Calgary Wranglers vs Bakersfield Condors prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 42% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonBakersfield2.63Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.33Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonBakersfield +1.51.44Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBakersfield2.07Confidence 53%
- Double chanceWonBakersfield or draw1.61Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonBakersfield2.08Confidence 53%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonBakersfield3.00Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.74Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 3 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Calgary 1–4
Bakersfield Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-5 (4%), 2-3 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formCalgary Wranglers
Bakersfield Condors
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Calgary 4–1
Bakersfield - Nov 10, 2026: Bakersfield Condors 2, Calgary Wranglers 4.
- Oct 17, 2026: Bakersfield Condors 3, Calgary Wranglers 4.
- Oct 9, 2026: Calgary Wranglers 2, Bakersfield Condors 1.
- Mar 21, 2026: Bakersfield Condors 1, Calgary Wranglers 0.
- Feb 20, 2026: Bakersfield Condors 4, Calgary Wranglers 5, after overtime.
Last five games
Calgary
5-0-0 - Win, 2–1 against Bakersfield Condors, Oct 9. Odds: Calgary 2.10, Bakersfield 2.70.
- Win, 4–2 against Abbotsford Canucks, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–2 against Abbotsford Canucks, Oct 2.
- Win, 7–5 at Colorado Eagles, Apr 18.
- Win, 5–2 at Colorado Eagles, Apr 17.
Bakersfield
1-4-0 - Loss, 1–2 at Calgary Wranglers, Oct 9. Odds: Calgary 2.10, Bakersfield 2.70.
- Win, 3–1 at Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 4.
- Loss, 3–4 at Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–6 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, Apr 26.
- Loss, 4–5 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, Apr 25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 04:04 Goal PPG Calgary Wranglers: Jones B. assists: Stromgren W., Basha A. 1-0
- 12:50 Goal Bakersfield Condors: D'Amato D. assists: Robertson T., Cibulka T. 1-1
- 16:14 Goal Bakersfield Condors: Raty Aku assists: Carfagna D. 1-2
2nd period2-2
- 06:21 Goal Calgary Wranglers: Kerins R. assists: Nylander A., Wiebe A. 2-2
- 06:49 Goal Calgary Wranglers: Morton S. assists: Philp L., Gross T. 3-2
- 08:54 Goal Bakersfield Condors: Hutson Q. assists: Marjala V., Raty Aku 3-3
- 18:42 Goal PPG Bakersfield Condors: Hutson Q. assists: Griffith S., Carfagna D. 3-4
3rd period1-1
- 03:57 Goal SHG Bakersfield Condors: Tassy S. assists: Nicholl W. 3-5
- 08:46 Goal Calgary Wranglers: Jones B. assists: Wiebe A., Nylander A. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Calgary Wranglers coming into this game.
- Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — Calgary Wranglers +0.7, Bakersfield Condors −0.3 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Calgary Wranglers.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Bakersfield Condors.
- Save % gap: Calgary Wranglers 92.2%, Bakersfield Condors 89.2% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CAL) | 2.14 | 2.14 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BAK) | 2.60 | 2.60 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap CAL | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 | Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 |  Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 |  Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 |  Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 |  San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 |  San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 | Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Calgary Wranglers host Bakersfield Condors in the AHL on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.