CSKA Moscow vs Novosibirsk prediction
Chance to win · 60% and 19% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2WonCSKA Moscowodds up 1.44Confidence 62%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.66Confidence 52%
- HandicapLostNovosibirsk +2.5odds down 1.43Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCSKA Moscowodds up 1.24Confidence 73%
- Double chanceWonCSKA Moscow or drawodds up 1.10Confidence 81%
- Banker of the day: Draw no betWonCSKA Moscowodds up 1.19Confidence 92%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.20Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonCSKA Moscowodds up 2.02Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.62Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 6% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min4–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–022%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Mar 16, 2026: Novosibirsk 3, CSKA Moscow 2.
- Nov 8, 2025: CSKA Moscow 4, Novosibirsk 0.
- Jan 19, 2025: Novosibirsk 3, CSKA Moscow 4, after a shootout.
- Sep 10, 2024: CSKA Moscow 8, Novosibirsk 2.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Avangard Omsk, after overtime, Nov 5. Odds: Avangard Omsk 2.95, CSKA Moscow 2.18.
- Win, 7–3 at Magnitogorsk, Nov 3. Odds: Magnitogorsk 2.30, CSKA Moscow 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 at Tractor Chelyabinsk, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Tractor 3.20, CSKA Moscow 2.00.
- Win, 5–1 against Tractor Chelyabinsk, Oct 28. Odds: CSKA Moscow 1.73, Tractor 4.10.
- Win, 3–1 at SKA St. Petersburg, Oct 25. Odds: SKA 2.74, CSKA Moscow 2.27.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Avangard Omsk, after overtime, Nov 7. Odds: Avangard Omsk 1.69, Novosibirsk 4.50.
- Win, 3–1 against Bars Kazan, Nov 4. Odds: Novosibirsk 2.75, Ak Bars Kazan 2.25.
- Loss, 1–3 against Niznekamsk, Nov 1. Odds: Novosibirsk 2.64, Niznekamsk 2.32.
- Win, 5–2 against Magnitogorsk, Oct 29. Odds: Novosibirsk 4.10, Magnitogorsk 1.72.
- Loss, 1–2 at Tractor Chelyabinsk, Oct 26. Odds: Tractor 1.91, Novosibirsk 3.45.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 10:17 2 min CSKA Moscow: Churkin A. Slashing
- 19:22 Goal CSKA Moscow: Buchelnikov D. assists: Zamula Y., Nesterov N. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 05:34 Goal CSKA Moscow: Buchelnikov D. assists: Samorukov D., Gurianov D. 2-0
- 11:57 2 min CSKA Moscow: Okhotyuk N. Tripping
- 15:38 2 min Novosibirsk: Mirzabalayev A. Tripping
3rd period2-1
- 04:20 2 min Novosibirsk: Dietz D. Interference
- 04:25 2 min CSKA Moscow: Kostin K. Slashing
- 11:54 2 min Novosibirsk: Koshelev S. Tripping
- 12:39 Goal PPG CSKA Moscow: Sorkin M. assists: Khairullin M., Zamula Y. 3-0
- 15:07 Goal Novosibirsk: Mishchenko I. assists: Koshelev S. 3-1
- 19:36 Goal ENG CSKA Moscow: Kovalenko N. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for CSKA Moscow, 1 for Novosibirsk.
- Goal differential gap of 1.6 per game — CSKA Moscow +1.1, Novosibirsk −0.5 over their recent games.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for CSKA Moscow.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for CSKA Moscow.
- 6.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CSK) | 1.50 | 1.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.80 | 4.80 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOV) | 6.42 | 6.42 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 4.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap CSK | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Tarasov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37 | .771 | 78 | 45 | +33 | |
| 2 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 35 | .729 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 3 | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 30 | .600 | 59 | 57 | +2 | |
| 4 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 30 | .652 | 68 | 59 | +9 | |
| 5 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | .500 | 60 | 74 | −14 | |
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .481 | 56 | 68 | −12 |
Regular Season · Chernyshev Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 2 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 6 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
CSKA Moscow host Novosibirsk in the KHL on Monday, November 9, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.