Chicoutimi Sagueneens vs Sherbrooke Phoenix prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 37% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostChicoutimiodds up 2.22Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonSherbrooke +1.5odds down 1.38Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostChicoutimiodds up 1.78Confidence 54%
- Double chanceLostChicoutimi or drawodds up 1.44Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostChicoutimiodds up 1.75Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.03Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostChicoutimiodds up 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.58Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Chicoutimi 4–3
Sherbrooke Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min3–52%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonChicoutimi Sagueneens
Sherbrooke Phoenix
Head-to-head
Chicoutimi 3–2
Sherbrooke - Oct 30, 2026: Sherbrooke Phoenix 1, Chicoutimi Sagueneens 2.
- Mar 13, 2026: Sherbrooke Phoenix 6, Chicoutimi Sagueneens 3.
- Feb 26, 2026: Chicoutimi Sagueneens 1, Sherbrooke Phoenix 3.
- Jan 3, 2026: Sherbrooke Phoenix 2, Chicoutimi Sagueneens 4.
- Nov 1, 2025: Chicoutimi Sagueneens 4, Sherbrooke Phoenix 3.
Last five games
Chicoutimi
2-3-0 - Win, 3–2 at Gatineau Olympiques, Oct 12. Odds: Gatineau 1.81, Chicoutimi 3.28.
- Loss, 6–7 at Quebec Remparts, Oct 11. Odds: Quebec 1.44, Chicoutimi 5.10.
- Win, 4–2 against Cape Breton Eagles, Oct 9. Odds: Chicoutimi 2.60, Cape Breton 2.18.
- Loss, 2–3 against Victoriaville Tigres, Oct 4.
- Loss, 4–5 against Charlottetown Islanders, Oct 1.
Sherbrooke
3-1-1 - Win, 4–3 against Cape Breton Eagles, after overtime, Oct 12. Odds: Sherbrooke 2.47, Cape Breton 2.46.
- Win, 6–1 against Baie-Comeau Drakkar, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–4 against Rimouski Oceanic, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–4 against Rimouski Oceanic, Oct 1.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Blainville-Boisbriand Armada, after overtime, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 03:14 Goal PPG Sherbrooke Phoenix: Carbonneau A. 0-1
- 12:04 Goal Chicoutimi Sagueneens: Berthelot C. 1-1
- 17:47 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Mazzola N. 1-2
2nd period1-1
- 05:59 Goal PPG Chicoutimi Sagueneens: Lecompte N. assists: Mohesky A., O'Neill C. 2-2
- 14:18 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Houle F. 2-3
3rd period1-2
- 07:35 Goal PPG Sherbrooke Phoenix: Houle F. assists: Plouffe J., Kolmakov I. 2-4
- 12:00 Goal Chicoutimi Sagueneens: Lecompte N. 3-4
- 19:57 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Lampron O. 3-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Chicoutimi Sagueneens.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CHI) | 2.24 | 2.45 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SHE) | 2.42 | 2.21 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap CHI | −1.5 | +1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
QMJHL standings
Regular Season · East Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Quebec Remparts |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 70 | 48 | +22 |
| 2 |  Rimouski Oceanic |
18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .583 | 78 | 63 | +15 |
| 3 | Chicoutimi Sagueneens |
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 18 | .529 | 62 | 56 | +6 |
| 4 |  Baie-Comeau Drakkar |
17 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 7 | .206 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Victoriaville Tigres |
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 78 | 70 | +8 |
| 2 | Sherbrooke Phoenix |
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .625 | 62 | 46 | +16 |
| 3 |  Drummondville Voltigeurs |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 61 | 69 | −8 |
| 4 |  Shawinigan Cataractes |
16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 11 | .344 | 51 | 78 | −27 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Chicoutimi Sagueneens host Sherbrooke Phoenix in the QMJHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.