DEAC vs Ujpest prediction
Chance to win · 23% and 59% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostUjpestodds up 2.33Confidence 57%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.27Confidence 74%
- HandicapWonDEAC +1.5Confidence 58%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostUjpest1.89Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostUjpest or draw1.51Confidence 68%
- Draw no betLostUjpest1.90Confidence 74%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostUjpest2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.68Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min5–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Jan 28, 2026: DEAC 5, Ujpest 4, after overtime.
- Dec 26, 2025: Ujpest 3, DEAC 1.
- Sep 26, 2025: Ujpest 4, DEAC 3, after a shootout.
- Jan 24, 2025: Ujpest 4, DEAC 3.
- Dec 26, 2024: DEAC 6, Ujpest 2.
Last five games
- Loss, 4–6 at Brasov, Oct 11.
- Loss, 1–3 at Gyergyoi, Oct 9. Odds: Gheorgheni 1.61, DEAC 4.00.
- Win, 2–1 at Csikszereda, Oct 8.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at DVTK, after a shootout, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–1 against DAB, Oct 2.
- Win, 8–0 against DAB, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–2 at DVTK, Oct 9. Odds: DVTK 2.27, Ujpest 2.42.
- Win, 9–3 at Feha19, Oct 4.
- Loss, 0–3 against DVTK, Oct 2.
- Loss, 0–1 at Gyergyoi, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 10:57 Goal DEAC: Ustinenko N. assists: Haranghy B. 1-0
2nd period2-0
- 13:21 Goal DEAC: Varga B. assists: Kiss D., Toth R. 2-0
- 16:38 Goal DEAC: Martonffy M. 3-0
3rd period2-1
- 01:26 Goal Ujpest: Sokay B. assists: Rosa L., Dansereau K. 3-1
- 15:43 Goal DEAC: Nemeth Z. 4-1
- 16:58 Goal DEAC: Ustinenko N. 5-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Ujpest coming into this game.
- In goal: Hetenyi Z. for DEAC (5-2-3 in the last 10 starts), Rajna M. for Ujpest (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ujpest.
- +1.0 goals at home — DEAC averaged 3.5 at home and 2.5 away this season.
- −1.2 goals away — Ujpest averaged 5.8 at home and 4.6 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (DEA) | 2.25 | 2.35 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.20 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (UJP) | 2.42 | 2.42 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Erste Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 1.107 | 50 | 33 | +17 | |
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 1.154 | 53 | 34 | +19 | |
| 3 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 1.071 | 41 | 34 | +7 | |
| 4 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 1.036 | 56 | 37 | +19 | |
| 5 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 27 | .844 | 49 | 35 | +14 | |
| 6 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 1.000 | 57 | 29 | +28 | |
| 7 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | .767 | 48 | 44 | +4 | |
| 8 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 8 | .308 | 29 | 54 | −25 | |
| 9 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 4 | .143 | 27 | 61 | −34 | |
| 10 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | .071 | 18 | 67 | −49 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
DEAC host Ujpest in the Erste Liga on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.