Detroit Red Wings vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction
Chance to win · 35% and 42% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonGolden Knightsodds down 2.12Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.38Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonRed Wings +1.5odds up 1.44Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonGolden Knightsodds up 1.67Confidence 55%
- Double chanceWonGolden Knights or draw1.38Confidence 67%
- Draw no betWonGolden Knightsodds down 1.65Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostGolden Knightsodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.67Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Red Wings 2–3
Golden Knights Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 1-2 (2%), 3-4 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formDetroit Red Wings
Vegas Golden Knights
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Red Wings 1–3
Golden Knights - Mar 4, 2026: Detroit Red Wings 3, Vegas Golden Knights 4, after overtime.
- Nov 4, 2025: Vegas Golden Knights 1, Detroit Red Wings 0.
- Mar 22, 2025: Vegas Golden Knights 6, Detroit Red Wings 3.
- Mar 16, 2025: Detroit Red Wings 3, Vegas Golden Knights 0.
Last five games
Red Wings
3-2-0 - Loss, 2–4 at Tampa Bay Lightning, Nov 3. Odds: Lightning 1.50, Red Wings 4.90.
- Win, 5–3 at Florida Panthers, Nov 2. Odds: Panthers 1.76, Red Wings 3.75.
- Loss, 4–5 against St. Louis Blues, Oct 31. Odds: Red Wings 2.25, Blues 2.60.
- Win, 4–1 against Chicago Blackhawks, Oct 29. Odds: Red Wings 2.05, Blackhawks 3.02.
- Win, 4–3 at Edmonton Oilers, after a shootout, Oct 26. Odds: Oilers 1.83, Red Wings 3.30.
Golden Knights
2-1-2 - Win, 3–2 at Pittsburgh Penguins, Nov 3. Odds: Penguins 2.20, Golden Knights 2.55.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Boston Bruins, after a shootout, Nov 2. Odds: Bruins 2.45, Golden Knights 2.35.
- Loss, 2–5 against New Jersey Devils, Oct 30. Odds: Golden Knights 2.40, Devils 2.40.
- Win, 4–1 against Ottawa Senators, Oct 27. Odds: Golden Knights 1.91, Senators 3.25.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Columbus Blue Jackets, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Blue Jackets 2.70, Golden Knights 2.15.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 02:44 2 min Detroit Red Wings: Raymond L. Tripping
2nd period0-0
- 00:42 2 min Detroit Red Wings: DeBrincat A. Tripping
3rd period1-2
- 02:02 Goal Detroit Red Wings: Johansson A. assists: Mazur C., Dries S. 1-0
- 04:20 Goal Vegas Golden Knights: Bowman B. assists: Hertl T., Olofsson V. 1-1
- 05:30 2 min Detroit Red Wings: Copp A. Tripping
- 07:37 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Stone M. Interference
- 10:59 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Bowman B. Tripping
- 18:18 Goal Vegas Golden Knights: Connelly T. assists: Eichel J., Andersson R. 1-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Vegas Golden Knights.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (DET) | 3.20 | 3.05 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VGK) | 1.96 | 2.01 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap DET | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 | Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Edmonton Oilers |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights |
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 3 |  Anaheim Ducks |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 |
| 4 |  Seattle Kraken |
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 |
| 5 |  Calgary Flames |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 |
| 6 |  San Jose Sharks |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Kings |
16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 |
| 8 |  Vancouver Canucks |
20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Detroit Red Wings host Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.