Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars prediction
Chance to win · 28% and 50% in regulation
Knight S.StartedSV 87.2% · GAA 3.70 · 5-5-0
Oettinger J.StartedSV 92.2% · GAA 2.00 · 4-4-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonStarsodds down 1.82Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.40Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostBlackhawks +2.5odds up 1.33Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonStarsodds down 1.47Confidence 63%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonStars or drawodds down 1.27Confidence 73%
- Draw no betWonStarsodds down 1.42Confidence 66%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.09Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostStarsodds down 2.36Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.82Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Blackhawks 2–4
Stars Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–4After 60 min0–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-2, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 2-3 (3%), 3-5 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formChicago Blackhawks
Dallas Stars
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Blackhawks 3–2
Stars - Mar 8, 2026: Dallas Stars 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3, after overtime.
- Jan 1, 2026: Chicago Blackhawks 4, Dallas Stars 3.
- Dec 27, 2025: Dallas Stars 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4, after a shootout.
- Dec 29, 2024: Chicago Blackhawks 1, Dallas Stars 5.
- Nov 27, 2024: Chicago Blackhawks 6, Dallas Stars 2.
Last five games
Blackhawks
3-2-0 - Win, 4–3 against Winnipeg Jets, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Blackhawks 2.70, Jets 2.18.
- Win, 5–3 against Pittsburgh Penguins, Oct 13. Odds: Blackhawks 3.10, Penguins 1.95.
- Loss, 2–5 against Carolina Hurricanes, Oct 10. Odds: Blackhawks 3.50, Hurricanes 1.80.
- Loss, 1–4 at New York Islanders, Oct 8.
- Win, 4–2 against St. Louis Blues, Oct 6.
Stars
3-1-1 - Win, 3–2 at Colorado Avalanche, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Avalanche 2.04, Stars 3.18.
- Loss, 2–3 against Colorado Avalanche, Oct 13. Odds: Stars 2.43, Avalanche 2.60.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Pittsburgh Penguins, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: Penguins 2.60, Stars 2.30.
- Win, 4–0 at Buffalo Sabres, Oct 8.
- Win, 5–0 against San Jose Sharks, Oct 5.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 05:29 2 min Chicago Blackhawks: Rinzel S. Interference
- 13:41 2 min Dallas Stars: Hryckowian J. Holding
- 14:22 2 min Chicago Blackhawks: Kantserov R. High sticking
- 15:15 2 min Dallas Stars: Lundkvist N. Holding
2nd period0-2
- 03:19 2 min Chicago Blackhawks: Levshunov A. Tripping
- 04:58 Goal PPG Dallas Stars: Robertson J. assists: Rantanen M., Harley T. 0-1
- 11:13 2 min Chicago Blackhawks: Moore O. Cross checking
- 14:10 Goal Dallas Stars: Hyry A. assists: Steel S. 0-2
- 18:06 2 min Dallas Stars: Hintz R. Cross checking
- 19:07 2 min Chicago Blackhawks: Kane P. Hooking
3rd period0-2
- 01:27 Goal Dallas Stars: Hyry A. assists: Lundkvist N. 0-3
- 02:49 2 min Dallas Stars: Myers T. Tripping
- 09:40 Goal Dallas Stars: Hintz R. assists: Seguin T., Robertson J. 0-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Knight S. for Chicago Blackhawks (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Oettinger J. for Dallas Stars (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Chicago Blackhawks.
- +2.3 goals at home — Chicago Blackhawks averaged 3.8 at home and 1.5 away this season.
- Save % gap: Chicago Blackhawks 87.0%, Dallas Stars 92.3% over their recent games.
- 7.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CHI) | 3.66 | 3.66 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.33 | 4.33 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (DAL) | 1.80 | 1.80 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap CHI | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Wild |
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Colorado Avalanche |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 |
| 3 |  Nashville Predators |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 |
| 4 | Dallas Stars |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 5 |  Utah Mammoth |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 |
| 6 |  Winnipeg Jets |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 |
| 7 |  St. Louis Blues |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 |
| 8 | Chicago Blackhawks |
18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Chicago Blackhawks host Dallas Stars in the NHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.