Calgary Flames vs Detroit Red Wings prediction
Calgary Flames 4–, Detroit Red Wings 1
FT
Puck drop 22:00 ET
1X2 odds up 2.751X2 odds down 2.15
Scotiabank Saddledome (Calgary, AB) · USAScotiabank Saddledome (Calgary, AB)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
CGY
1
3
0
DET
0
1
0
44%Calgary win · 33% in regulationCGY
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
56%Detroit win · 44% in regulationDET
Chance to win · 33% and 44% in regulation
Cooley D.StartedSV 88.8% · GAA 3.30 · 3-4-3
Gibson J.StartedSV 85.4% · GAA 3.80 · 4-5-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
Flames +2.5
odds down 1.26
Confidence72%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostRed Wingsodds up 2.00Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.37Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonFlames +2.5odds down 1.26Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostRed Wingsodds up 1.60Confidence 58%
- Double chanceLostRed Wings or drawodds up 1.33Confidence 69%
- Draw no betLostRed Wingsodds up 1.57Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostRed Wingsodds up 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.79Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Flames 2–4
Red Wings
Total goalsTotal
6
Actual 5
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Decided in regulation
Detroit to winTo win
56%
CGY won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–4After 60 min4–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-2, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Calgary Flames
Detroit Red Wings
Calgary Flames
Detroit Red Wings
Season recordCalgary Flames 3-6-0Detroit Red Wings 4-3-3
Home / road splitCalgary Flames 2-3-0Detroit Red Wings 1-0-2
StreakCalgary Flames W2Detroit Red Wings W1
RestCalgary Flames 1 dayDetroit Red Wings 1 day
Goals forCalgary Flames 2.1Detroit Red Wings 2.8
Goals againstCalgary Flames 4.2Detroit Red Wings 3.0
In the standingsCalgary Flames 5thDetroit Red Wings 8th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameCalgary Flames −1.7Detroit Red Wings −0.1
Goals forCalgary Flames 2.2Detroit Red Wings 2.7
Goals againstCalgary Flames 3.9Detroit Red Wings 2.8
Shots on goalCalgary Flames 28.2Detroit Red Wings 29.9
Shots againstCalgary Flames 29.9Detroit Red Wings 25.4
Shooting %Calgary Flames 7.8%Detroit Red Wings 9.0%
Save %Calgary Flames 87.3%Detroit Red Wings 89.4%
Power-play %Calgary Flames 18.4%Detroit Red Wings 17.8%
Penalty kill %Calgary Flames 88.9%Detroit Red Wings 75.6%
Faceoff %Calgary Flames 51.2%Detroit Red Wings 48.9%
Penalty minutesCalgary Flames 12.3Detroit Red Wings 9.9
HitsCalgary Flames 22.5Detroit Red Wings 24.4
Blocked shotsCalgary Flames 17.7Detroit Red Wings 14.9
Per game · CGY at home, DET away
Goal differential per gameCalgary Flames −0.3Detroit Red Wings −0.8
Goals forCalgary Flames 2.8Detroit Red Wings 2.5
Goals againstCalgary Flames 3.1Detroit Red Wings 3.3
Shots on goalCalgary Flames 26.1Detroit Red Wings 26.0
Shots againstCalgary Flames 32.3Detroit Red Wings 25.8
Shooting %Calgary Flames 10.7%Detroit Red Wings 9.6%
Save %Calgary Flames 90.7%Detroit Red Wings 87.6%
Power-play %Calgary Flames 19.4%Detroit Red Wings 17.9%
Penalty kill %Calgary Flames 86.8%Detroit Red Wings 84.4%
Faceoff %Calgary Flames 50.4%Detroit Red Wings 51.3%
Penalty minutesCalgary Flames 8.2Detroit Red Wings 7.0
HitsCalgary Flames 18.2Detroit Red Wings 19.4
Blocked shotsCalgary Flames 14.3Detroit Red Wings 13.2
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Flames 0–4
Red Wings
Goals a gameGoals
5.3
CGY 1.8 · DET 3.5
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
2 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 4
1 in overtime
- Mar 16, 2026: Detroit Red Wings 5, Calgary Flames 2.
- Dec 10, 2025: Calgary Flames 3, Detroit Red Wings 4.
- Feb 1, 2025: Calgary Flames 1, Detroit Red Wings 3.
- Nov 27, 2024: Detroit Red Wings 2, Calgary Flames 1, after overtime.
Last five games
Flames
3-2-0 - Win, 2–1 against Minnesota Wild, Oct 22. Odds: Flames 4.00, Wild 1.67.
- Win, 3–2 against Carolina Hurricanes, Oct 18. Odds: Flames 3.90, Hurricanes 1.67.
- Loss, 2–6 at Vegas Golden Knights, Oct 15. Odds: Golden Knights 1.64, Flames 4.72.
- Win, 4–2 at Anaheim Ducks, Oct 13. Odds: Ducks 1.93, Flames 3.15.
- Loss, 2–4 against Anaheim Ducks, Oct 10. Odds: Flames 2.60, Ducks 2.30.
Red Wings
3-0-2 - Win, 5–2 at Vancouver Canucks, Oct 22. Odds: Canucks 3.35, Red Wings 1.86.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Seattle Kraken, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Kraken 2.60, Red Wings 2.20.
- Win, 4–3 against San Jose Sharks, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Red Wings 2.10, Sharks 2.88.
- Win, 2–1 against Philadelphia Flyers, Oct 15. Odds: Red Wings 2.10, Flyers 2.85.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against New Jersey Devils, after overtime, Oct 13. Odds: Red Wings 2.48, Devils 2.51.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 17:50 Goal Calgary Flames: Farabee J. assists: Klapka A., Bahl K. 1-0
2nd period3-1
- 02:22 Goal Detroit Red Wings: Copp A. assists: Compher J.T. 1-1
- 08:17 2 min Detroit Red Wings: DeBrincat A. Hooking
- 08:38 Goal PPG Calgary Flames: Parekh Z. assists: Coronato M., Farabee J. 2-1
- 11:07 2 min Calgary Flames: Frost M. Holding the stick
- 17:04 Goal Calgary Flames: Strome R. assists: Frost M., Gridin M. 3-1
- 18:11 2 min Detroit Red Wings: Brandsegg-Nygard M. Delay of game
- 18:30 Goal PPG Calgary Flames: Gridin M. assists: Farabee J., Coronato M. 4-1
3rd period0-0
- 04:24 2 min Calgary Flames: Castagna J. Tripping
- 15:55 2 min Detroit Red Wings: Seider M. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 15:55 5 min Detroit Red Wings: Chiarot B. Fighting
- 15:55 2 min Calgary Flames: Strome R. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 15:55 5 min Calgary Flames: Middleton J. Fighting
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Detroit Red Wings.
- In goal: Cooley D. for Calgary Flames (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts), Gibson J. for Detroit Red Wings (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.6 per game — Calgary Flames −1.7, Detroit Red Wings −0.1 over their recent games.
- Save % gap: Calgary Flames 87.3%, Detroit Red Wings 89.4% over their recent games.
- 5.3 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CGY) | 2.70 | 2.75 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (DET) | 2.20 | 2.15 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap CGY | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Edmonton Oilers |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 |
| 2 |  Vegas Golden Knights |
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 3 |  Anaheim Ducks |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 |
| 4 |  Seattle Kraken |
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 |
| 5 | Calgary Flames |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 |
| 6 |  San Jose Sharks |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Kings |
16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 |
| 8 |  Vancouver Canucks |
20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 | Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Calgary Flames host Detroit Red Wings in the NHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.