Dallas Stars vs New York Islanders prediction
Dallas Stars 6–, New York Islanders 3
FT
Puck drop 18:00 ET
1X2 1.931X2 3.34
American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX) · USAAmerican Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
DAL
2
1
3
NYI
1
2
0
58%Dallas win · 46% in regulationDAL
Overtime or shootout · 24%OT / SO 24%
42%New York win · 30% in regulationNYI
Chance to win · 46% and 30% in regulation
Oettinger J.StartedSV 92.4% · GAA 1.60 · 5-4-1
Sorokin I.StartedSV 90.7% · GAA 2.30 · 6-4-0
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Lost
Islanders +2.5
odds down 1.32
Confidence71%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonStarsodds up 1.80Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.40Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostIslanders +2.5odds down 1.32Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonStarsodds up 1.47Confidence 60%
- Double chanceWonStars or drawodds up 1.26Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonStarsodds up 1.42Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.11Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonStarsodds up 2.35Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds down 1.23Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Stars 4–2
Islanders
Total goalsTotal
6
Actual 9
Draw after 60 minDraw
24%
Decided in regulation
Dallas to winTo win
58%
DAL won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min6–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–118%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-1 (4%), 3-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Dallas Stars
New York Islanders
Dallas Stars
New York Islanders
Season recordDallas Stars 6-3-1New York Islanders 5-3-2
Home / road splitDallas Stars 3-2-0New York Islanders 1-2-1
StreakDallas Stars W4New York Islanders L1
RestDallas Stars 2 daysNew York Islanders 2 days
Goals forDallas Stars 2.6New York Islanders 2.9
Goals againstDallas Stars 1.7New York Islanders 2.3
In the standingsDallas Stars 4thNew York Islanders 5th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameDallas Stars +0.9New York Islanders +0.7
Goals forDallas Stars 2.5New York Islanders 2.9
Goals againstDallas Stars 1.6New York Islanders 2.2
Shots on goalDallas Stars 26.8New York Islanders 26.7
Shots againstDallas Stars 21.8New York Islanders 24.8
Shooting %Dallas Stars 9.3%New York Islanders 10.9%
Save %Dallas Stars 93.6%New York Islanders 92.3%
Power-play %Dallas Stars 12.1%New York Islanders 14.3%
Penalty kill %Dallas Stars 92.7%New York Islanders 91.1%
Faceoff %Dallas Stars 56.7%New York Islanders 54.4%
Penalty minutesDallas Stars 9.9New York Islanders 11.3
HitsDallas Stars 21.1New York Islanders 23.5
Blocked shotsDallas Stars 14.3New York Islanders 15.3
Per game · DAL at home, NYI away
Goal differential per gameDallas Stars 0.0New York Islanders −0.5
Goals forDallas Stars 2.7New York Islanders 2.6
Goals againstDallas Stars 2.7New York Islanders 3.1
Shots on goalDallas Stars 26.1New York Islanders 25.5
Shots againstDallas Stars 23.7New York Islanders 28.1
Shooting %Dallas Stars 10.3%New York Islanders 10.2%
Save %Dallas Stars 90.3%New York Islanders 90.0%
Power-play %Dallas Stars 14.3%New York Islanders 18.2%
Penalty kill %Dallas Stars 87.3%New York Islanders 84.1%
Faceoff %Dallas Stars 53.3%New York Islanders 50.3%
Penalty minutesDallas Stars 12.6New York Islanders 12.2
HitsDallas Stars 20.9New York Islanders 23.4
Blocked shotsDallas Stars 15.7New York Islanders 14.9
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Stars 2–2
Islanders
Goals a gameGoals
4.5
DAL 2.5 · NYI 2.0
Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5
1 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
0 of 4
All decided in regulation
- Mar 26, 2026: New York Islanders 2, Dallas Stars 1.
- Nov 18, 2025: Dallas Stars 2, New York Islanders 3.
- Feb 23, 2025: New York Islanders 3, Dallas Stars 4.
- Oct 12, 2024: Dallas Stars 3, New York Islanders 0.
Last five games
Stars
4-1-0 - Win, 3–2 against Winnipeg Jets, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Stars 1.70, Jets 4.00.
- Win, 3–2 against Boston Bruins, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Stars 1.86, Bruins 3.40.
- Win, 4–0 at Chicago Blackhawks, Oct 17. Odds: Blackhawks 3.66, Stars 1.80.
- Win, 3–2 at Colorado Avalanche, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Avalanche 2.04, Stars 3.18.
- Loss, 2–3 against Colorado Avalanche, Oct 13. Odds: Stars 2.43, Avalanche 2.60.
Islanders
3-0-2 - Overtime loss, 2–3 against Los Angeles Kings, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Islanders 2.50, Kings 2.40.
- Win, 3–2 against Anaheim Ducks, Oct 20. Odds: Islanders 2.02, Ducks 2.92.
- Win, 4–1 at Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 17. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.17, Islanders 2.77.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Ottawa Senators, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Senators 1.91, Islanders 3.25.
- Win, 3–2 against Vancouver Canucks, Oct 13. Odds: Islanders 1.80, Canucks 3.78.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 08:04 2 min Dallas Stars: Bichsel L. Tripping
- 11:31 Goal Dallas Stars: Seguin T. assists: Benn Ja., Hintz R. 1-0
- 13:19 2 min New York Islanders: Chaffee M. Roughing
- 13:19 2 min Dallas Stars: Capobianco K. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 13:43 Goal New York Islanders: Schaefer M. assists: Horvat B. 1-1
- 14:32 Goal Dallas Stars: Robertson J. 2-1
2nd period1-2
- 04:01 Goal New York Islanders: Palmieri K. assists: Pulock R., Horvat B. 2-2
- 09:07 2 min New York Islanders: Stanley L. Cross checking
- 10:52 Goal PPG Dallas Stars: Hryckowian J. assists: Harley T., Johnston W. 3-2
- 14:05 2 min New York Islanders: Pelech A. Hooking
- 14:32 2 min Dallas Stars: Heiskanen M. Holding
- 17:45 Goal New York Islanders: Schenn B. assists: Duclair A., Heineman E. 3-3
- 18:30 2 min Dallas Stars: Lundkvist N. Holding
3rd period3-0
- 04:10 Goal Dallas Stars: Johnston W. assists: Lundkvist N., Kiviranta J. 4-3
- 09:45 Goal Dallas Stars: Robertson J. assists: Seguin T., Hintz R. 5-3
- 13:02 Goal Dallas Stars: Rantanen M. assists: Bichsel L. 6-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Dallas Stars coming into this game.
- In goal: Oettinger J. for Dallas Stars (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Sorokin I. for New York Islanders (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
- The total moved up from 4.5 to 5.5 since it was first published.
- −1.5 goals away — New York Islanders averaged 3.5 at home and 2.0 away this season.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (DAL) | 1.93 | 1.93 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NYI) | 3.34 | 3.34 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 5.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap DAL | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Wild |
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Colorado Avalanche |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 |
| 3 |  Nashville Predators |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 |
| 4 | Dallas Stars |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 5 |  Utah Mammoth |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 |
| 6 |  Winnipeg Jets |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 |
| 7 |  St. Louis Blues |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 |
| 8 |  Chicago Blackhawks |
18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
Regular Season · Metropolitan Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 3 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 4 |  Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 5 | New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 7 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Dallas Stars host New York Islanders in the NHL on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.