Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames Prediction & Picks

Banker of the dayBanker Draw no bet Won

Avalanche 1.17

Confidence93%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Full game

1X2WonAvalanche1.40Confidence 66%
Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.40Confidence 57%
HandicapWonFlames +3.5odds down 1.30Confidence 64%
Winner (incl. OT)WonAvalancheodds up 1.19Confidence 77%
Double chanceWonAvalanche or draw1.12Confidence 83%
Banker of the day: Draw no betWonAvalancheodds up 1.17Confidence 93%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.09Confidence 87%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonAvalancheodds up 1.86Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.66Confidence 56%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; the odds drifted 5% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Avalanche 41

Flames

Final 5–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 19% Decided in regulation

Colorado to winTo win 74% COL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–27%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–011%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals31%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (6%), 4-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-5-16-7-0

Home / road split5-1-11-4-0

StreakW1W1

Rest2 daysBack-to-back

Goals for4.22.6

Goals against3.23.6

In the standings4th12th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.50.0

Goals for3.83.1

Goals against3.33.1

Shots on goal29.529.2

Shots against28.530.0

Shooting %12.9%10.6%

Save %89.1%89.7%

Power-play %10.3%21.4%

Penalty kill %77.5%86.7%

Faceoff %46.4%48.0%

Penalty minutes10.211.6

Blocked shots16.214.1

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Avalanche 41

Flames

Colorado won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.8 COL 4.8 · CGY 2.0

Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Oct 8, 2026: Calgary Flames 3, Colorado Avalanche 7.
Apr 14, 2026: Calgary Flames 1, Colorado Avalanche 3.
Apr 9, 2026: Colorado Avalanche 3, Calgary Flames 1.
Mar 30, 2026: Colorado Avalanche 9, Calgary Flames 2.
Mar 31, 2025: Colorado Avalanche 2, Calgary Flames 3, after a shootout.

Last five games

Avalanche 2-3-0

Win, 5–2 against New Jersey Devils, Oct 28. Odds: Avalanche 1.96, Devils 3.10.
Loss, 2–6 at Nashville Predators, Oct 25. Odds: Predators 4.20, Avalanche 1.60.
Win, 6–3 against Tampa Bay Lightning, Oct 23. Odds: Avalanche 2.15, Lightning 2.70.
Loss, 3–4 at New Jersey Devils, Oct 20. Odds: Devils 2.32, Avalanche 2.42.
Loss, 2–3 at Philadelphia Flyers, Oct 19. Odds: Flyers 4.25, Avalanche 1.62.

Flames 4-1-0

Win, 6–2 against Seattle Kraken, Oct 30. Odds: Flames 2.45, Kraken 2.41.
Loss, 0–4 at Edmonton Oilers, Oct 28. Odds: Oilers 1.76, Flames 3.55.
Win, 5–2 against Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 26. Odds: Flames 2.85, Maple Leafs 2.05.
Win, 4–1 against Detroit Red Wings, Oct 24. Odds: Flames 2.75, Red Wings 2.15.
Win, 2–1 against Minnesota Wild, Oct 22. Odds: Flames 4.00, Wild 1.67.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

14:13 Goal Colorado Avalanche: MacKinnon N. assists: Makar C., Necas M. 1-0

2nd period3-1

00:55 2 min Calgary Flames: Strome R. High sticking
02:37 Goal PPG Colorado Avalanche: Necas M. assists: Kadri N., MacKinnon N. 2-0
05:48 Goal Colorado Avalanche: Lehkonen A. assists: Makar C., Toews D. 3-0
09:07 Goal Colorado Avalanche: Nelson B. assists: Landeskog G., Makar C. 4-0
10:50 Goal Calgary Flames: Farabee J. assists: Backlund M. 4-1

3rd period1-1

01:59 Goal Calgary Flames: Pospisil M. assists: Strome R., Parekh Z. 4-2
04:09 Goal Colorado Avalanche: Lehkonen A. assists: Makar C., Toews D. 5-2
13:36 2 min Calgary Flames: Kuznetsov Y. High sticking

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for Calgary Flames, who played yesterday.
1-4-0 away for Calgary Flames this season.
In goal: Blackwood M. for Colorado Avalanche (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts), Sergeev A. for Calgary Flames.
The total moved up from 5.5 to 6.5 since it was first published.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Colorado Avalanche.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (COL)	1.35	1.35	No change
1X2: X (draw)	5.50	5.50	No change
1X2: 2 (CGY)	6.25	6.25	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	6.5	Line raised
Handicap COL	−1.5	−2.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

NHL standings

Regular Season · Western Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Minnesota Wild	20	13	3	4	30	.750	65	44	+21
2	Edmonton Oilers	19	13	3	3	29	.763	78	56	+22
3	Vegas Golden Knights	19	12	5	2	26	.684	64	51	+13
4	Colorado Avalanche	19	11	6	2	24	.632	78	59	+19
5	Nashville Predators	18	9	4	5	23	.639	55	51	+4
6	Dallas Stars	17	10	5	2	22	.647	49	41	+8
7	Anaheim Ducks	18	10	7	1	21	.583	69	66	+3
8	Utah Mammoth	18	10	7	1	21	.583	63	63	0
9	Seattle Kraken	16	9	6	1	19	.594	57	57	0
10	Winnipeg Jets	19	8	8	3	19	.500	53	65	−12
11	St. Louis Blues	18	8	8	2	18	.500	53	55	−2
12	Calgary Flames	18	8	9	1	17	.472	46	63	−17
13	San Jose Sharks	20	8	11	1	17	.425	51	71	−20
14	Los Angeles Kings	16	5	9	2	12	.375	45	55	−10
15	Chicago Blackhawks	18	4	13	1	9	.250	39	76	−37
16	Vancouver Canucks	20	3	16	1	7	.175	56	90	−34

Playoffs

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details