Coventry vs Nottingham prediction
Chance to win · 47% and 31% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonCoventryodds up 2.15Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.47Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonNottingham +1.5Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCoventryodds up 1.72Confidence 61%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonCoventry or drawodds up 1.41Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonCoventryodds up 2.01Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.08Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCoventryodds up 2.90Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.92Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–28%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 14+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Nov 8, 2026: Nottingham 1, Coventry 0.
- Oct 18, 2026: Coventry 2, Nottingham 1, after a shootout.
- Oct 3, 2026: Nottingham 4, Coventry 3.
- Mar 18, 2026: Coventry 2, Nottingham 3, after overtime.
- Mar 8, 2026: Coventry 1, Nottingham 6.
Last five games
- Win, 4–3 against Sheffield, after a shootout, Nov 1. Odds: Coventry 3.00, Sheffield 1.77.
- Win, 2–1 at Manchester, Oct 30. Odds: Manchester 2.15, Coventry 2.50.
- Loss, 3–5 against Guildford, Oct 25. Odds: Coventry 2.30, Guildford 2.30.
- Loss, 1–2 at Guildford, Oct 24. Odds: Guildford 1.92, Coventry 2.86.
- Win, 2–1 against Nottingham, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Coventry 2.65, Nottingham 2.02.
- Loss, 2–4 at Sheffield, Oct 31. Odds: Sheffield 1.67, Nottingham 3.30.
- Loss, 1–6 against Belfast, Oct 30. Odds: Nottingham 2.40, Belfast 2.15.
- Loss, 2–4 against Cardiff, Oct 25. Odds: Nottingham 2.45, Cardiff 2.15.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Coventry, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Coventry 2.65, Nottingham 2.02.
- Win, 3–2 against Sheffield, Oct 17. Odds: Nottingham 2.19, Sheffield 2.45.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 12:34 Goal Coventry: Csollak M. assists: Ezman J. 1-0
- 16:34 Goal Nottingham: O'Brien Z. assists: Pearson C., Hazeldine J. 1-1
- 18:13 Goal Nottingham: O'Brien Z. assists: Pearson C. 1-2
2nd period3-0
- 01:35 Goal PPG Coventry: Boysen W. assists: Gleason M., Nielsen A. 2-2
- 03:16 Goal Coventry: Richardson R. assists: Ezman J. 3-2
- 06:04 Goal Coventry: Musser C. assists: Kaspick T. 4-2
3rd period0-1
- 12:07 Goal PPG Nottingham: Corbeil B. assists: Hansen-Bukata A., O'Brien Z. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Nottingham coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Nottingham dropped from 1.97 to 1.69 since they were first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Nottingham.
- Save % gap: Coventry 93.9%, Nottingham 91.2% over their recent games.
- 4.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (COV) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOT) | 2.10 | 2.10 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap COV | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Elite League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 27 | 15 | +12 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 28 | 16 | +12 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | .650 | 34 | 26 | +8 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 26 | 15 | +11 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | .550 | 25 | 26 | −1 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .500 | 32 | 39 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .438 | 25 | 26 | −1 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 15 | 17 | −2 | |
| 9 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | .286 | 14 | 28 | −14 | |
| 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | .111 | 12 | 30 | −18 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Coventry host Nottingham in the Elite League on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.