Chur vs GCK Lions prediction
Chance to win · 53% and 28% in regulation
Brun A.Started6-3-1
Metzger T.Started4-6-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonChurodds up 1.74Confidence 54%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.31Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostGCK Lions +1.51.54Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonChurodds up 1.45Confidence 64%
- Double chanceWonChur or draw1.26Confidence 73%
- Draw no betWonChur1.40Confidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostChur2.20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.76Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Chur 3–2
GCK Lions Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min6–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonChur
GCK Lions
Head-to-head
Chur 5–0
GCK Lions - Sep 18, 2026: GCK Lions 3, Chur 6.
- Feb 15, 2026: Chur 4, GCK Lions 2.
- Jan 10, 2026: Chur 4, GCK Lions 1.
- Dec 7, 2025: GCK Lions 3, Chur 4, after overtime.
- Oct 17, 2025: GCK Lions 3, Chur 4, after overtime.
Last five games
Chur
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–3 at Visp, Oct 13. Odds: Visp 1.63, Chur 3.96.
- Loss, 2–5 against Sierre, Oct 10. Odds: Chur 4.45, Sierre 1.52.
- Win, 5–2 at La Chaux-de-Fonds, Oct 6.
- Win, 5–1 against Arosa, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–3 against Basel, Sep 29.
GCK Lions
2-2-1 - Win, 4–3 against Basel, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: GCK Lions 2.88, Basel 1.91.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Thurgau, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Thurgau 1.64, GCK Lions 3.75.
- Loss, 3–4 at Arosa, Oct 6.
- Loss, 1–3 against Bellinzona Snakes, Oct 3.
- Win, 7–5 at Olten, Sep 29.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 08:37 Goal Chur: Bartholet D. assists: Melnalksnis R., Jenni T. 1-0
- 18:54 Goal PPG GCK Lions: Greuter N. assists: Dedial L., Eggenberger F. 1-1
2nd period2-1
- 01:12 Goal Chur: Hammerer G. assists: Frei L. 2-1
- 08:59 Goal Chur: Winter K. assists: Melnalksnis R., Pekar M. 3-1
- 14:13 Goal GCK Lions: Haag V. assists: Tiutiaev K., Mettler J. 3-2
3rd period3-1
- 04:43 Goal GCK Lions: Ponzetto Y. assists: Ulrich N., Holzer N. 3-3
- 06:00 Goal Chur: Bont K. assists: Wyss L., Baer S. 4-3
- 16:06 Goal Chur: Melnalksnis R. assists: Jenni T., Smons S. 5-3
- 18:41 Goal Chur: Jenni T. assists: Canova J. 6-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-3-1 at home for Chur this season.
- 1-2-2 away for GCK Lions this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Chur.
- In goal: Brun A. for Chur (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Metzger T. for GCK Lions (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CHU) | 1.78 | 1.76 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.70 | 4.70 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LIO) | 3.28 | 3.33 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap CHU | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Swiss League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sierre |
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 1.321 | 75 | 32 | +43 |
| 2 |  Basel |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 51 | 40 | +11 |
| 3 |  Visp |
12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 1.167 | 47 | 18 | +29 |
| 4 |  Olten |
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 24 | .857 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 5 |  La Chaux-de-Fonds |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 23 | .885 | 53 | 40 | +13 |
| 6 |  Thurgau |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 17 | .607 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 7 | Chur |
14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 8 |  Bellinzona Snakes |
14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13 | .464 | 33 | 48 | −15 |
| 9 |  Arosa |
14 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 9 | .321 | 25 | 73 | −48 |
| 10 | GCK Lions |
15 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 9 | .300 | 33 | 60 | −27 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Chur host GCK Lions in the Swiss League on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.