Cardiff vs Sheffield prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 35% in regulation
Stoever C.StartedSV 93.1% · GAA 2.00 · 10-0-0
Greenfield M.StartedSV 91.9% · GAA 2.30 · 6-2-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2WonCardiff1.95Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.51.40Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonSheffield +1.51.47Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCardiff1.60Confidence 53%
- Double chanceWonCardiff or drawodds down 1.34Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonCardiff1.53Confidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.08Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonCardiff2.42Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.87Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Cardiff 3–2
Sheffield Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 1 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 12+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formCardiff
Sheffield
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Cardiff 2–3
Sheffield - Sep 26, 2026: Sheffield 3, Cardiff 1.
- Apr 19, 2026: Cardiff 5, Sheffield 2.
- Apr 1, 2026: Cardiff 5, Sheffield 0.
- Mar 1, 2026: Sheffield 5, Cardiff 1.
- Feb 14, 2026: Cardiff 2, Sheffield 5.
Last five games
Cardiff
4-0-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 at Dundee, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Dundee 5.75, Cardiff 1.30.
- Win, 5–4 against Coventry, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Cardiff 1.63, Coventry 3.73.
- Win, 5–2 against Belfast, Oct 11. Odds: Cardiff 1.87, Belfast 3.20.
- Win, 3–0 against Dundee, Oct 10. Odds: Cardiff 1.10, Dundee 12.00.
- Win, 2–1 against Glasgow, Oct 4.
Sheffield
3-1-1 - Win, 4–3 against Guildford, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Sheffield 1.78, Guildford 3.07.
- Loss, 2–3 at Nottingham, Oct 17. Odds: Nottingham 2.19, Sheffield 2.45.
- Win, 4–3 at Manchester, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–0 against Glasgow, Oct 10. Odds: Sheffield 1.41, Glasgow 4.50.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Fife, after overtime, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 00:43 Goal Cardiff: Kontos K. assists: Brandt R., Barrow R. 1-0
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Stoever C. for Cardiff (10-0-0 in the last 10 starts), Greenfield M. for Sheffield (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Sheffield.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Cardiff.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 2nd vs 1st in the Challenge Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CAR) | 1.93 | 1.93 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SHE) | 2.89 | 2.89 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap CAR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Challenge Cup standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheffield |
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 14 | .700 | 34 | 23 | +11 |
| 2 | Cardiff |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 29 | 27 | +2 |
| 3 |  Guildford |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 34 | 31 | +3 |
| 4 |  Nottingham |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 28 | 30 | −2 |
| 5 |  Coventry |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .450 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 6 |  Manchester |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | .450 | 28 | 34 | −6 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Cardiff host Sheffield in the Challenge Cup on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.