Chicago Blackhawks vs Montreal Canadiens prediction
Chicago Blackhawks 1–, Montreal Canadiens 4
FT
Puck drop 20:00 ET
1X2 odds down 3.201X2 1.91
United Center (Chicago, IL) · USAUnited Center (Chicago, IL)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
CHI
1
0
0
MTL
1
2
1
41%Chicago win · 30% in regulationCHI
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
59%Montreal win · 47% in regulationMTL
Chance to win · 30% and 47% in regulation
Knight S.StartedSV 88.6% · GAA 3.40 · 5-5-0
Fowler J.StartedSV 91.8% · GAA 2.00 · 8-2-0
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Won
Canadiens or draw
odds down 1.40
Confidence71%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonCanadiensodds down 2.17Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.35Confidence 70%
- HandicapLostBlackhawks +1.5odds up 1.40Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCanadiensodds down 1.70Confidence 61%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonCanadiens or drawodds down 1.40Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonCanadiensodds down 1.70Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCanadiensodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.73Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Blackhawks 2–3
Canadiens
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 5
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Decided in regulation
Montreal to winTo win
59%
MTL won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Chicago Blackhawks
Montreal Canadiens
Chicago Blackhawks
Montreal Canadiens
Season recordChicago Blackhawks 3-6-0Montreal Canadiens 4-3-2
Home / road splitChicago Blackhawks 3-2-0Montreal Canadiens 1-1-1
StreakChicago Blackhawks L1Montreal Canadiens L1
RestChicago Blackhawks 5 daysMontreal Canadiens 2 days
Goals forChicago Blackhawks 2.3Montreal Canadiens 3.3
Goals againstChicago Blackhawks 4.0Montreal Canadiens 3.8
In the standingsChicago Blackhawks 8thMontreal Canadiens 2nd
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameChicago Blackhawks −1.2Montreal Canadiens −1.1
Goals forChicago Blackhawks 2.6Montreal Canadiens 2.9
Goals againstChicago Blackhawks 3.8Montreal Canadiens 4.0
Shots on goalChicago Blackhawks 21.7Montreal Canadiens 29.1
Shots againstChicago Blackhawks 29.2Montreal Canadiens 26.3
Shooting %Chicago Blackhawks 12.0%Montreal Canadiens 10.0%
Save %Chicago Blackhawks 87.7%Montreal Canadiens 86.3%
Power-play %Chicago Blackhawks 9.4%Montreal Canadiens 10.9%
Penalty kill %Chicago Blackhawks 78.9%Montreal Canadiens 83.3%
Faceoff %Chicago Blackhawks 43.1%Montreal Canadiens 52.7%
Penalty minutesChicago Blackhawks 9.3Montreal Canadiens 11.6
HitsChicago Blackhawks 16.1Montreal Canadiens 19.4
Blocked shotsChicago Blackhawks 10.5Montreal Canadiens 15.5
Per game · CHI at home, MTL away
Goal differential per gameChicago Blackhawks −1.1Montreal Canadiens +0.3
Goals forChicago Blackhawks 2.9Montreal Canadiens 3.7
Goals againstChicago Blackhawks 4.0Montreal Canadiens 3.4
Shots on goalChicago Blackhawks 23.4Montreal Canadiens 24.3
Shots againstChicago Blackhawks 27.7Montreal Canadiens 28.5
Shooting %Chicago Blackhawks 12.4%Montreal Canadiens 15.2%
Save %Chicago Blackhawks 85.6%Montreal Canadiens 88.4%
Power-play %Chicago Blackhawks 9.4%Montreal Canadiens 16.7%
Penalty kill %Chicago Blackhawks 77.8%Montreal Canadiens 86.0%
Faceoff %Chicago Blackhawks 45.1%Montreal Canadiens 53.6%
Penalty minutesChicago Blackhawks 5.4Montreal Canadiens 10.2
HitsChicago Blackhawks 15.3Montreal Canadiens 21.3
Blocked shotsChicago Blackhawks 9.8Montreal Canadiens 14.2
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Blackhawks 2–2
Canadiens
Goals a gameGoals
5.8
CHI 2.8 · MTL 3.0
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
1 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 4
1 in a shootout
- Dec 18, 2025: Montreal Canadiens 4, Chicago Blackhawks 1.
- Oct 11, 2025: Chicago Blackhawks 2, Montreal Canadiens 3.
- Apr 14, 2025: Montreal Canadiens 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4, after a shootout.
- Jan 3, 2025: Chicago Blackhawks 4, Montreal Canadiens 2.
Last five games
Blackhawks
2-3-0 - Loss, 0–4 against Dallas Stars, Oct 17. Odds: Blackhawks 3.66, Stars 1.80.
- Win, 4–3 against Winnipeg Jets, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Blackhawks 2.70, Jets 2.18.
- Win, 5–3 against Pittsburgh Penguins, Oct 13. Odds: Blackhawks 3.10, Penguins 1.95.
- Loss, 2–5 against Carolina Hurricanes, Oct 10. Odds: Blackhawks 3.50, Hurricanes 1.80.
- Loss, 1–4 at New York Islanders, Oct 8.
Canadiens
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 against San Jose Sharks, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Canadiens 1.70, Sharks 3.70.
- Win, 4–3 against Buffalo Sabres, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Canadiens 2.13, Sabres 2.82.
- Loss, 4–5 at Washington Capitals, Oct 14. Odds: Capitals 2.34, Canadiens 2.65.
- Win, 4–3 against Buffalo Sabres, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: Canadiens 2.06, Sabres 3.09.
- Win, 1–0 against Detroit Red Wings, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: Canadiens 1.95, Red Wings 3.05.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 04:23 Goal Chicago Blackhawks: Bedard C. assists: Kane P. 1-0
- 04:49 2 min Chicago Blackhawks: Bedard C. Elbowing
- 12:10 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Slafkovsky J. Elbowing
- 17:29 Goal Montreal Canadiens: Evans J. assists: Dach K., Beck O. 1-1
- 19:44 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Newhook A. Tripping
2nd period0-2
- 03:59 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Bolduc Z. Tripping
- 06:36 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Kreider C. High sticking
- 07:45 Goal SHG Montreal Canadiens: Evans J. assists: Guhle K. 1-2
- 11:24 2 min Chicago Blackhawks: Kane P. Hooking
- 18:26 Goal Montreal Canadiens: Guhle K. assists: Evans J., Carrier A. 1-3
3rd period0-1
- 13:46 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Slafkovsky J. Hooking
- 14:08 2 min Chicago Blackhawks: Teravainen T. Interference
- 17:22 Goal ENG Montreal Canadiens: Matheson M. assists: Danault P. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Chicago Blackhawks, 2 for Montreal Canadiens.
- In goal: Knight S. for Chicago Blackhawks (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Fowler J. for Montreal Canadiens (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts).
- +1.5 goals at home — Chicago Blackhawks averaged 3.0 at home and 1.5 away this season.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CHI) | 3.25 | 3.20 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MTL) | 1.91 | 1.91 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap CHI | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Wild |
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Colorado Avalanche |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 |
| 3 |  Nashville Predators |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 |
| 4 |  Dallas Stars |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 5 |  Utah Mammoth |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 |
| 6 |  Winnipeg Jets |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 |
| 7 |  St. Louis Blues |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 |
| 8 | Chicago Blackhawks |
18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 | Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Chicago Blackhawks host Montreal Canadiens in the NHL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.