Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow prediction
Chance to win · 33% and 44% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonSpartak Moscowodds up 2.19Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.64Confidence 52%
- HandicapLostCherepovets +3.5Confidence 78%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSpartak Moscowodds down 1.73Confidence 58%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonSpartak Moscow or drawodds down 1.42Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonSpartak Moscowodds down 1.73Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.50Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.66Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 5% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min1–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–124%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 0-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 29, 2026: Cherepovets 3, Spartak Moscow 2, after a shootout.
- Oct 23, 2026: Spartak Moscow 3, Cherepovets 1.
- Sep 12, 2026: Spartak Moscow 8, Cherepovets 0.
- Feb 2, 2026: Cherepovets 1, Spartak Moscow 5.
- Jan 6, 2026: Cherepovets 1, Spartak Moscow 2.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 against Spartak Moscow, after a shootout, Oct 29. Odds: Cherepovets 2.80, Spartak Moscow 2.22.
- Loss, 0–1 at Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Oct 25. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.88, Cherepovets 3.58.
- Loss, 1–3 at Spartak Moscow, Oct 23. Odds: Spartak Moscow 1.93, Cherepovets 3.32.
- Loss, 1–5 against Shanghai, Oct 21. Odds: Cherepovets 2.02, Shanghai 3.12.
- Win, 4–1 against Nizhny Novgorod, Oct 19. Odds: Cherepovets 2.30, Nizhny Novgorod 2.67.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Cherepovets, after a shootout, Oct 29. Odds: Cherepovets 2.80, Spartak Moscow 2.22.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Shanghai, after a shootout, Oct 25. Odds: Spartak Moscow 1.94, Shanghai 3.28.
- Win, 3–1 against Cherepovets, Oct 23. Odds: Spartak Moscow 1.93, Cherepovets 3.32.
- Win, 2–0 against CSKA Moscow, Oct 21. Odds: Spartak Moscow 2.95, CSKA Moscow 2.14.
- Win, 5–1 at Vladivostok, Oct 16. Odds: Vladivostok 3.15, Spartak Moscow 1.93.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 07:07 2 min Cherepovets: Chuklinov S. Delay of game
- 07:07 2 min Spartak Moscow: — Too many men on the ice
- 19:10 Goal Spartak Moscow: Pivchulin D. assists: Ryabov I., Comtois M. 0-1
2nd period0-3
- 11:29 Goal Spartak Moscow: Pivchulin D. assists: Kotlyarov I. 0-2
- 15:27 2 min Cherepovets: Abrosimov R. Delay of game
- 15:59 Goal PPG Spartak Moscow: Belyayev A. assists: Rubtsov G., Comtois M. 0-3
- 17:54 Goal Spartak Moscow: Pashin A. assists: Kholodilin N., Orlov D. 0-4
3rd period1-1
- 04:47 Goal Spartak Moscow: Kotlyarov I. assists: Keane J. 0-5
- 14:40 2 min Spartak Moscow: Filin Y. Tripping
- 14:52 Goal PPG Cherepovets: Ivantsov I. assists: Skorenov A., Kaldis Y. 1-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Cherepovets and Spartak Moscow played yesterday.
- In goal: Skotnikov V. for Cherepovets (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Zagidulin A. for Spartak Moscow (4-2-4 in the last 10 starts).
- 7-1-1 away for Spartak Moscow this season.
- The total moved down from 5.5 to 4.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Spartak Moscow.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CHE) | 2.60 | 2.85 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 3.80 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (SPA) | 2.29 | 2.19 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 4.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap CHE | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37 | .771 | 78 | 45 | +33 | |
| 2 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 35 | .729 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 3 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 64 | 51 | +13 | |
| 4 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .600 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 5 | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 30 | .600 | 59 | 57 | +2 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 30 | .652 | 68 | 59 | +9 | |
| 7 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 72 | 68 | +4 | |
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | .500 | 60 | 74 | −14 | |
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .481 | 56 | 68 | −12 | |
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 16 | .333 | 42 | 81 | −39 | |
| 11 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | .300 | 38 | 81 | −43 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Cherepovets host Spartak Moscow in the KHL on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.