Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets prediction
Chance to win · 48% and 29% in regulation
Oettinger J.StartedSV 92.7% · GAA 1.70 · 4-4-2
Skinner S.StartedSV 88.9% · GAA 3.10 · 3-5-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostStars1.81Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.41Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonJets +2.51.30Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonStarsodds up 1.47Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonStars or drawodds up 1.25Confidence 71%
- Draw no betPushStarsodds up 1.43Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.10Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostStarsodds up 2.32Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.28Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Stars 4–2
Jets Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–018%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%), 5-3 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formDallas Stars
Winnipeg Jets
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Stars 5–0
Jets - Apr 2, 2026: Dallas Stars 3, Winnipeg Jets 0.
- Feb 2, 2026: Dallas Stars 4, Winnipeg Jets 3, after overtime.
- Dec 9, 2025: Winnipeg Jets 3, Dallas Stars 4.
- Oct 9, 2025: Winnipeg Jets 4, Dallas Stars 5.
- May 17, 2025: Dallas Stars 2, Winnipeg Jets 1, after overtime.
Last five games
Stars
3-1-1 - Win, 3–2 against Boston Bruins, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Stars 1.86, Bruins 3.40.
- Win, 4–0 at Chicago Blackhawks, Oct 17. Odds: Blackhawks 3.66, Stars 1.80.
- Win, 3–2 at Colorado Avalanche, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Avalanche 2.04, Stars 3.18.
- Loss, 2–3 against Colorado Avalanche, Oct 13. Odds: Stars 2.43, Avalanche 2.60.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Pittsburgh Penguins, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: Penguins 2.60, Stars 2.30.
Jets
1-3-1 - Loss, 1–2 at St. Louis Blues, Oct 20. Odds: Blues 2.15, Jets 2.75.
- Loss, 2–3 against Carolina Hurricanes, Oct 17. Odds: Jets 3.55, Hurricanes 1.78.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Chicago Blackhawks, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Blackhawks 2.70, Jets 2.18.
- Win, 5–2 against Minnesota Wild, Oct 13. Odds: Jets 2.55, Wild 2.46.
- Loss, 1–5 against Anaheim Ducks, Oct 9. Odds: Jets 2.28, Ducks 2.65.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 01:52 2 min Dallas Stars: Myers T. High sticking
- 11:22 2 min Winnipeg Jets: Lambert B. Hooking
- 18:10 2 min Dallas Stars: Steel S. Hooking
2nd period1-2
- 01:17 Goal Dallas Stars: Johnston W. assists: Rantanen M., Robertson J. 1-0
- 05:46 2 min Dallas Stars: Hintz R. Diving
- 05:46 2 min Winnipeg Jets: Fleury H. Interference
- 08:21 2 min Winnipeg Jets: Ferraro M. Tripping
- 10:50 Goal Winnipeg Jets: Vilardi G. assists: Samberg D., Iafallo A. 1-1
- 12:38 Goal Winnipeg Jets: Connor K. assists: Pionk N. 1-2
3rd period1-0
- 07:38 2 min Dallas Stars: Seguin T. Tripping
- 18:00 Goal Dallas Stars: Hintz R. assists: Rantanen M., Johnston W. 2-2
- 18:16 2 min Dallas Stars: Myers T. Delay of game
Overtime1-0
- 03:47 Goal Dallas Stars: Hintz R. assists: Heiskanen M., Robertson J. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Dallas Stars coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Winnipeg Jets coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Dallas Stars.
- In goal: Oettinger J. for Dallas Stars (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Skinner S. for Winnipeg Jets (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.2 per game — Dallas Stars +0.5, Winnipeg Jets −0.7 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (DAL) | 1.76 | 1.70 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (WPG) | 3.80 | 4.00 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap DAL | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Wild |
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Colorado Avalanche |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 |
| 3 |  Nashville Predators |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 |
| 4 | Dallas Stars |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 5 |  Utah Mammoth |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 |
| 6 | Winnipeg Jets |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 |
| 7 |  St. Louis Blues |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 |
| 8 |  Chicago Blackhawks |
18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Dallas Stars host Winnipeg Jets in the NHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.