Charlottetown Islanders vs Shawinigan Cataractes prediction
Chance to win · 56% and 26% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2LostCharlottetownodds down 1.78Confidence 59%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.33Confidence 77%
- HandicapWonShawinigan +1.51.60Confidence 58%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostCharlottetownodds down 1.48Confidence 68%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostCharlottetown or drawodds down 1.28Confidence 75%
- Draw no betLostCharlottetownodds down 1.44Confidence 71%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.03Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCharlottetownodds down 2.19Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.52Confidence 70%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Charlottetown 4–3
Shawinigan Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min1–63%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–29%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (2%), 6-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonCharlottetown Islanders
Shawinigan Cataractes
Head-to-head
Charlottetown 4–0
Shawinigan - Feb 11, 2026: Charlottetown Islanders 6, Shawinigan Cataractes 3.
- Oct 1, 2025: Shawinigan Cataractes 3, Charlottetown Islanders 4, after overtime.
- Nov 29, 2024: Shawinigan Cataractes 2, Charlottetown Islanders 5.
- Nov 20, 2024: Charlottetown Islanders 3, Shawinigan Cataractes 2.
Last five games
Charlottetown
1-4-0 - Loss, 0–10 against Val-d'Or Foreurs, Oct 14. Odds: Charlottetown 3.34, Val-d'Or 1.86.
- Loss, 3–5 against Rouyn-Noranda Huskies, Oct 12. Odds: Charlottetown 2.32, Rouyn-Noranda 2.46.
- Loss, 3–4 at Saint John Sea Dogs, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–1 against Drummondville Voltigeurs, Oct 9. Odds: Charlottetown 1.97, Drummondville 2.80.
- Loss, 5–8 at Rimouski Oceanic, Oct 4.
Shawinigan
1-3-1 - Loss, 4–6 at Moncton Wildcats, Oct 16. Odds: Moncton 1.42, Shawinigan 5.30.
- Win, 7–4 against Newfoundland Regiment, Oct 12.
- Loss, 3–5 at Victoriaville Tigres, Oct 7.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Gatineau Olympiques, after overtime, Oct 1.
- Loss, 2–13 at Rimouski Oceanic, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 07:55 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Boyer S. assists: Lemieux P., Collette N. 0-1
- 13:54 Goal SHG Shawinigan Cataractes: Lygitsakos C. 0-2
2nd period1-0
- 08:06 Goal PPG Charlottetown Islanders: Eccleston K. assists: Duskocy N., Shields W. 1-2
3rd period0-4
- 09:23 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Bergeron F. assists: Lygitsakos C., Shtyrhunov V. 1-3
- 18:07 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Charron O. assists: Laframboise D. 1-4
- 19:21 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Prudhomme J. assists: Bergeron F. 1-5
- 19:52 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Olkhovik G. assists: Faucher E. 1-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Shawinigan Cataractes, who played yesterday.
- 3-game losing streak for Charlottetown Islanders coming into this game.
- 1-5-1 away for Shawinigan Cataractes this season.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Charlottetown Islanders.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Shawinigan Cataractes.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CHA) | 1.80 | 1.78 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.33 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (SHA) | 2.95 | 3.25 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 7 | 7 | No change |
| Handicap CHA | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
QMJHL standings
Regular Season · Maritimes Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Newfoundland Regiment |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 63 | 58 | +5 |
| 2 |  Saint John Sea Dogs |
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 24 | .667 | 65 | 59 | +6 |
| 3 |  Halifax Mooseheads |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | .588 | 59 | 66 | −7 |
| 4 |  Cape Breton Eagles |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | .559 | 57 | 55 | +2 |
| 5 |  Moncton Wildcats |
18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 19 | .528 | 51 | 55 | −4 |
| 6 | Charlottetown Islanders |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 16 | .421 | 64 | 87 | −23 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Victoriaville Tigres |
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 78 | 70 | +8 |
| 2 |  Sherbrooke Phoenix |
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .625 | 62 | 46 | +16 |
| 3 |  Drummondville Voltigeurs |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 61 | 69 | −8 |
| 4 | Shawinigan Cataractes |
16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 11 | .344 | 51 | 78 | −27 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Charlottetown Islanders host Shawinigan Cataractes in the QMJHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.