Coachella Valley Firebirds vs Tucson Roadrunners prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 42% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonTucsonodds down 2.77Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.39Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonTucson +1.51.38Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTucsonodds down 2.12Confidence 55%
- Double chanceWonTucson or drawodds down 1.60Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonTucsonodds down 2.15Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonTucsonodds down 3.10Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.85Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Coachella 1–4
Tucson Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min1–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-5 (4%), 2-3 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formCoachella Valley Firebirds
Tucson Roadrunners
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Coachella 1–4
Tucson - Nov 7, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 3, Coachella Valley Firebirds 2, after overtime.
- Nov 6, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 3, Coachella Valley Firebirds 1.
- Feb 15, 2026: Coachella Valley Firebirds 2, Tucson Roadrunners 3.
- Feb 13, 2026: Coachella Valley Firebirds 6, Tucson Roadrunners 1.
- Nov 8, 2025: Tucson Roadrunners 4, Coachella Valley Firebirds 3, after overtime.
Last five games
Coachella
1-3-1 - Loss, 2–5 against San Jose Barracuda, Oct 23. Odds: Coachella 2.15, San Jose 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 at San Diego Gulls, Oct 21. Odds: San Diego 2.55, Coachella 2.15.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Abbotsford Canucks, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Abbotsford 2.12, Coachella 2.45.
- Loss, 3–7 at Abbotsford Canucks, Oct 17. Odds: Abbotsford 2.25, Coachella 2.35.
- Loss, 0–4 at Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 14. Odds: Henderson 2.10, Coachella 2.65.
Tucson
3-0-2 - Win, 4–1 at Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 24. Odds: Henderson 2.25, Tucson 2.45.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Henderson Silver Knights, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Henderson 2.50, Tucson 2.20.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against San Diego Gulls, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Tucson 2.37, San Diego 2.15.
- Win, 3–0 against San Diego Gulls, Oct 16. Odds: Tucson 2.38, San Diego 2.32.
- Win, 4–1 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 19:37 Goal SHG Tucson Roadrunners: McCartney B. assists: Hebig C. 0-1
2nd period0-3
- 02:06 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Iginla T. assists: Roy J., Onyebuchi M. 0-2
- 10:08 Goal PPG Tucson Roadrunners: Poganski A. assists: Jones Z., Desnoyers C. 0-3
- 14:34 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Jones Z. assists: Russo R., Tanev B. 0-4
3rd period1-1
- 00:23 Goal Coachella Valley Firebirds: Firkus J. assists: Hammell K., Avon J. 1-4
- 05:45 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: McCartney B. assists: Poganski A., Hebig C. 1-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Goal differential gap of 1.6 per game — Coachella Valley Firebirds −0.9, Tucson Roadrunners +0.7 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Tucson Roadrunners.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Coachella Valley Firebirds.
- Save % gap: Coachella Valley Firebirds 87.1%, Tucson Roadrunners 91.0% over their recent games.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CVF) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TUC) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap CVF | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 |  Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 |  Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 | Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 |  Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 |  San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 |  San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 |  Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Coachella Valley Firebirds host Tucson Roadrunners in the AHL on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.