Canada vs Japan Prediction & Picks

WCH Women Sunday, November 8, 2026Sun · Nov 8

HomeCanada3-0-01st in the standingsWLWLL

90 FT Puck drop 13:00 ET

1st 2nd 3rd

CAN 2 2 5

JAP 0 0 0

KVIK Hockey Arena (Herning)KVIK Hockey Arena (Herning)

AwayJapan0-2-15th in the standingsOTLWLW

91%Canada win · 84% in regulationCAN Overtime or shootout · 10%OT / SO 10% 9%Japan win · 6% in regulationJAP

Chance to win · 84% and 6% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Japan +6.5 1.42

Confidence62%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2WonCanadaodds up 1.01Confidence 63%
Over/UnderLostU7.5odds up 1.44Confidence 68%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostJapan +6.5odds up 1.42Confidence 62%
Winner (incl. OT)WonCanadaConfidence 63%
Double chanceWonCanada or drawConfidence 66%
Draw no betWonCanadaConfidence 64%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 2.20Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonCanada1.15Confidence 57%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.59Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 1 games; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Canada 41

Japan

Final 9–0

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 9

Draw after 60 minDraw 10% Decided in regulation

CAN to winTo win 91% CAN won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min9–08%chance
1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–019%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 2-0, 2-1, 0-0
Likeliest 4-1 (8%), 5-1 (6%), 6-1 (5%)

Last five games

Canada 2-3-0

Win, 5–1 at Sweden, Nov 6. Odds: Sweden 15.00, Canada 1.09.
Loss, 0–4 at USA, Oct 30. Odds: USA 1.75, Canada 3.20.
Win, 5–3 against USA, Oct 28. Odds: Canada 3.50, USA 1.65.
Loss, 1–4 against USA, Dec 13, 2025.
Loss, 4–10 against USA, Dec 10, 2025.

Japan 2-2-1

Overtime loss, 2–3 against Denmark, after a shootout, Nov 7. Odds: Japan 1.50, Denmark 5.50.
Loss, 3–7 against Slovakia, Oct 3.
Win, 3–2 at Hungary, Oct 2.
Loss, 2–4 at France, Oct 1.
Win, 3–2 against France, after overtime, Dec 13, 2025.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-0

03:12 2 min Canada: Wozniewicz S. Slashing
06:29 Goal Canada: Primerano C. 1-0
14:32 Goal Canada: Ambrose E. assists: Serdachny D., Leslie R. 2-0
17:13 2 min Canada: Watts D. Hooking
20:00 2 min Japan: Shiga Ak. High sticking

2nd period2-0

00:01 2 min Japan: — Delay of game
01:14 Goal PPG Canada: Watts D. assists: Eldridge J., Gosling N. 3-0
13:57 Goal Canada: Tremblay R. assists: Watts D. 4-0
14:34 2 min Canada: Kraemer C. Cross checking

3rd period5-0

06:51 Goal Canada: Cooper K. assists: Manness S., O'Neill K. 5-0
12:52 Goal Canada: Maltais E. 6-0
18:06 2 min Japan: Yamashita H. Boarding
18:10 Goal PPG Canada: Jaques S. assists: O'Neill K. 7-0
18:47 Goal Canada: Wozniewicz S. assists: Cooper K. 8-0
19:42 Goal Canada: Kraemer C. assists: Ambrose E., Stacey L. 9-0

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: X (draw)	18.00	19.00	Drifted
1X2: 2 (JAP)	45.00	55.00	Drifted
Over/Under line	6.5	6.5	No change
Handicap CAN	−5.5	−6.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

WCH Women standings

Regular Season · Group B

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Canada	3	3	0	0	9	1.500	24	1	+23
2	Sweden	3	2	1	0	6	1.000	15	6	+9
3	Finland	3	2	1	0	6	1.000	13	7	+6
4	Denmark	4	1	3	0	2	.250	4	26	−22
5	Japan	3	0	2	1	1	.167	4	20	−16

Playoffs
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Canada host Japan in the WCH Women on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.