Cardiff vs Belfast prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 31% in regulation
Stoever C.StartedSV 94% · GAA 1.75 · 10-0-0
Kupsky J.StartedSV 94.5% · GAA 1.38 · 8-1-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostCardiffodds down 2.02Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.26Confidence 76%
- HandicapWonBelfast +1.5odds up 1.44Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostCardiffodds down 1.63Confidence 60%
- Double chanceLostCardiff or drawodds up 1.34Confidence 70%
- Draw no betLostCardiffodds down 1.60Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCardiff2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Cardiff 3–2
Belfast Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–018%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals3rd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 14+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formCardiff
Belfast
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Cardiff 3–2
Belfast - Oct 11, 2026: Cardiff 5, Belfast 2.
- Mar 8, 2026: Belfast 5, Cardiff 4.
- Mar 7, 2026: Belfast 2, Cardiff 5.
- Feb 20, 2026: Cardiff 1, Belfast 2.
- Dec 6, 2025: Cardiff 2, Belfast 1.
Last five games
Cardiff
4-0-1 - Win, 4–2 at Nottingham, Oct 25. Odds: Nottingham 2.45, Cardiff 2.15.
- Win, 1–0 against Sheffield, Oct 24. Odds: Cardiff 1.93, Sheffield 2.89.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Dundee, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Dundee 5.75, Cardiff 1.30.
- Win, 5–4 against Coventry, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Cardiff 1.63, Coventry 3.73.
- Win, 5–2 against Belfast, Oct 11. Odds: Cardiff 1.87, Belfast 3.20.
Belfast
4-1-0 - Win, 2–1 against Glasgow, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Belfast 1.12, Glasgow 13.00.
- Win, 1–0 at Glasgow, Oct 23. Odds: Glasgow 3.80, Belfast 1.57.
- Loss, 2–3 at Fife, Oct 21. Odds: Fife 6.40, Belfast 1.30.
- Win, 5–4 at Manchester, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Manchester 4.00, Belfast 1.63.
- Win, 4–1 against Glasgow, Oct 17. Odds: Belfast 1.18, Glasgow 11.00.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period0-2
- 09:58 Goal PPG Belfast: Goodwin D. assists: Piccinich J., Lee M. 0-1
- 19:53 Goal Belfast: Conway S. assists: Goodwin D., Piccinich J. 0-2
3rd period1-2
- 06:22 Goal Belfast: Cockerill L. assists: Guay P. 0-3
- 08:35 Goal Cardiff: Caron T. 1-3
- 11:16 Goal PS Belfast: Pearson K. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Stoever C. for Cardiff (10-0-0 in the last 10 starts), Kupsky J. for Belfast (8-1-1 in the last 10 starts).
- The total moved up from 4.5 to 5.5 since it was first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Cardiff.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Cardiff.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Belfast.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CAR) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BEL) | 2.65 | 2.65 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 5.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap CAR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Elite League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 27 | 15 | +12 |
| 2 | Belfast |
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 28 | 16 | +12 |
| 3 |  Sheffield |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | .650 | 34 | 26 | +8 |
| 4 |  Coventry |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 26 | 15 | +11 |
| 5 |  Manchester |
10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | .550 | 25 | 26 | −1 |
| 6 |  Guildford |
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .500 | 32 | 39 | −7 |
| 7 |  Fife |
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .438 | 25 | 26 | −1 |
| 8 |  Nottingham |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 15 | 17 | −2 |
| 9 |  Dundee |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | .286 | 14 | 28 | −14 |
| 10 |  Glasgow |
9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | .111 | 12 | 30 | −18 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Cardiff host Belfast in the Elite League on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.