Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow prediction
Chance to win · 32% and 45% in regulation
Samoilov A.StartedSV 93.4% · GAA 1.90 · 7-2-1
Zagidulin A.StartedSV 92.3% · GAA 2.00 · 5-2-3All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostSpartak Moscowodds down 2.30Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.65Confidence 52%
- HandicapWonCherepovets +3.5Confidence 78%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)LostSpartak Moscowodds down 1.78Confidence 55%
- Double chanceWonSpartak Moscow or drawodds down 1.39Confidence 70%
- Draw no betPushSpartak Moscowodds down 1.69Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.14Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.44Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.66Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: a fallback pick in an evenly matched game; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Cherepovets 1–4
Spartak Moscow Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–124%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 0-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formCherepovets
Spartak Moscow
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Cherepovets 0–5
Spartak Moscow - Oct 30, 2026: Cherepovets 1, Spartak Moscow 5.
- Oct 23, 2026: Spartak Moscow 3, Cherepovets 1.
- Sep 12, 2026: Spartak Moscow 8, Cherepovets 0.
- Feb 2, 2026: Cherepovets 1, Spartak Moscow 5.
- Jan 6, 2026: Cherepovets 1, Spartak Moscow 2.
Last five games
Cherepovets
2-3-0 - Loss, 0–1 at Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Oct 25. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.88, Cherepovets 3.58.
- Loss, 1–3 at Spartak Moscow, Oct 23. Odds: Spartak Moscow 1.93, Cherepovets 3.32.
- Loss, 1–5 against Shanghai, Oct 21. Odds: Cherepovets 2.02, Shanghai 3.12.
- Win, 4–1 against Nizhny Novgorod, Oct 19. Odds: Cherepovets 2.30, Nizhny Novgorod 2.67.
- Win, 5–2 against Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Oct 15. Odds: Cherepovets 3.25, Lokomotiv 1.94.
Spartak Moscow
4-0-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 against Shanghai, after a shootout, Oct 25. Odds: Spartak Moscow 1.94, Shanghai 3.28.
- Win, 3–1 against Cherepovets, Oct 23. Odds: Spartak Moscow 1.93, Cherepovets 3.32.
- Win, 2–0 against CSKA Moscow, Oct 21. Odds: Spartak Moscow 2.95, CSKA Moscow 2.14.
- Win, 5–1 at Vladivostok, Oct 16. Odds: Vladivostok 3.15, Spartak Moscow 1.93.
- Win, 2–1 at Khabarovsk, Oct 14. Odds: Khabarovsk 2.98, Spartak Moscow 2.12.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 01:17 2 min Cherepovets: Yan D. Tripping
- 01:38 2 min Spartak Moscow: Comtois M. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 02:14 2 min Cherepovets: Dumbadze D. Tripping
- 04:51 Goal Spartak Moscow: Reilly W. assists: Mironov A., Filin Y. 0-1
- 06:41 Goal Cherepovets: Dumbadze D. assists: Podshivalov I., Gregoire T. 1-1
- 09:27 2 min Spartak Moscow: Poryadin P. Tripping
- 15:34 2 min Spartak Moscow: Kholodilin N. Tripping
2nd period0-1
- 13:43 Goal Spartak Moscow: Ryabov I. assists: Comtois M., Orlov D. 1-2
- 17:09 2 min Cherepovets: Chuklinov S. Cross checking
3rd period1-0
- 00:40 2 min Spartak Moscow: Comtois M. Slashing
- 04:35 2 min Cherepovets: Skorenov A. Tripping
- 19:46 Goal Cherepovets: Kaldis Y. assists: Abrosimov R. 2-2
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-0
-
Round 1
Abrosimov R.
✗missed
Poryadin P.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Ivantsov I.
✓scored
Comtois M.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Skorenov A.
✗missed
Rubtsov G.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Cherepovets coming into this game.
- 7-1-0 away for Spartak Moscow this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Spartak Moscow.
- In goal: Samoilov A. for Cherepovets (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Zagidulin A. for Spartak Moscow (5-2-3 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Spartak Moscow.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CHE) | 2.73 | 2.80 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.86 | 3.79 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (SPA) | 2.25 | 2.22 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap CHE | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Moscow |
24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37 | .771 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  Lokomotiv Yaroslavl |
24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 35 | .729 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 3 |  Nizhny Novgorod |
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow |
25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .600 | 66 | 56 | +10 |
| 5 | Cherepovets |
25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 30 | .600 | 59 | 57 | +2 |
| 6 |  Shanghai |
23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 30 | .652 | 68 | 59 | +9 |
| 7 |  SKA St. Petersburg |
23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 72 | 68 | +4 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Minsk |
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | .500 | 60 | 74 | −14 |
| 9 |  Dynamo Moscow |
26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .481 | 56 | 68 | −12 |
| 10 |  Sochi |
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 16 | .333 | 42 | 81 | −39 |
| 11 |  Lada |
25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | .300 | 38 | 81 | −43 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Cherepovets host Spartak Moscow in the KHL on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.