Caen vs Nantes prediction
Chance to win · 56% and 24% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostCaenodds down 2.17Confidence 56%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.51.40Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonNantes +1.5Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostCaenodds down 1.75Confidence 64%
- Double chanceLostCaen or drawodds down 1.44Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostCaenConfidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonCaen2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–45%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–118%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 2-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Jan 31, 2026: Caen 2, Nantes 3, after overtime.
- Nov 15, 2025: Nantes 4, Caen 5, after overtime.
- Feb 25, 2025: Caen 4, Nantes 2.
- Nov 13, 2024: Nantes 1, Caen 2.
Last five games
- Win, 5–1 at Villard, Nov 7. Odds: Villard 2.75, Caen 1.80.
- Win, 3–2 against Meudon, after a shootout, Oct 31. Odds: Caen 1.35, Meudon 6.20.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Morzine-Avoriaz, after overtime, Oct 27. Odds: Morzine-Avoriaz 2.55, Caen 2.08.
- Win, 5–1 at Strasbourg, Oct 17. Odds: Strasbourg 2.29, Caen 2.29.
- Win, 5–2 against Valenciennes, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–3 at Valence, Nov 7. Odds: Valence 2.20, Nantes 2.20.
- Win, 6–2 against Villard, Oct 31. Odds: Nantes 1.72, Villard 3.30.
- Win, 5–1 at Meudon, Oct 27. Odds: Meudon 2.40, Nantes 2.25.
- Win, 4–2 against Morzine-Avoriaz, Oct 24. Odds: Nantes 1.72, Morzine-Avoriaz 3.30.
- Win, 3–1 at Cholet, Oct 16. Odds: Cholet 1.77, Nantes 3.40.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Caen.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Caen.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Nantes.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 7th vs 1st in the D1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CAE) | 2.05 | 2.18 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.15 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (NAN) | 2.50 | 2.45 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
D1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1.188 | 28 | 14 | +14 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1.063 | 33 | 23 | +10 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.000 | 35 | 20 | +15 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 29 | 24 | +5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 26 | 18 | +8 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 23 | 15 | +8 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .929 | 24 | 16 | +8 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .833 | 21 | 16 | +5 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .625 | 21 | 25 | −4 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .714 | 18 | 30 | −12 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .643 | 23 | 24 | −1 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 27 | −9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 22 | 32 | −10 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 15 | 26 | −11 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | .417 | 14 | 19 | −5 | |
| 16 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 11 | 32 | −21 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Caen host Nantes in the D1 on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.