Coventry vs Nottingham prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 35% in regulation
Fitzpatrick E.StartedSV 87.7% · GAA 3.60 · 3-6-1
Robson M.StartedSV 90.5% · GAA 2.50 · 6-3-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostCoventry2.65Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.51.51Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonCoventry +1.51.44Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCoventry2.07Confidence 55%
- Double chanceWonCoventry or draw1.55Confidence 66%
- Draw no betPushCoventry2.10Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCoventry2.80Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.56Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Coventry 5–2
Nottingham Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min1–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (4%), 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 10+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formCoventry
Nottingham
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Coventry 1–4
Nottingham - Nov 8, 2026: Nottingham 1, Coventry 0.
- Nov 7, 2026: Coventry 4, Nottingham 3.
- Oct 3, 2026: Nottingham 4, Coventry 3.
- Mar 18, 2026: Coventry 2, Nottingham 3, after overtime.
- Mar 8, 2026: Coventry 1, Nottingham 6.
Last five games
Coventry
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 4–5 at Cardiff, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Cardiff 1.63, Coventry 3.73.
- Win, 8–2 against Dundee, Oct 11. Odds: Coventry 1.38, Dundee 5.71.
- Loss, 0–1 against Belfast, Oct 10. Odds: Coventry 2.95, Belfast 1.76.
- Win, 3–1 at Fife, Oct 7.
- Win, 3–1 against Manchester, Oct 4.
Nottingham
5-0-0 - Win, 3–2 against Sheffield, Oct 17. Odds: Nottingham 2.19, Sheffield 2.45.
- Win, 3–2 against Fife, Oct 11.
- Win, 2–1 at Manchester, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–3 at Guildford, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–3 against Coventry, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-1
- 04:38 Goal Nottingham: Niskala J. assists: Frattaroli B. 0-1
- 07:32 Goal Coventry: Csollak M. assists: Buzoverya A., Perlini B. 1-1
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout2-1
-
Round 1
Ness G.
✗missed
Pitkanen M.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Ezman J.
✗missed
O'Brien Z.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Boysen W.
✓scored
Hansen-Bukata A.
✗missed
-
Round 4
MacArthur C.
✗missed
Doherty T.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Csollak M.
✗missed
Corbeil B.
✗missed
-
Round 6
Boysen W.
✓scored
Pitkanen M.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Coventry and Nottingham played yesterday.
- 6-game winning streak for Nottingham coming into this game.
- In goal: Fitzpatrick E. for Coventry (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts), Robson M. for Nottingham (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Nottingham.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (COV) | 2.65 | 2.65 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOT) | 2.02 | 2.02 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap COV | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Challenge Cup standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sheffield |
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 14 | .700 | 34 | 23 | +11 |
| 2 |  Cardiff |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 29 | 27 | +2 |
| 3 |  Guildford |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 34 | 31 | +3 |
| 4 | Nottingham |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 28 | 30 | −2 |
| 5 | Coventry |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .450 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 6 |  Manchester |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | .450 | 28 | 34 | −6 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Coventry host Nottingham in the Challenge Cup on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.