Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction
Columbus Blue Jackets 2–, Toronto Maple Leafs 6
FT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 1.911X2 3.05
Nationwide Arena (Columbus, OH) · USANationwide Arena (Columbus, OH)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
CBJ
1
0
1
TOR
1
4
1
58%Columbus win · 46% in regulationCBJ
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
42%Toronto win · 31% in regulationTOR
Chance to win · 46% and 31% in regulation
Greaves J.StartedSV 90% · GAA 2.70 · 5-5-0
Stolarz A.StartedSV 88.7% · GAA 3.00 · 6-4-0
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
Maple Leafs +2.5
odds down 1.27
Confidence71%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostBlue Jacketsodds up 1.98Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds down 1.38Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonMaple Leafs +2.5odds down 1.27Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostBlue Jacketsodds up 1.60Confidence 60%
- Double chanceLostBlue Jackets or drawodds up 1.32Confidence 70%
- Draw no betLostBlue Jacketsodds up 1.57Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostBlue Jacketsodds down 2.47Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.67Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Blue Jackets 4–2
Maple Leafs
Total goalsTotal
6
Actual 8
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Decided in regulation
Columbus to winTo win
58%
TOR won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min2–64%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%), 3-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Columbus Blue Jackets
Toronto Maple Leafs
Columbus Blue Jackets
Toronto Maple Leafs
Season recordColumbus Blue Jackets 3-4-0Toronto Maple Leafs 4-4-2
Home / road splitColumbus Blue Jackets 3-2-0Toronto Maple Leafs 1-1-1
StreakColumbus Blue Jackets L1Toronto Maple Leafs W1
RestColumbus Blue Jackets 1 dayToronto Maple Leafs Back-to-back
Goals forColumbus Blue Jackets 2.6Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2
Goals againstColumbus Blue Jackets 3.3Toronto Maple Leafs 3.3
In the standingsColumbus Blue Jackets 15thToronto Maple Leafs 12th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameColumbus Blue Jackets −0.5Toronto Maple Leafs 0.0
Goals forColumbus Blue Jackets 2.5Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2
Goals againstColumbus Blue Jackets 3.0Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2
Shots on goalColumbus Blue Jackets 27.8Toronto Maple Leafs 28.4
Shots againstColumbus Blue Jackets 26.0Toronto Maple Leafs 29.3
Shooting %Columbus Blue Jackets 9.0%Toronto Maple Leafs 11.3%
Save %Columbus Blue Jackets 89.2%Toronto Maple Leafs 89.4%
Power-play %Columbus Blue Jackets 9.7%Toronto Maple Leafs 26.8%
Penalty kill %Columbus Blue Jackets 73.7%Toronto Maple Leafs 97.4%
Faceoff %Columbus Blue Jackets 54.3%Toronto Maple Leafs 52.3%
Penalty minutesColumbus Blue Jackets 9.3Toronto Maple Leafs 8.1
HitsColumbus Blue Jackets 18.8Toronto Maple Leafs 18.4
Blocked shotsColumbus Blue Jackets 13.0Toronto Maple Leafs 11.0
Per game · CBJ at home, TOR away
Goal differential per gameColumbus Blue Jackets −0.9Toronto Maple Leafs −0.7
Goals forColumbus Blue Jackets 2.2Toronto Maple Leafs 3.4
Goals againstColumbus Blue Jackets 3.1Toronto Maple Leafs 4.1
Shots on goalColumbus Blue Jackets 27.4Toronto Maple Leafs 22.4
Shots againstColumbus Blue Jackets 27.5Toronto Maple Leafs 33.9
Shooting %Columbus Blue Jackets 8.0%Toronto Maple Leafs 15.2%
Save %Columbus Blue Jackets 89.5%Toronto Maple Leafs 88.5%
Power-play %Columbus Blue Jackets 10.3%Toronto Maple Leafs 32.4%
Penalty kill %Columbus Blue Jackets 65.8%Toronto Maple Leafs 85.2%
Faceoff %Columbus Blue Jackets 54.1%Toronto Maple Leafs 46.3%
Penalty minutesColumbus Blue Jackets 9.6Toronto Maple Leafs 15.4
HitsColumbus Blue Jackets 19.0Toronto Maple Leafs 21.8
Blocked shotsColumbus Blue Jackets 12.6Toronto Maple Leafs 10.2
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Blue Jackets 3–2
Maple Leafs
Goals a gameGoals
5.6
CBJ 3.0 · TOR 2.6
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
1 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
2 of 5
2 in overtime
- Nov 26, 2025: Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2, after overtime.
- Nov 20, 2025: Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3, after overtime.
- Oct 29, 2025: Columbus Blue Jackets 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3.
- Apr 5, 2025: Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 0.
- Jan 22, 2025: Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 5.
Last five games
Blue Jackets
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–2 at Minnesota Wild, Oct 18. Odds: Wild 1.70, Blue Jackets 3.80.
- Win, 1–0 against New York Rangers, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Blue Jackets 2.18, Rangers 2.75.
- Loss, 3–7 against Florida Panthers, Oct 13. Odds: Blue Jackets 2.26, Panthers 2.79.
- Loss, 3–5 at St. Louis Blues, Oct 10. Odds: Blues 2.30, Blue Jackets 2.60.
- Win, 3–2 against Pittsburgh Penguins, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Blue Jackets 2.30, Penguins 2.60.
Maple Leafs
2-2-1 - Win, 3–1 against San Jose Sharks, Oct 19. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.01, Sharks 3.00.
- Loss, 1–4 against New York Islanders, Oct 17. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.17, Islanders 2.77.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Buffalo Sabres, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.27, Sabres 2.50.
- Loss, 4–5 at Utah Mammoth, Oct 13. Odds: Mammoth 2.01, Maple Leafs 3.12.
- Win, 6–3 at Colorado Avalanche, Oct 10. Odds: Avalanche 1.86, Maple Leafs 3.25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 02:38 Goal Columbus Blue Jackets: Christiansen J. assists: Voronkov D., Nichushkin V. 1-0
- 05:41 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Lettieri V. Hooking
- 07:19 2 min Columbus Blue Jackets: Voronkov D. Slashing
- 08:16 Goal PPG Toronto Maple Leafs: Marchenko K. assists: Matthews A., Nylander W. 1-1
- 13:05 2 min Columbus Blue Jackets: Johnson K. High sticking
- 17:26 2 min Columbus Blue Jackets: Voronkov D. Tripping
- 18:58 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Rielly M. Interference
2nd period0-4
- 02:26 Goal Toronto Maple Leafs: Nylander W. assists: Rielly M., Sissons C. 1-2
- 03:12 Goal Toronto Maple Leafs: Matthews A. assists: Roslovic J., Cowan E. 1-3
- 04:57 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Rifai M. Slashing
- 06:48 Goal SHG Toronto Maple Leafs: Cowan E. assists: Ekman-Larsson O. 1-4
- 12:03 Goal Toronto Maple Leafs: Roslovic J. assists: Rielly M., Cowan E. 1-5
- 12:03 Goalie change Columbus Blue Jackets: Talbot C. replaces Greaves J.
- 17:26 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: MacEwen Z. Instigator penalty
- 17:26 5 min Toronto Maple Leafs: MacEwen Z. Fighting
- 17:26 5 min Columbus Blue Jackets: Gudbranson E. Fighting
- 19:25 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Duhaime B. Delay of game
3rd period1-1
- 04:13 Goal Columbus Blue Jackets: Coyle C. assists: Sillinger C., Andrae E. 2-5
- 11:32 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Sissons C. Tripping
- 12:03 2 min Columbus Blue Jackets: Knies M. Slashing
- 16:58 Goal Toronto Maple Leafs: Rifai M. assists: Rielly M., Roslovic J. 2-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Toronto Maple Leafs, who played yesterday.
- In goal: Greaves J. for Columbus Blue Jackets (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Stolarz A. for Toronto Maple Leafs (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Columbus Blue Jackets.
- Power play vs penalty kill: 26.8% on the power play for Toronto Maple Leafs, 73.7% on the penalty kill for Columbus Blue Jackets.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CBJ) | 1.91 | 1.91 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.15 | 4.15 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TOR) | 3.05 | 3.05 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap CBJ | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 3 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 4 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 5 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 6 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 7 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 8 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 9 |  Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 10 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 11 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 12 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 13 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
| 14 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 15 | Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 16 |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Columbus Blue Jackets host Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.