Connecticut Huskies vs Providence Friars prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 43% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonProvidence2.04Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU7.5odds down 1.33Confidence 76%
- HandicapLostUConn +1.5odds up 1.40Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonProvidence1.64Confidence 55%
- Double chanceWonProvidence or draw1.36Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonProvidence1.61Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.05Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonProvidence2.47Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
UConn 2–3
Providence Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–84%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period0–416%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (3%), 3-4 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonConnecticut Huskies
Providence Friars
Head-to-head
UConn 3–2
Providence - Nov 5, 2026: Providence Friars 5, Connecticut Huskies 6.
- Mar 7, 2026: Providence Friars 3, Connecticut Huskies 1.
- Nov 8, 2025: Providence Friars 2, Connecticut Huskies 3, after a shootout.
- Nov 7, 2025: Connecticut Huskies 1, Providence Friars 4.
- Mar 14, 2025: Connecticut Huskies 3, Providence Friars 1.
Last five games
UConn
2-2-1 - Win, 6–5 at Providence Friars, Nov 5. Odds: Providence 1.60, UConn 4.09.
- Win, 6–5 at Merrimack Warriors, after a shootout, Oct 31. Odds: Merrimack 2.02, UConn 2.75.
- Loss, 4–5 at Merrimack Warriors, Oct 30. Odds: Merrimack 2.10, UConn 2.65.
- Loss, 3–6 at Boston University Terriers, Oct 24. Odds: Boston Univ. 1.88, UConn 3.05.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Boston University Terriers, after overtime, Oct 23.
Providence
3-2-0 - Loss, 5–6 against Connecticut Huskies, Nov 5. Odds: Providence 1.60, UConn 4.09.
- Loss, 1–5 at Quinnipiac Bobcats, Oct 31. Odds: Quinnipiac 2.35, Providence 2.40.
- Win, 5–2 against Massachusetts Lowell, Oct 24. Odds: Providence 1.25, UMass Lowell 7.00.
- Win, 3–0 at Massachusetts Lowell, Oct 23. Odds: UMass Lowell 6.00, Providence 1.36.
- Win, 3–2 at Union Dutchmen, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Union 3.35, Providence 1.65.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Connecticut Huskies.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 2nd vs 6th in the NCAA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CON) | 2.60 | 2.60 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PRO) | 2.00 | 2.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap CON | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Hockey East
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston University Terriers |
28 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 2.018 | 0 |
| 2 | Connecticut Huskies |
30 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 98 | 1.633 | 0 |
| 3 |  Massachusetts Lowell |
28 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 74 | 1.321 | 0 |
| 4 |  Northeastern Huskies |
29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 90 | 1.552 | 0 |
| 5 |  Merrimack Warriors |
29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 82 | 1.414 | 0 |
| 6 | Providence Friars |
30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 7 |  Maine Black Bears |
29 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 1.310 | 0 |
| 8 |  Massachusetts Minutemen |
27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 76 | 1.407 | 0 |
| 9 |  Boston College Eagles |
28 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 |
| 10 |  New Hampshire Wildcats |
30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 67 | 1.117 | 0 |
| 11 |  Vermont Catamounts |
29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 56 | .966 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Connecticut Huskies host Providence Friars in the NCAA on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.