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Djurgarden vs Malmo prediction

SHL Saturday, October 17, 2026Sat · Oct 17 Round 10
HomeDjurgarden6-6-29th in the standingsOTWWLL
Djurgarden 3, Malmo 2 AP Puck drop 09:15 ET 1X2 2.181X2 2.42
Team 1st 2nd 3rd OT SO
DJU 1 1 0 0 1
MAL 0 0 2 0 0
Hovet (Stockholm) · SwedenHovet (Stockholm)
AwayMalmo7-3-34th in the standingsWLWWOT
45%Djurgarden win · 35% in regulationDJU Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22% 55%Malmo win · 43% in regulationMAL

Chance to win · 35% and 43% in regulation

Hellberg M.StartedSV 91.4% · GAA 2.40 · 3-5-2
In goal
Langhamer M.StartedSV 93% · GAA 2.00 · 6-4-0
Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won
U6.5 odds up 1.31
Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

  • 1X2LostMalmoodds down 2.70Confidence 51%
  • Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.31Confidence 70%
  • HandicapWonMalmo +1.5odds down 1.36Confidence 71%
  • Winner (incl. OT)LostMalmoodds down 2.03Confidence 55%
  • Double chanceWonMalmo or drawodds down 1.57Confidence 65%
  • Draw no betPushMalmoodds down 2.05Confidence 56%
  • Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 84%

1st period

  • 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.55Confidence 51%
  • 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.73Confidence 57%
How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Djurgarden 14 Malmo
Final 3–2
Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5
Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Went to a shootout
MAL to winTo win 55% DJU won

Score details

  • Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–24%chance
  • 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–022%chance
  • Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
  • After 60 minutes 1-4
  • By period 0-0, 0-2, 1-2
  • Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 1-3 (4%), 2-3 (4%)

Djurgarden host Malmo in the SHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.