Cholet vs Lyon prediction
Chance to win · 51% and 29% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostCholetodds down 1.88Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.60Confidence 54%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonLyon +1.51.50Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostCholetodds down 1.57Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonCholet or draw1.32Confidence 69%
- Draw no betPushCholetConfidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCholetConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.71Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; form from only 4 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Cholet 4–3
Lyon Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min3–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–28%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (0%)
Season so far
This seasonCholet
Lyon
Head-to-head
Cholet 2–0
Lyon - Nov 15, 2025: Lyon 1, Cholet 4.
- Oct 15, 2025: Cholet 7, Lyon 4.
Last five games
Cholet
2-2-1 - Win, 2–1 at La Roche sur Yon, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: La Roche 8.70, Cholet 1.22.
- Loss, 1–3 against Nantes, Oct 16. Odds: Cholet 1.77, Nantes 3.40.
- Loss, 3–4 at Villard, Oct 10.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Meudon, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Win, 5–0 against Nantes, Sep 26.
Lyon
3-2-0 - Win, 4–2 against Strasbourg, Oct 24. Odds: Lyon 1.88, Strasbourg 2.90.
- Loss, 4–10 against Grenoble, Oct 20. Odds: Lyon 15.00, Grenoble 1.12.
- Win, 3–2 at Valenciennes, Oct 17. Odds: Valenciennes 2.46, Lyon 2.11.
- Win, 5–2 against Chambery, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–3 at Tours, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Cholet, 3 for Lyon.
- The total moved up from 5.5 to 6.5 since it was first published.
- 15th vs 2nd in the D1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CHO) | 1.85 | 1.85 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.45 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (LYO) | 2.95 | 2.95 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap CHO | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
D1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nantes |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1.188 | 28 | 14 | +14 |
| 2 | Lyon |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1.063 | 33 | 23 | +10 |
| 3 |  Dunkerque Corsaires |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.000 | 35 | 20 | +15 |
| 4 |  Neuilly Sur Marne |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 29 | 24 | +5 |
| 5 |  Valence |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 6 |  Epinal |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 23 | 15 | +8 |
| 7 |  Caen |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .929 | 24 | 16 | +8 |
| 8 |  Chambery |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .833 | 21 | 16 | +5 |
| 9 |  Meudon |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .625 | 21 | 25 | −4 |
| 10 |  Tours |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .714 | 18 | 30 | −12 |
| 11 |  Mont Blanc |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .643 | 23 | 24 | −1 |
| 12 |  Villard |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 27 | −9 |
| 13 |  Morzine-Avoriaz |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 22 | 32 | −10 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 15 | 26 | −11 |
| 15 | Cholet |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | .417 | 14 | 19 | −5 |
| 16 |  Valenciennes |
7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 11 | 32 | −21 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Cholet host Lyon in the D1 on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.