Dubnica vs Martin prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 45% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonMartinodds up 2.46Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO4.51.25Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostDubnica +1.5Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMartinodds up 1.93Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonMartin or draw1.53Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonMartin1.96Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.04Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMartin2.75Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.65Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 16, 2026: Martin 1, Dubnica 2.
- Jan 23, 2026: Martin 4, Dubnica 1.
- Dec 17, 2025: Dubnica 2, Martin 3, after overtime.
- Oct 31, 2025: Martin 2, Dubnica 1.
- Sep 24, 2025: Dubnica 3, Martin 2, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 4–2 at HK Detva, Oct 20. Odds: Detva 3.30, Dubnica 1.75.
- Loss, 2–5 at Ziar nad Hronom, Oct 18. Odds: Ziar nad Hronom 1.91, Dubnica 2.89.
- Win, 5–4 against Povazska Bystrica, Oct 16. Odds: Dubnica 1.21, Pov. Bystrica 8.31.
- Win, 4–3 against TEBS Bratislava, Oct 9. Odds: Dubnica 1.50, TEBS Bratislava 4.60.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Trnava, after a shootout, Oct 7.
- Win, 8–5 at Ziar nad Hronom, Oct 21. Odds: Ziar nad Hronom 2.05, Martin 2.75.
- Loss, 1–3 against HC 19 Humenne, Oct 18. Odds: Martin 2.00, Humenne 2.75.
- Win, 3–1 at HK Detva, Oct 16. Odds: Detva 3.65, Martin 1.68.
- Win, 4–3 against Topolcany, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Martin 1.53, Topolcany 4.40.
- Win, 4–1 at TEBS Bratislava, Oct 7.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 15:39 Goal Dubnica: Tybor R. assists: Jakubek M., Nahalka S. 1-0
2nd period0-2
- 05:50 Goal Martin: Chatrnuch M. assists: Fafrak M. 1-1
- 07:52 Goal Martin: Vybiral V. assists: Fujerik D., Vano R. 1-2
3rd period0-1
- 19:39 Goal Martin: Babka D. assists: Vybiral V. 1-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-0-0 away for Martin this season.
- In goal: Kukucka A. for Dubnica (4-3-3 in the last 10 starts), Bernat B. for Martin (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Martin.
- +2.5 goals at home — Dubnica averaged 5.3 at home and 2.8 away this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Martin.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (DUB) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MAR) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap DUB | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
1. Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1.100 | 50 | 34 | +16 | |
| 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 58 | 42 | +16 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | .900 | 61 | 45 | +16 | |
| 4 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .900 | 49 | 39 | +10 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .867 | 61 | 57 | +4 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 24 | .800 | 47 | 48 | −1 | |
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .733 | 47 | 42 | +5 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .700 | 51 | 48 | +3 | |
| 10 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 18 | .563 | 47 | 58 | −11 | |
| 12 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 8 | .267 | 31 | 54 | −23 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 8 | 41 | −33 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Dubnica host Martin in the 1. Liga on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.