Dallas Stars vs San Jose Sharks prediction
Dallas Stars 4–, San Jose Sharks 3
FT
Puck drop 20:00 ET
1X2 odds down 1.461X2 odds up 5.25
American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX) · USAAmerican Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
DAL
3
1
0
SJS
1
2
0
72%Dallas win · 61% in regulationDAL
Overtime or shootout · 20%OT / SO 20%
28%San Jose win · 19% in regulationSJS
Chance to win · 61% and 19% in regulation
Banker of the dayBanker
Double chance
Won
Stars or draw
odds down 1.17
Confidence94%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2WonStarsodds down 1.56Confidence 63%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.34Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonStars +1.51.09Confidence 78%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonStarsodds down 1.32Confidence 74%
- Banker of the day: Double chanceWonStars or drawodds down 1.17Confidence 94%
- Draw no betWonStarsodds down 1.27Confidence 77%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonStarsodds down 2.12Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.74Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Stars 4–1
Sharks
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 7
Draw after 60 minDraw
20%
Decided in regulation
Dallas to winTo win
72%
DAL won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min4–37%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–110%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (6%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Dallas Stars
San Jose Sharks
Dallas Stars
San Jose Sharks
Season recordDallas Stars 9-5-2San Jose Sharks 7-10-1
Home / road splitDallas Stars 5-4-0San Jose Sharks 4-5-1
StreakDallas Stars L1San Jose Sharks L4
RestDallas Stars 1 daySan Jose Sharks Back-to-back
Goals forDallas Stars 2.8San Jose Sharks 2.5
Goals againstDallas Stars 2.4San Jose Sharks 3.6
In the standingsDallas Stars 6thSan Jose Sharks 13th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameDallas Stars +0.5San Jose Sharks −1.3
Goals forDallas Stars 3.1San Jose Sharks 2.3
Goals againstDallas Stars 2.6San Jose Sharks 3.6
Shots on goalDallas Stars 25.9San Jose Sharks 26.7
Shots againstDallas Stars 23.3San Jose Sharks 31.5
Shooting %Dallas Stars 12.0%San Jose Sharks 8.6%
Save %Dallas Stars 89.3%San Jose Sharks 89.8%
Power-play %Dallas Stars 23.1%San Jose Sharks 17.4%
Penalty kill %Dallas Stars 94.6%San Jose Sharks 82.2%
Faceoff %Dallas Stars 56.6%San Jose Sharks 49.7%
Penalty minutesDallas Stars 8.5San Jose Sharks 10.6
HitsDallas Stars 17.9San Jose Sharks 23.4
Blocked shotsDallas Stars 12.2San Jose Sharks 13.5
Per game · DAL at home, SJS away
Goal differential per gameDallas Stars −0.2San Jose Sharks −1.1
Goals forDallas Stars 2.7San Jose Sharks 2.6
Goals againstDallas Stars 2.9San Jose Sharks 3.7
Shots on goalDallas Stars 25.3San Jose Sharks 27.6
Shots againstDallas Stars 21.9San Jose Sharks 30.9
Shooting %Dallas Stars 10.7%San Jose Sharks 9.4%
Save %Dallas Stars 88.6%San Jose Sharks 88.7%
Power-play %Dallas Stars 17.6%San Jose Sharks 18.8%
Penalty kill %Dallas Stars 95.0%San Jose Sharks 77.8%
Faceoff %Dallas Stars 54.9%San Jose Sharks 48.0%
Penalty minutesDallas Stars 10.8San Jose Sharks 10.6
HitsDallas Stars 17.1San Jose Sharks 22.4
Blocked shotsDallas Stars 14.6San Jose Sharks 14.0
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Stars 4–1
Sharks
Goals a gameGoals
7.6
DAL 5.2 · SJS 2.4
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
3 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 5
1 in overtime
- Oct 5, 2026: Dallas Stars 5, San Jose Sharks 0.
- Jan 10, 2026: San Jose Sharks 5, Dallas Stars 4, after overtime.
- Dec 18, 2025: San Jose Sharks 3, Dallas Stars 5.
- Dec 5, 2025: Dallas Stars 4, San Jose Sharks 1.
- Feb 8, 2025: San Jose Sharks 3, Dallas Stars 8.
Last five games
Stars
2-2-1 - Overtime loss, 1–2 at Columbus Blue Jackets, after a shootout, Nov 5. Odds: Blue Jackets 2.85, Stars 2.10.
- Win, 6–5 at Washington Capitals, Nov 3. Odds: Capitals 2.30, Stars 2.55.
- Win, 3–1 against Columbus Blue Jackets, Oct 31. Odds: Stars 1.91, Blue Jackets 3.38.
- Loss, 2–5 against Montreal Canadiens, Oct 29. Odds: Stars 1.96, Canadiens 3.19.
- Loss, 1–5 against New Jersey Devils, Oct 27. Odds: Stars 2.25, Devils 2.65.
Sharks
1-4-0 - Loss, 1–4 at Minnesota Wild, Nov 6. Odds: Wild 1.53, Sharks 4.50.
- Loss, 2–7 at Los Angeles Kings, Nov 4. Odds: Kings 1.86, Sharks 3.35.
- Loss, 1–2 against Calgary Flames, Nov 2. Odds: Sharks 2.10, Flames 2.75.
- Loss, 1–5 against Ottawa Senators, Oct 31. Odds: Sharks 3.05, Senators 1.96.
- Win, 3–2 against Vancouver Canucks, Oct 29. Odds: Sharks 1.93, Canucks 3.17.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-1
- 07:22 Goal San Jose Sharks: Misa M. assists: Celebrini M., Smith W. 0-1
- 07:46 2 min Dallas Stars: Rantanen M. Tripping
- 07:46 2 min San Jose Sharks: Marchment M. Diving
- 08:06 2 min San Jose Sharks: Trouba J. Interference
- 09:16 Goal PPG Dallas Stars: Hintz R. assists: Johnston W., Harley T. 1-1
- 11:44 2 min Dallas Stars: Perron D. Holding
- 15:17 Goal Dallas Stars: Benn Ja. assists: Hintz R. 2-1
- 16:32 2 min San Jose Sharks: Marchment M. Holding
- 16:51 Goal PPG Dallas Stars: Robertson J. assists: Rantanen M., Harley T. 3-1
- 16:59 2 min Dallas Stars: Steel S. Boarding
- 18:23 2 min Dallas Stars: Bichsel L. Hooking
2nd period1-2
- 02:47 Goal San Jose Sharks: Stenberg I. assists: Celebrini M., Pohlkamp E. 3-2
- 06:05 2 min San Jose Sharks: Dellandrea T. Interference
- 13:00 2 min San Jose Sharks: — Too many men on the ice
- 14:30 Goal PPG Dallas Stars: Harley T. assists: Johnston W., Rantanen M. 4-2
- 15:57 2 min Dallas Stars: Faksa R. Hooking
- 16:11 2 min Dallas Stars: Hyry A. Tripping
- 17:02 Goal PPG San Jose Sharks: Smith W. assists: Marchment M., Celebrini M. 4-3
- 20:00 2 min Dallas Stars: Rantanen M. Roughing
- 20:00 2 min Dallas Stars: Benn Ja. Roughing
- 20:00 2 min San Jose Sharks: Nedeljkovic A. Roughing
- 20:00 2 min San Jose Sharks: Trouba J. Roughing
3rd period0-0
- 12:52 2 min Dallas Stars: Hryckowian J. Tripping
- 16:12 2 min San Jose Sharks: Stenberg I. Slashing
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for San Jose Sharks, who played yesterday.
- 4-game losing streak for San Jose Sharks coming into this game.
- Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — Dallas Stars +0.5, San Jose Sharks −1.3 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Dallas Stars.
- 7.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (DAL) | 1.48 | 1.46 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.90 | 4.90 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SJS) | 5.00 | 5.25 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap DAL | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Wild |
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Edmonton Oilers |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 |
| 3 |  Vegas Golden Knights |
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 4 |  Colorado Avalanche |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 |
| 5 |  Nashville Predators |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 |
| 6 | Dallas Stars |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 7 |  Anaheim Ducks |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 |
| 8 |  Utah Mammoth |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 |
| 9 |  Seattle Kraken |
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 |
| 10 |  Winnipeg Jets |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 |
| 11 |  St. Louis Blues |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 |
| 12 |  Calgary Flames |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 |
| 13 | San Jose Sharks |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 |
| 14 |  Los Angeles Kings |
16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 |
| 15 |  Chicago Blackhawks |
18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
| 16 |  Vancouver Canucks |
20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Dallas Stars host San Jose Sharks in the NHL on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.