Cholet vs Nantes prediction
Chance to win · 61% and 20% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostCholetodds up 1.58Confidence 59%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU61.61Confidence 66%
- HandicapWonNantes +1.51.67Confidence 55%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostCholetodds up 1.35Confidence 64%
- Double chanceLostCholet or drawodds up 1.17Confidence 69%
- Draw no betLostCholetConfidence 66%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCholetodds up 2.09Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 3 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Cholet 3–2
Nantes Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–35%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–119%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 2-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonCholet
Nantes
Head-to-head
Cholet 3–2
Nantes - Sep 26, 2026: Cholet 5, Nantes 0.
- Feb 7, 2026: Cholet 2, Nantes 1.
- Nov 22, 2025: Nantes 5, Cholet 4.
- Feb 15, 2025: Cholet 2, Nantes 4.
- Nov 2, 2024: Nantes 0, Cholet 4.
Last five games
Cholet
3-1-1 - Loss, 3–4 at Villard, Oct 10.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Meudon, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Win, 5–0 against Nantes, Sep 26.
- Win, 3–2 at Caen, after overtime, Apr 26.
- Win, 4–2 against Caen, Apr 23.
Nantes
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 against Strasbourg, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–0 at Valenciennes, Oct 3.
- Loss, 0–5 at Cholet, Sep 26.
- Win, 5–4 against HCMP, after overtime, Mar 22.
- Win, 5–3 at HCMP, Mar 18.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Cholet.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 15th vs 1st in the D1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CHO) | 1.77 | 1.77 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NAN) | 3.40 | 3.40 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap CHO | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
D1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nantes |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1.188 | 28 | 14 | +14 |
| 2 |  Lyon |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1.063 | 33 | 23 | +10 |
| 3 |  Dunkerque Corsaires |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.000 | 35 | 20 | +15 |
| 4 |  Neuilly Sur Marne |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 29 | 24 | +5 |
| 5 |  Valence |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 6 |  Epinal |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 23 | 15 | +8 |
| 7 |  Caen |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .929 | 24 | 16 | +8 |
| 8 |  Chambery |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .833 | 21 | 16 | +5 |
| 9 |  Meudon |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .625 | 21 | 25 | −4 |
| 10 |  Tours |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .714 | 18 | 30 | −12 |
| 11 |  Mont Blanc |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .643 | 23 | 24 | −1 |
| 12 |  Villard |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 27 | −9 |
| 13 |  Morzine-Avoriaz |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 22 | 32 | −10 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 15 | 26 | −11 |
| 15 | Cholet |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | .417 | 14 | 19 | −5 |
| 16 |  Valenciennes |
7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 11 | 32 | −21 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Cholet host Nantes in the D1 on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.