Charlotte Checkers vs Springfield Thunderbirds prediction
Chance to win · 47% and 31% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonCharlotteodds up 2.10Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.49Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonSpringfield +1.5odds up 1.35Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCharlotteodds up 1.67Confidence 61%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonCharlotte or drawodds up 1.37Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonCharlotteodds up 1.65Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.10Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCharlotteodds down 2.62Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.95Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Charlotte 3–2
Springfield Score details
- Correct scoreWon3–2After 60 min3–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formCharlotte Checkers
Springfield Thunderbirds
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Charlotte 2–3
Springfield - Oct 24, 2026: Charlotte Checkers 1, Springfield Thunderbirds 2.
- Oct 11, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 1, Charlotte Checkers 2, after a shootout.
- Apr 25, 2026: Charlotte Checkers 1, Springfield Thunderbirds 2, after overtime.
- Apr 24, 2026: Charlotte Checkers 2, Springfield Thunderbirds 5.
- Apr 22, 2026: Charlotte Checkers 8, Springfield Thunderbirds 1.
Last five games
Charlotte
3-2-0 - Win, 4–2 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 17. Odds: Charlotte 2.50, Hartford 2.10.
- Win, 2–1 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 16. Odds: Charlotte 2.11, Hartford 2.69.
- Win, 2–1 at Springfield Thunderbirds, after a shootout, Oct 11. Odds: Springfield 2.30, Charlotte 2.51.
- Loss, 2–6 at Providence Bruins, Oct 10.
- Loss, 2–3 at Hershey Bears, Oct 4.
Springfield
1-2-2 - Overtime loss, 2–3 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Springfield 2.45, Lehigh Valley 2.12.
- Loss, 3–6 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Oct 16. Odds: Springfield 2.37, Lehigh Valley 2.22.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Charlotte Checkers, after a shootout, Oct 11. Odds: Springfield 2.30, Charlotte 2.51.
- Loss, 2–5 against Laval Rocket, Oct 10. Odds: Springfield 2.20, Laval 2.50.
- Win, 2–0 at Providence Bruins, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-1
- 02:23 Goal Springfield Thunderbirds: Buchinger M. assists: Robertsson S. 0-1
- 08:31 Goal Charlotte Checkers: Shuravin M. assists: Gaber R., Chorske B. 1-1
3rd period2-1
- 03:54 Goal Charlotte Checkers: Smith N. assists: Devine J., Lafferty S. 2-1
- 04:27 Goal Springfield Thunderbirds: Robertsson S. assists: Lindstein T. 2-2
- 09:50 Goal Charlotte Checkers: Sawchyn G. assists: Chorske B., Shuravin M. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Springfield Thunderbirds coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Charlotte Checkers coming into this game.
- Goal differential gap of 1.6 per game — Charlotte Checkers +0.7, Springfield Thunderbirds −0.9 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Springfield Thunderbirds.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CHA) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SPR) | 2.75 | 2.75 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap CHA | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 |  Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 |  Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Charlotte Checkers host Springfield Thunderbirds in the AHL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.