Canada vs Finland Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under

O4.5 1.33

Confidence69%

All predictions

9 picks · Average confidence 71%

Full game

1X2Canada1.04Confidence 73%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderO4.5odds down 1.33Confidence 69%
HandicapCanada -3.5odds up 1.75Confidence 56%
Winner (incl. OT)Canadaodds down 1.01Confidence 79%
Double chanceCanada or drawodds up 1.02Confidence 79%
Draw no betCanadaodds up 1.02Confidence 78%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yesodds down 1.41Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2Canadaodds down 1.38Confidence 65%
1st period Over/UnderO1.5odds down 1.80Confidence 59%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 3 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Canada 51

Finland

Predicted score

Total goalsTotal 6 Line 6.0 · On the line

Draw after 60 minDraw 7%

CAN to winTo win 94% 89% in regulation

Score details

Correct score5–16%chance
1st period correct score2–018%chance
Highest scoring period2nd period28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 5-1
By period 2-0, 2-1, 1-0
Likeliest 5-1 (6%), 6-1 (5%), 7-1 (4%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record3-0-02-1-0

Home / road split1-0-01-0-0

StreakW3W1

Rest1 dayBack-to-back

Goals for8.04.3

Goals against0.32.3

In the standings1st3rd

Head-to-head

Canada 30

Finland

Canada won three of the last three meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.3 CAN 5.7 · FIN 0.7

Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0 1 of 3 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 3 All decided in regulation

Apr 19, 2025: Canada 8, Finland 1.
Apr 10, 2025: Canada 5, Finland 0.
Apr 4, 2024: Canada 4, Finland 1.

Last five games

Canada 4-1-0

Win, 10–0 at Denmark, Nov 9. Odds: Denmark 101.00, Canada 1.01.
Win, 9–0 against Japan, Nov 8. Odds: Canada –, Japan 55.00.
Win, 5–1 at Sweden, Nov 6. Odds: Sweden 15.00, Canada 1.09.
Loss, 0–4 at USA, Oct 30. Odds: USA 1.75, Canada 3.20.
Win, 5–3 against USA, Oct 28. Odds: Canada 3.50, USA 1.65.

Finland 3-2-0

Win, 8–2 against Japan, Nov 10. Odds: Finland 1.08, Japan 22.00.
Loss, 1–4 against Sweden, Nov 8. Odds: Finland 2.50, Sweden 2.60.
Win, 4–1 at Denmark, Nov 6. Odds: Denmark 35.00, Finland 1.01.
Win, 4–3 against Czech Republic, after overtime, Apr 20, 2025.
Loss, 1–8 at Canada, Apr 19, 2025.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Key insights

Second game in two days for Finland, who played yesterday.
3-game winning streak for Canada coming into this game.
3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Canada.
6.3 goals per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
1st vs 3rd in the WCH Women standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (CAN)	1.04	1.04	No change
1X2: X (draw)	11.50	11.50	No change
1X2: 2 (FIN)	19.50	19.50	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	6	Line raised
Handicap CAN	−3.5	−3.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

WCH Women standings

Regular Season · Group B

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Canada	3	3	0	0	9	1.500	24	1	+23
2	Sweden	3	2	1	0	6	1.000	15	6	+9
3	Finland	3	2	1	0	6	1.000	13	7	+6
4	Denmark	4	1	3	0	2	.250	4	26	−22
5	Japan	3	0	2	1	1	.167	4	20	−16

Playoffs
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Canada vs Finland prediction