic Division

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Boston Bruins	18	13	4	1	27	.750	68	41	+27
2	Montreal Canadiens	18	11	3	4	26	.722	62	55	+7
3	Tampa Bay Lightning	17	11	4	2	24	.706	63	53	+10
4	Ottawa Senators	19	11	6	2	24	.632	60	57	+3
5	Florida Panthers	19	10	7	2	22	.579	60	56	+4
6	Buffalo Sabres	17	8	6	3	19	.559	50	57	−7
7	Toronto Maple Leafs	20	8	10	2	18	.450	67	70	−3
8	Detroit Red Wings	19	7	9	3	17	.447	51	59	−8

Regular Season · Pacific Division

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Edmonton Oilers	19	13	3	3	29	.763	78	56	+22
2	Vegas Golden Knights	19	12	5	2	26	.684	64	51	+13
3	Anaheim Ducks	18	10	7	1	21	.583	69	66	+3
4	Seattle Kraken	16	9	6	1	19	.594	57	57	0
5	Calgary Flames	18	8	9	1	17	.472	46	63	−17
6	San Jose Sharks	20	8	11	1	17	.425	51	71	−20
7	Los Angeles Kings	16	5	9	2	12	.375	45	55	−10
8	Vancouver Canucks	20	3	16	1	7	.175	56	90	−34

Playoffs

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details