Cherepovets vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl prediction
Chance to win · 30% and 46% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostLokomotivodds down 1.99Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.28Confidence 77%
- HandicapWonCherepovets +1.5odds up 1.38Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostLokomotivodds down 1.59Confidence 61%
- Double chanceLostLokomotiv or drawodds down 1.35Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostLokomotivodds down 1.55Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.67Confidence 62%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min5–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–125%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals26%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (5%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 25, 2026: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1, Cherepovets 0.
- Sep 10, 2026: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2, Cherepovets 1, after overtime.
- Mar 9, 2026: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 4, Cherepovets 3, after overtime.
- Mar 2, 2026: Cherepovets 2, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 3, after a shootout.
- Nov 28, 2025: Cherepovets 2, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 0.
Last five games
- Win, 2–0 against SKA St. Petersburg, Oct 13. Odds: Cherepovets 2.50, SKA 2.31.
- Win, 4–1 at Bars Kazan, Oct 10. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 2.02, Cherepovets 3.05.
- Win, 3–2 at Nizhny Novgorod, Oct 8.
- Win, 5–2 at SKA St. Petersburg, Oct 6.
- Win, 2–1 against Shanghai, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Win, 6–1 against Dinamo Minsk, Oct 10. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.77, Dinamo Minsk 3.80.
- Win, 2–0 at Bars Kazan, Oct 5.
- Loss, 3–4 at Dinamo Minsk, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–1 against Novosibirsk, Sep 30.
- Win, 2–1 at Novosibirsk, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 01:33 Goal Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Kotkov M. assists: Ivanov G. 0-1
- 11:12 Goal Cherepovets: Kvochko I. assists: Ivantsov I. 1-1
2nd period1-1
- 00:59 Goal Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Fiore G. assists: Radulov A., Yemelyanov K. 1-2
- 03:26 Goal Cherepovets: Abrosimov R. assists: Grudinin V., Dumbadze D. 2-2
3rd period3-0
- 05:16 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Kuzin A. High sticking
- 09:23 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Cherepanov N. Holding
- 10:49 Goal PPG Cherepovets: Gregoire T. assists: Ivantsov I., Kvochko I. 3-2
- 16:20 Goal Cherepovets: Abrosimov R. assists: Popugayev N. A., Kaldis Y. 4-2
- 19:56 Goal ENG Cherepovets: Podshivalov I. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Cherepovets coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, 1 for Cherepovets.
- In goal: Samoilov A. for Cherepovets (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Isayev D. for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CHE) | 3.25 | 3.25 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.90 | 3.90 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LOK) | 1.94 | 1.94 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 4.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap CHE | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Tarasov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37 | .771 | 78 | 45 | +33 | |
| 2 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 35 | .729 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 3 | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 30 | .600 | 59 | 57 | +2 | |
| 4 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 30 | .652 | 68 | 59 | +9 | |
| 5 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | .500 | 60 | 74 | −14 | |
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .481 | 56 | 68 | −12 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Cherepovets host Lokomotiv Yaroslavl in the KHL on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.