Ceske Budejovice vs Karlovy Vary prediction
Ceske Budejovice 2–, Karlovy Vary 3
FT
Puck drop 11:00 ET
1X2 2.651X2 2.30
Budvar Arena (Ceske Budejovice) · Czech RepublicBudvar Arena (Ceske Budejovice)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
CES
0
1
1
KAR
1
1
1
51%Ceske Budejovice win · 39% in regulationCES
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
49%Karlovy Vary win · 38% in regulationKAR
Chance to win · 39% and 38% in regulation
Kloucek M.StartedSV 92.1% · GAA 2.40 · 4-4-2
Frodl D.StartedSV 94.9% · GAA 1.30 · 7-3-0
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
Karlovy Vary +1.5
odds down 1.25
Confidence70%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostC. Budejoviceodds up 2.37Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.31Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKarlovy Vary +1.5odds down 1.25Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostC. Budejoviceodds up 1.85Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostC. Budejovice or drawodds up 1.47Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostC. Budejoviceodds up 1.80Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.35Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.61Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.C. Budejovice 3–2
Karlovy Vary
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 5
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Decided in regulation
CES to winTo win
51%
KAR won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–124%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 2-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Ceske Budejovice
Karlovy Vary
Ceske Budejovice
Karlovy Vary
Season recordCeske Budejovice 8-6-2Karlovy Vary 9-7-0
Home / road splitCeske Budejovice 5-1-1Karlovy Vary 5-4-0
StreakCeske Budejovice L1Karlovy Vary L3
RestCeske Budejovice 1 dayKarlovy Vary 1 day
Goals forCeske Budejovice 2.7Karlovy Vary 2.4
Goals againstCeske Budejovice 2.8Karlovy Vary 1.9
In the standingsCeske Budejovice 5thKarlovy Vary 4th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameCeske Budejovice +0.4Karlovy Vary +0.1
Goals forCeske Budejovice 2.8Karlovy Vary 2.3
Goals againstCeske Budejovice 2.4Karlovy Vary 2.2
Shots on goalCeske Budejovice 25.1Karlovy Vary 30.4
Shots againstCeske Budejovice 31.1Karlovy Vary 26.1
Shooting %Ceske Budejovice 11.2%Karlovy Vary 7.6%
Save %Ceske Budejovice 92.9%Karlovy Vary 92.3%
Power-play %Ceske Budejovice 15.6%Karlovy Vary 10.2%
Penalty kill %Ceske Budejovice 81.1%Karlovy Vary 94.1%
Faceoff %Ceske Budejovice 48.7%Karlovy Vary 51.5%
Penalty minutesCeske Budejovice 15.9Karlovy Vary 7.4
HitsCeske Budejovice 6.2Karlovy Vary 5.9
Blocked shotsCeske Budejovice 18.1Karlovy Vary 15.7
Per game · CES at home, KAR away
Goal differential per gameCeske Budejovice +0.5Karlovy Vary +0.1
Goals forCeske Budejovice 3.1Karlovy Vary 2.3
Goals againstCeske Budejovice 2.6Karlovy Vary 2.2
Shots on goalCeske Budejovice 31.6Karlovy Vary 29.1
Shots againstCeske Budejovice 29.5Karlovy Vary 31.1
Shooting %Ceske Budejovice 9.8%Karlovy Vary 7.9%
Save %Ceske Budejovice 91.5%Karlovy Vary 93.6%
Power-play %Ceske Budejovice 21.8%Karlovy Vary 5.6%
Penalty kill %Ceske Budejovice 77.1%Karlovy Vary 96.6%
Faceoff %Ceske Budejovice 49.8%Karlovy Vary 49.8%
Penalty minutesCeske Budejovice 11.0Karlovy Vary 6.1
HitsCeske Budejovice 5.6Karlovy Vary 5.8
Blocked shotsCeske Budejovice 17.3Karlovy Vary 17.1
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
C. Budejovice 1–4
Karlovy Vary
Goals a gameGoals
5.0
CES 1.6 · KAR 3.4
Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5
3 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
0 of 5
All decided in regulation
- Sep 25, 2026: Karlovy Vary 5, Ceske Budejovice 1.
- Jan 27, 2026: Ceske Budejovice 3, Karlovy Vary 6.
- Dec 23, 2025: Karlovy Vary 1, Ceske Budejovice 0.
- Oct 31, 2025: Ceske Budejovice 3, Karlovy Vary 2.
- Sep 23, 2025: Karlovy Vary 3, Ceske Budejovice 1.
Last five games
C. Budejovice
2-2-1 - Loss, 0–4 at Olomouc, Oct 30. Odds: Olomouc 2.60, C. Budejovice 2.30.
- Win, 3–0 against Mountfield HK, Oct 27. Odds: C. Budejovice 2.45, Hradec Kralove 2.35.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Mlada Boleslav, after a shootout, Oct 25. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.30, C. Budejovice 2.55.
- Win, 6–2 at Trinec, Oct 23. Odds: Trinec 1.46, C. Budejovice 5.00.
- Loss, 2–3 against Kladno, Oct 18. Odds: C. Budejovice 2.26, Kladno 2.69.
Karlovy Vary
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–4 against Pardubice, Oct 30. Odds: Karlovy Vary 2.80, Pardubice 2.18.
- Loss, 1–2 against Mlada Boleslav, Oct 27. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.65, Mlada Boleslav 4.30.
- Loss, 1–2 at Trinec, Oct 25. Odds: Trinec 1.70, Karlovy Vary 4.00.
- Win, 4–3 at Mountfield HK, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.18, Karlovy Vary 2.80.
- Win, 2–1 against Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.98, Kometa Brno 2.70.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 09:50 Goal Karlovy Vary: Stastny D. assists: Jones N., Bambula J. 0-1
- 15:30 2 min Karlovy Vary: Egle H. Holding
2nd period1-1
- 02:15 2 min Ceske Budejovice: Nordsater L. Tripping
- 06:52 Goal Karlovy Vary: Bambula J. assists: Jones N., Stastny D. 0-2
- 06:57 2 min Karlovy Vary: Tomek P. Tripping
- 12:21 2 min Ceske Budejovice: Toman M. Interference
- 17:23 2 min Karlovy Vary: Beranek O. Slashing
- 17:43 Goal PPG Ceske Budejovice: Bell P. assists: Lantosi R., Olesen N. 1-2
3rd period1-1
- 02:31 2 min Karlovy Vary: Lukosik A. High sticking
- 06:51 Goal Ceske Budejovice: Hoch S. assists: Lantosi R. 2-2
- 09:39 2 min Karlovy Vary: Beranek O. Roughing
- 09:39 2 min Ceske Budejovice: McCormack G. Roughing
- 16:58 Goal Karlovy Vary: Redlich T. assists: Brickley D., Jiskra V. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Karlovy Vary coming into this game.
- In goal: Kloucek M. for Ceske Budejovice (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Frodl D. for Karlovy Vary (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Karlovy Vary.
- +1.3 goals at home — Ceske Budejovice averaged 3.4 at home and 2.1 away this season.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CES) | 2.65 | 2.65 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KAR) | 2.30 | 2.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap CES | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trinec |
16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 |
| 2 |  Pardubice |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 |
| 3 |  Kladno |
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 |
| 4 | Karlovy Vary |
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 |
| 5 | Ceske Budejovice |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 |
| 6 |  Sparta Prague |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 |
| 7 |  Plzen |
17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 |
| 8 |  Liberec |
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 9 |  Mountfield HK |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 |
| 10 |  Kometa Brno |
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 |  Litvinov |
17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 |
| 12 |  Mlada Boleslav |
17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 |
| 13 |  Vitkovice |
15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 |
| 14 |  Olomouc |
17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ceske Budejovice host Karlovy Vary in the Extraliga on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.