Chur vs Arosa Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under

O6.5 1.76

Confidence52%

All predictions

9 picks · Average confidence 73%

Full game

1X2Chur1.15Confidence 77%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderO6.51.76Confidence 52%
HandicapChur -1.5Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)Chur1.05Confidence 84%
Double chanceChur or draw1.01Confidence 89%
Draw no betChurConfidence 88%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)YesConfidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2ChurConfidence 56%
1st period Over/UnderO1.51.58Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Chur 52

Arosa

Predicted score

Total goalsTotal 7 Line 6.5 · Over

Draw after 60 minDraw 12%

CHU to winTo win 86% 79% in regulation

Score details

Correct score5–26%chance
1st period correct score2–014%chance
Highest scoring period2nd period30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 5-2
By period 2-0, 2-1, 1-1
Likeliest 5-2 (6%), 6-1 (4%), 6-2 (4%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record5-8-13-11-0

Home / road split3-3-12-6-0

StreakL1L3

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for3.11.8

Goals against3.55.2

In the standings7th9th

Head-to-head

Chur 50

Arosa

Chur won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.0 CHU 4.8 · ARO 1.2

Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Oct 3, 2026: Chur 5, Arosa 1.
Jan 30, 2026: Chur 5, Arosa 1.
Dec 28, 2025: Arosa 3, Chur 4, after overtime.
Dec 27, 2025: Chur 3, Arosa 0.
Oct 28, 2025: Arosa 1, Chur 7.

Last five games

Chur 2-3-0

Loss, 1–4 at Basel, Nov 10. Odds: Basel 1.83, Chur 3.05.
Win, 5–1 against Bellinzona Snakes, Oct 31. Odds: Chur 1.40, Bellinzona 5.60.
Loss, 4–5 at Thurgau, Oct 29. Odds: Thurgau 2.25, Chur 2.45.
Loss, 0–5 at Olten, Oct 24. Odds: Olten 2.35, Chur 2.25.
Win, 6–3 against GCK Lions, Oct 17. Odds: Chur 1.76, GCK Lions 3.33.

Arosa 1-4-0

Loss, 0–6 against Visp, Nov 10. Odds: Arosa 13.00, Visp 1.14.
Loss, 0–8 at Sierre, Oct 31. Odds: Sierre 1.02, Arosa 25.00.
Loss, 1–7 against La Chaux-de-Fonds, Oct 29. Odds: Arosa 7.20, Chaux-de-Fonds 1.30.
Win, 4–2 at Bellinzona Snakes, Oct 25. Odds: Bellinzona 1.53, Arosa 4.40.
Loss, 3–10 at Olten, Oct 20. Odds: Olten 1.30, Arosa 6.30.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Key insights

3-game losing streak for Arosa coming into this game.
2-6-0 away for Arosa this season.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Chur.
+0.9 goals at home — Chur averaged 3.6 at home and 2.7 away this season.
6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (CHU)	1.17	1.16	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	6.60	6.50	Shortened
1X2: 2 (ARO)	11.00	10.50	Shortened
Over/Under line	6.5	6.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Swiss League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Sierre	14	13	1	0	37	1.321	75	32	+43
2	Basel	14	10	2	2	31	1.107	51	40	+11
3	Visp	12	9	0	3	28	1.167	47	18	+29
4	Olten	14	8	6	0	24	.857	60	49	+11
5	La Chaux-de-Fonds	13	8	5	0	23	.885	53	40	+13
6	Thurgau	14	6	7	1	17	.607	36	48	−12
7	Chur	14	5	8	1	16	.571	44	49	−5
8	Bellinzona Snakes	14	4	8	2	13	.464	33	48	−15
9	Arosa	14	3	11	0	9	.321	25	73	−48
10	GCK Lions	15	3	10	2	9	.300	33	60	−27

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Chur vs Arosa prediction