Cardiff vs Dundee prediction
Chance to win · 80% and 8% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Full game
- 1X2LostCardiffodds up 1.10Confidence 78%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.50Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonDundee +3.5odds down 1.72Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCardiffodds up 1.04Confidence 85%
- Double chanceWonCardiff or draw1.03Confidence 89%
- Draw no betPushCardiff1.02Confidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.19Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCardiff1.48Confidence 58%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.60Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Cardiff 4–1
Dundee Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min1–18%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–115%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (8%), 5-2 (6%), 4-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 17+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formCardiff
Dundee
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Cardiff 4–1
Dundee - Oct 18, 2026: Dundee 3, Cardiff 2, after overtime.
- Oct 10, 2026: Cardiff 3, Dundee 0.
- Mar 22, 2026: Cardiff 8, Dundee 1.
- Mar 21, 2026: Cardiff 3, Dundee 0.
- Jan 30, 2026: Dundee 3, Cardiff 4, after overtime.
Last five games
Cardiff
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 at Manchester, after a shootout, Nov 1. Odds: Manchester 2.65, Cardiff 2.02.
- Win, 6–1 against Guildford, Oct 31. Odds: Cardiff 1.59, Guildford 3.60.
- Loss, 1–4 against Belfast, Oct 28. Odds: Cardiff 2.05, Belfast 2.65.
- Win, 4–2 at Nottingham, Oct 25. Odds: Nottingham 2.45, Cardiff 2.15.
- Win, 1–0 against Sheffield, Oct 24. Odds: Cardiff 1.93, Sheffield 2.89.
Dundee
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–3 against Fife, Oct 31. Odds: Dundee 2.35, Fife 2.35.
- Loss, 0–3 at Glasgow, Oct 30. Odds: Glasgow 1.75, Dundee 3.20.
- Loss, 2–5 at Guildford, Oct 28. Odds: Guildford 1.33, Dundee 5.25.
- Win, 3–2 against Cardiff, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Dundee 5.75, Cardiff 1.30.
- Win, 4–3 at Fife, Oct 17. Odds: Fife 1.73, Dundee 3.40.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 13:45 Goal Dundee: DeBoer M. assists: Haden G., Nelson J. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 07:17 Goal Cardiff: Estes B. assists: Mieho P. 1-1
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Overtime1-0
- 04:20 Goal Cardiff: Kontos K. assists: Estes B., Barrow R. 2-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Dundee coming into this game.
- 5-1-0 at home for Cardiff this season.
- Goal differential gap of 3.0 per game — Cardiff +1.2, Dundee −1.8 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Cardiff.
- Save % gap: Cardiff 92.9%, Dundee 90.5% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CAR) | 1.11 | 1.11 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 8.50 | 8.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (DUN) | 12.70 | 12.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap CAR | −3.5 | −3.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Elite League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 27 | 15 | +12 |
| 2 |  Belfast |
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 28 | 16 | +12 |
| 3 |  Sheffield |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | .650 | 34 | 26 | +8 |
| 4 |  Coventry |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 26 | 15 | +11 |
| 5 |  Manchester |
10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | .550 | 25 | 26 | −1 |
| 6 |  Guildford |
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .500 | 32 | 39 | −7 |
| 7 |  Fife |
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .438 | 25 | 26 | −1 |
| 8 |  Nottingham |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 15 | 17 | −2 |
| 9 | Dundee |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | .286 | 14 | 28 | −14 |
| 10 |  Glasgow |
9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | .111 | 12 | 30 | −18 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Cardiff host Dundee in the Elite League on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.