Charlotte Checkers vs Springfield Thunderbirds prediction
Chance to win · 48% and 30% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostCharlotteodds down 2.49Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.50Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonCharlotte +1.5odds down 1.30Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostCharlotteodds down 1.93Confidence 61%
- Double chanceLostCharlotte or drawodds down 1.54Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostCharlotteodds down 1.95Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCharlotteodds down 2.90Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.94Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Charlotte 4–1
Springfield Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min1–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (5%), 5-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formCharlotte Checkers
Springfield Thunderbirds
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Charlotte 3–2
Springfield - Oct 23, 2026: Charlotte Checkers 3, Springfield Thunderbirds 2.
- Oct 11, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 1, Charlotte Checkers 2, after a shootout.
- Apr 25, 2026: Charlotte Checkers 1, Springfield Thunderbirds 2, after overtime.
- Apr 24, 2026: Charlotte Checkers 2, Springfield Thunderbirds 5.
- Apr 22, 2026: Charlotte Checkers 8, Springfield Thunderbirds 1.
Last five games
Charlotte
4-1-0 - Win, 3–2 against Springfield Thunderbirds, Oct 23. Odds: Charlotte 2.05, Springfield 2.75.
- Win, 4–2 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 17. Odds: Charlotte 2.50, Hartford 2.10.
- Win, 2–1 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 16. Odds: Charlotte 2.11, Hartford 2.69.
- Win, 2–1 at Springfield Thunderbirds, after a shootout, Oct 11. Odds: Springfield 2.30, Charlotte 2.51.
- Loss, 2–6 at Providence Bruins, Oct 10.
Springfield
0-3-2 - Loss, 2–3 at Charlotte Checkers, Oct 23. Odds: Charlotte 2.05, Springfield 2.75.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Springfield 2.45, Lehigh Valley 2.12.
- Loss, 3–6 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Oct 16. Odds: Springfield 2.37, Lehigh Valley 2.22.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Charlotte Checkers, after a shootout, Oct 11. Odds: Springfield 2.30, Charlotte 2.51.
- Loss, 2–5 against Laval Rocket, Oct 10. Odds: Springfield 2.20, Laval 2.50.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 05:51 Goal PPG Springfield Thunderbirds: Lindstein T. assists: Buchinger M. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 19:32 Goal PPG Charlotte Checkers: Devine J. assists: Crookshank A., Petrovic A. 1-1
3rd period0-1
- 06:32 Goal Springfield Thunderbirds: Peterson D. 1-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Charlotte Checkers and Springfield Thunderbirds played yesterday.
- 5-game losing streak for Springfield Thunderbirds coming into this game.
- 4-game winning streak for Charlotte Checkers coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Charlotte Checkers dropped from 1.97 to 1.51 since they were first published.
- Goal differential gap of 1.6 per game — Charlotte Checkers +0.7, Springfield Thunderbirds −0.9 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CHA) | 2.20 | 1.76 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.40 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (SPR) | 2.60 | 3.50 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap CHA | +0.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 |  Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 |  Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Charlotte Checkers host Springfield Thunderbirds in the AHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.